anthonyweather Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Too early to RIP winter IMO. Epic winter . no...great winter no. .sub par.. Avg winter yeah I think so .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Why are people writing off winter this early lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 snow 88 says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Why are people writing off winter this early lol Because it *feels* 2011-2012 redux. I'm starting to buy into the whole winter-karma thing. We need to balance the scales a bit. What concerns me, though, is that the same logic should hold true with tropical activity. Does this mean we're headed for an insanely active Atlantic hurricane season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 snow 88 says fu.jpg Ha! I think that's great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Because it *feels* 2011-2012 redux. I'm starting to buy into the whole winter-karma thing. We need to balance the scales a bit. What concerns me, though, is that the same logic should hold true with tropical activity. Does this mean we're headed for an insanely active Atlantic hurricane season?Im one of the few that would trade winter for an insanely active hurricane season. I don't think that's likely. Also the airmass at the end of the week will be colder then what we had in our warmest winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Nice day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Im one of the few that would trade winter for an insanely active hurricane season. I don't think that's likely. Also the airmass at the end of the week will be colder then what we had in our warmest winters Even 12-13 had a few days in the city with highs in the 20s and lows in the lower-mid teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Even 12-13 had a few days in the city with highs in the 20s and lows in the lower-mid teens. that winter had a cold/dry week somewhere around 1/20...I remember a week of subfreezing days, but it was cold and dry and the ground was bare. The big blizzard (best east of NYC) hit just 2-3 weeks later and all was forgiven after a snowless first half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Because it *feels* 2011-2012 redux. I'm starting to buy into the whole winter-karma thing. We need to balance the scales a bit. What concerns me, though, is that the same logic should hold true with tropical activity. Does this mean we're headed for an insanely active Atlantic hurricane season? Probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Probably not. Here's hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0001 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0743 PM CST THU JAN 02 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN NJ/SERN NY INCLUDING LONG ISLAND/CT/RI/SERN MA/DOWN EAST ME CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 030143Z - 030645Z SUMMARY...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL IS FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT FROM PARTS OF NRN NJ ENEWD ACROSS SRN/ERN NEW ENGLAND. ADDITIONALLY...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS WINDS INCREASE WITH TIME. DISCUSSION...SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO -- AND IN LOCAL AREAS EXCEEDING -- AN INCH PER HOUR ARE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS THE SRN NEW ENGLAND VICINITY...AS A LARGE UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE ERN THIRD OF THE U.S. OVERNIGHT. AS THE TROUGH ADVANCES EWD...A SURFACE LOW -- NOW OFF THE COAST OF SERN VA/NERN NC -- IS PROGGED TO UNDERGO RELATIVELY RAPID CYCLOGENESIS AS IT SHIFTS SLOWLY ENEWD OVER THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS. ATTM...THE BAND OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION EXTENDS FROM ERN VA -- WHERE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS OBSERVED -- NEWD ACROSS NJ AND LONG ISLAND AND INTO SRN CT/RI/SERN MA...WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL INDICATED ACROSS THESE AREAS. LATEST SREF GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE HEAVIEST BAND OF SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT -- FROM THE HUDSON VALLEY EWD ACROSS NRN CT/MA/SRN VT/SRN NH/SRN ME...INLAND/WELL N OF THE ONGOING HEAVIER PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...HIGH-RES MODELS -- INCLUDING THE NMM4...THE HRRR...AND A LOCAL NSSL 4KM WRF -- DEPICT THE HEAVIEST ONSHORE PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN CONFINED TO THE SERN NEW ENGLAND VICINITY. THIS IS MUCH MORE IN LINE WITH CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...AND GIVEN THE SURFACE LOW PROGGED TO TRACK ENEWD AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH TIME...THE SERN NEW ENGLAND VICINITY REMAINS THE AREA OF HIGHEST CONFIDENCE FOR SUSTAINED/HEAVY ONSHORE SNOWFALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. IN ADDITION...AS WINDS INCREASE ACROSS THIS AREA IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE DEEPENING OFFSHORE LOW...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN SOME AREAS ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED REDUCED VISIBILITY/BLOWING SNOW. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY1054 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014NYZ078>081-177-179-030600-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN NASSAU-1054 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014...BAND OF HEAVY SNOW MOVING INTO LONG ISLAND...AT 1045 PM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A BAND OFHEAVY SNOW MOVING OFF THE CENTRAL NEW JERSEY COAST AND HEADED FORNASSAU AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES. THE BAND SHOULD REACH THE SOUTH SHOREOF LONG ISLAND BY 1130 AM AND OVERSPREAD MAINLY SOUTHERN NASSAUAND MOST OF SUFFOLK COUNTY THROUGH 1 AM. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS BAND. WITH LOCALLY HIGHERAMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE CORE OF THE BAND. NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONSARE LIKELY AT TIMES WITH THIS BAND. PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAYHOME AND AVOID TRAVEL DURING THIS TIME.$$MALOIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I promised myself I'd be on the pro-snow side until mid Feb, but man, last winter took a lot out of me. I really enjoyed eating outside back home in VA in 70F weather 2 days after Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 the first miracle on ice was in 1960 when the USA won the gold medal...that was a bigger miracle but it is not talked about often...The fact that Brooks was last cut on the 1960 team makes the 1980 story that much better too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 At this station , 2014 was the 5th coolest since 1977 averaging 52.5 degrees, even with Oct and Dec averaging significantly above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 The fact that Brooks was last cut on the 1960 team makes the 1980 story that much better too. I don't remember any Americans who were on the 1960 team making the pros...granted there were less teams at the time...One example of pros on the 1980 team was Kenny Morrow who went to the Islanders...He won the gold and the cup in the same year...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Jb is going with 1-3 inches for the clipper and a big snowstorm next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 We need a storm observation thread. A large chunk of the area is under a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 The upside is snow blowers should available and real cheap soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 We need a storm observation thread. A large chunk of the area is under a WWA. Not that I disagree with you about an obs thread bc there really is nothing else going on but by "large chunk of the area", don't you mean 4 or so counties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Not that I disagree with you about an obs thread bc there really is nothing else going on but by "large chunk of the area", don't you mean 4 or so counties?Yes I shouldn't have said large chunk, although those adviseries might be extended down another tier if the earlier arrival time verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Jb is going with 1-3 inches for the clipper and a big snowstorm next week If the gfs op is correct then things don't look so bad. The clipper looks interesting and there's more chances afterwards. It develops more of a PNA which would help immensely and even though heights are above normal the low level cold is favorable enough for snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Jb is going with 1-3 inches for the clipper and a big snowstorm next week If timed right that event could be big, decent high dropping out if Canada and pattern is briefly favorable for something but again has to be perfectly timed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Jb is going with 1-3 inches for the clipper and a big snowstorm next week yep, he says there's an upper feature the models won't get and there will be quite a snowstorm from the plains east... please let him verify for once!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 yep, he says there's an upper feature the models won't get and there will be quite a snowstorm from the plains east... please let him verify for once!!! I'm not seeing it, I could see 2-4 though if if tracks off CNJ since it'll throw back some Atlantic moisture...every 15-20 year we have a surprise clipper and we are way overdue so who knows. The last one I recall was in the 95-98 period it tracked off Delaware and redeveloped and some places down there saw 12-14 inches unforecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Considering we haven't had much wintry precip in a month its gonna feel quite nasty up here tomorrow with 1-3" of Sn/Ip followed by Zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 I'm not seeing it, I could see 2-4 though if if tracks off CNJ since it'll throw back some Atlantic moisture...every 15-20 year we have a surprise clipper and we are way overdue so who knows. The last one I recall was in the 95-98 period it tracked off Delaware and redeveloped and some places down there saw 12-14 inches unforecast 2-4 would be a HECS this winter. Going on 11 months here since my last inch of snow. Wow-a foot of surprise snow...that must have been awesome. Don't remember it personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 2-4 would be a HECS this winter. Going on 11 months here since my last inch of snow. Wow-a foot of surprise snow...that must have been awesome. Don't remember it personally. I can't remember the year but it was coastal Delaware and Maryland and was totally unforecast other than an inch or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 So I glanced at a 7-day forecast for NYC on one of the TV weather stations and I became very enthused and encouraged as I saw the arctic blast next week. So, I had to log on to these forums because I thought the January forecast changed with a -NAO a -AO finally developing towards mid-month. But, I became quickly depressed when I signed onto these forums as I learned that we will still torch 97-98 style after the 10th through the end of the month with no shot of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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