Juliancolton Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I've always felt that a majority of the snow this Winter was going to fall in 3 or 4 larger events, and I still feel that way. We've had many Winters where everything looked far worse than this. The negativity in here is pretty unberable. Come see me in February if things still look bad. How many more significant storms than three or four do any winters have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 320sw0sw7847.gif Too funny! And accurate to boot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 320sw0sw7847.gif ROTFLMFAO.......thats the spirit 06 Nice catch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 320sw0sw7847.gif A few yrs ago they attached faces to those bodies up in the SNE thread lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Its amazing how everyone forgets we got 5 feet of snow in 5 weeks not to long ago. Its not even Christmas yet...Geez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Its amazing how everyone forgets we got 5 feet of snow in 5 weeks not to long ago. Its not even Christmas yet...Geez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 People starting with those "if it ain't gonna snow it might as well be warm" posts...could never understand that from a weather enthusiast. If the weather is gonna be boring, it should be comfortable at the least. But everyone has their own preferences, even weather enthusiasts. I wish it was 82 with clear skies and low humidity right now, with mid-90's and high DP's on the way for Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Its amazing how everyone forgets we got 5 feet of snow in 5 weeks not to long ago. Its not even Christmas yet...GeezI know...right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 not negativity, not at all but it is called being A realist and just looking out your window and not at some hour 300 of a model run, the pattern as of late has been what? Coastal huggers or cutters. Can you honestly say you see something strong enough to change the pattern that we are in? If so please explain as I would love to hear your insight that's whywe are here to discuss and learn. Agreed, what's the point of looking at the long range of the models if they change every few days? Its the end of December, and we have a couple more weeks of known crapshoot weather, so by that time what are the chances things will change? They won't. Every time we get a glimmer of hope in the models its gets ripped away and pushed further off into the future. Happens every crappy winter....we say "looks like it could flip soon"....and we keep saying that until the daffodils start popping...how often do we say "in the very long range looks like it will be crappy"? Hardly ever. And yes I'm trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Funky little swirl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 With all the cloudiness the last five days, no day has had a diurnal temp range of greater than 8 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 We had a cold November. That ruined it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 We had a cold November. That ruined it. Some El Nino years feature cold Novembers and then that's it. I believe 97-98 had a cold Nov and then warmth rest of the way. Not saying that happens this year, but it's something to think about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Some El Nino years feature cold Novembers and then that's it. I believe 97-98 had a cold Nov and then warmth rest of the way. Not saying that happens this year, but it's something to think about. Lets hope its not as bad as that winter...Jan-Mar had plus departures of 8,6 and 3 degrees...ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Lets hope its not as bad as that winter...Jan-Mar had plus departures of 8,6 and 3 degrees...ouch. To be fair, thats a little extreme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Nat gas collapses—‘This is panic selling’ http://www.cnbc.com/id/102289402 Call it the perfect nonstorm. Natural gas was cratering Monday, as mild weather forecasts compound a supply surplus and a general energy market swoon. Nat gas futures were as low as $3.12 per million British thermal units, which is the lowest level since January 2013, and represents a decline of 15 percent in two trading sessions. (The futures have ticked a bit higher after hitting those lows at 9:44 a.m. ET, but are still down sharply on the day.) The backdrop for the move is Thursday's natural gas inventory report, which showed a year-over-year supply surplus for the first time since December 2012. However, it was not until this news was compounded by a mild seven-day forecast for the Northeast that nat gas futures really started to plunge. And with this latest forecast, traders who have recently gotten long seem to have finally given up on the hope that a repeat of last winter is ahead, when frigid weather met shrinking supplies to send nat gas futures as high as $6.49. On Monday, then, the many traders who had been hoping for another superspike, "are panicking out of the trade" said Bill Baruch, senior market strategist at Chicago-based iiTrader. "This is panic selling right here." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Nat gas collapses—‘This is panic selling’ http://www.cnbc.com/id/102289402 Call it the perfect nonstorm. Natural gas was cratering Monday, as mild weather forecasts compound a supply surplus and a general energy market swoon. Nat gas futures were as low as $3.12 per million British thermal units, which is the lowest level since January 2013, and represents a decline of 15 percent in two trading sessions. (The futures have ticked a bit higher after hitting those lows at 9:44 a.m. ET, but are still down sharply on the day.) The backdrop for the move is Thursday's natural gas inventory report, which showed a year-over-year supply surplus for the first time since December 2012. However, it was not until this news was compounded by a mild seven-day forecast for the Northeast that nat gas futures really started to plunge. And with this latest forecast, traders who have recently gotten long seem to have finally given up on the hope that a repeat of last winter is ahead, when frigid weather met shrinking supplies to send nat gas futures as high as $6.49. On Monday, then, the many traders who had been hoping for another superspike, "are panicking out of the trade" said Bill Baruch, senior market strategist at Chicago-based iiTrader. "This is panic selling right here." We crushed them in november. They got their pound of flesh back. Crude has pulled everything lower. Plus there is so much December inventory in the pipeline January is going to have be 78 ish to run it like last year. That's not it the cards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 We crushed them in november. They got their pound of flesh back. Crude has pulled everything lower. Plus there is so much December inventory in the pipeline January is going to have be 78 ish to run it like last year. That's not it the cards you're giving up on the big cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 you're giving up on the big cold? To recap a month of posts. Dec 1 thru 15 no torch and below normal. Dec 20 thru 31 below normal Pattern change Dec 28th . Some snow xmas week. So far those are all my posts. I will give u 1000 bucks if u find me saying BIG COLD. You will find me saying stop being a baby and winter is not over and I think jan Feb March should be the crux of winter. Now what is Jan thru March get us. Normal w above normal snow But no big sustained cold. You will find me saying if u were expecting last winter you were irrational . All those Dec posts are there to read. Pattern change Dec 28th was last position . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 To recap a month of posts. Dec 1 thru 15 no torch and below normal. Dec 20 thru 31 below normal Pattern change Dec 28th . Some snow xmas week. So far those are all my posts. I will give u 1000 bucks if u find me saying BIG COLD. You will find me saying stop being a baby and winter is not over and I think jan Feb March should be the crux of winter. Now what is Jan thru March get us. Normal w above normal snow But no big sustained cold. You will find me saying if u were expecting last winter you were irrational . All those Dec posts are there to read. Pattern change Dec 28th was last position . Relax, a little ribbing in the banter thread for you... what does concern me is the Euro showing the dump of cold in western and central states and also the GFS ensembles moving a bit that way at 18z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 I've always considered Veruca a role model...along with Blair Warner...who I always felt possessed a certain je ne sais quoi that Blair Waldorf was lacking... Currently 43 F on the N. Shore of central Long Island. A light breeze out of the NE blows from time to time at less than 5 mph. The current snow depth is 0.0 inches. I swear, I've never see a stretch like this here...40-45 by day 30-35 by night and cloudy all the time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Relax, a little ribbing in the banter thread for you... what does concern me is the Euro showing the dump of cold in western and central states and also the GFS ensembles moving a bit that way at 18z.... Ok that's kool , didn`t mean to come off like a %$^ . Bad enough my Dec 20-31 looks shaky and am gona have to swing it out with DM . I don`t wana be on the hook like Judah Cohen . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongIslandWx14 Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 I swear, I've never see a stretch like this here...40-45 by day 30-35 by night and cloudy all the time....Going to break it into the 60s wed and Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 I swear, I've never see a stretch like this here...40-45 by day 30-35 by night and cloudy all the time.... That would probably be the winters from 1988 - 1992, 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 ...i had a funny 'jinx' feeling when i drove the snow stick into the ground last week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Ok that's kool , didn`t mean to come off like a %$^ . Bad enough my Dec 20-31 looks shaky and am gona have to swing it out with DM . I don`t wana be on the hook like Judah Cohen . In the words of Larry Merchant.... "Goodnight Sweet Prince" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 In the words of Larry Merchant.... "Goodnight Sweet Prince" sd.gif Dec 28 would count . " Xmas week " 15 rounds Joe . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Where are we Dec 28 - Jan 8 ? You hot or cold ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Where are we Dec 28 - Jan 8 ? You hot or cold ? http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/hpcminwbg.gif Do the Math...then extrap??? or better yet http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/t850std1_ussm_animation.html transitory phenomena Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/hpcminwbg.gif Do the Math...then extrap??? or better yet http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/t850std1_ussm_animation.html transitory phenomena Doorman you've proven Ncep products to be quite robust, even superior at times. What do you think these great American products will show come late Jan Feb? Feel free to use your crystal 8 ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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