Rjay Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Oh yea that disaster. Well after last winter we knew the law of averages would come into play so then I guess a crappy winter is expected. I would've been fine with that had it not been for all that hype of another cold and snowy winter. It's not even Christmas and you're basing your tossing of every respected poster's winter forecast off the 0z gfs OP run. Cool story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Hr 384 GFS looks on the verge of torching, FWIW. And it's worth absolutely nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 If this persists, *I* might even need to move the decimal point one place to the left on my very modest forecast of 20.0 inches of snow for Central Park this winter... *smirks in a semi-demure fashion* 3 of the last 5 winters would have been easily in the top 10 snowiest winters of the entire 20th century IMBY. that scares me that payback is gonna be a b**ch sooner rather than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 So how hideous was tonight's Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 So how hideous was tonight's Euro. Cutter 72 hrs Coastal Hugger 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Gfs wasnt bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 No more positivity at all so I guess being a Debbie downer wasn't such a bad thing after all. I knew we were screwed with all that hype for another cold, snowy winter. Also patterns usually don't change once they lock in December so I shoulve seen that coming. Get ready for a huge possible winter bust and utter failure of all the mets. And lol at people fast forwarding when winter will start so typical when we know the season will be a stinker. I was hopeful the Xmas storm would completely change things but it will never become the huge phaser we needed to force a NAO and now the MJO will muck things up again. This winter has a strong chance of sliding nicely into the upper echelon of horrible winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 It is becoming quite obvious now that if you live on the coast or coastal plain this winter will suck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 No more positivity at all so I guess being a Debbie downer wasn't such a bad thing after all. I knew we were screwed with all that hype for another cold, snowy winter. Also patterns usually don't change once they lock in December so I shoulve seen that coming. Get ready for a huge possible winter bust and utter failure of all the mets. And lol at people fast forwarding when winter will start so typical when we know the season will be a stinker. I was hopeful the Xmas storm would completely change things but it will never become the huge phaser we needed to force a NAO and now the MJO will muck things up again. This winter has a strong chance of sliding nicely into the upper echelon of horrible winters. if that happens, let's hope for warmth and sun. 45 and cloudy every day is tough. Agree though, the signs are not looking good for any LASTING pattern change....5-8 days and then back to no cold. Hopefully we can get a storm during that stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Epic busts by all of the forecasters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I mean chances are we get some snow event even if light. Even in the most awful winters we usually get something just by chance and because it's difficult to completely dodge snow. At least everyone will be going through this not just the mid atlantic. New England will struggle immensely and a huge chunk or most of the CONUS will likely be warm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Is it june yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Is it june yet? anyone got a summer forecast yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I've always felt that a majority of the snow this Winter was going to fall in 3 or 4 larger events, and I still feel that way. We've had many Winters where everything looked far worse than this. The negativity in here is pretty unberable. Come see me in February if things still look bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Gfs wasnt bad It was a disaster brah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 http://www.springtrainingconnection.com/reportingdates.html 40 days to pitchers and catchers . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I've always felt that a majority of the snow this Winter was going to fall in 3 or 4 larger events, and I still feel that way. We've had many Winters where everything looked far worse than this. The negativity in here is pretty unberable. Come see me in February if things still look bad.not negativity, not at all but it is called being A realist and just looking out your window and not at some hour 300 of a model run, the pattern as of late has been what? Coastal huggers or cutters. Can you honestly say you see something strong enough to change the pattern that we are in? If so please explain as I would love to hear your insight that's whywe are here to discuss and learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Epic busts by all of the forecasters? Seasonal forecasting is still very much a crapshoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Seasonal forecasting is still very much a crapshoot. And yet people crave them for some reason, I'll never understand that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 not negativity, not at all but it is called being A realist and just looking out your window and not at some hour 300 of a model run, the pattern as of late has been what? Coastal huggers or cutters. Can you honestly say you see something strong enough to change the pattern that we are in? If so please explain as I would love to hear your insight that's whywe are here to discuss and learn. Same way we don't get wall to wall cold & snow, something will break this pattern and give us some opportunities before March. Is this going to be a 30"+ season? Seems to growing more unlikely, but it's 'winter' for another 90 days so I think there will be chances... I will say the weather couldn't have broken much worse for the holiday week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 And yet people crave them for some reason, I'll never understand that. I keep seeing people post things like "If this winter doesn't live up to expectations, I'll never take seasonal forecasts at face value again!!1!" ...you don't say? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 People starting with those "if it ain't gonna snow it might as well be warm" posts...could never understand that from a weather enthusiast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 People starting with those "if it ain't gonna snow it might as well be warm" posts...could never understand that from a weather enthusiast. Cold and dry is depressing. Might as well be 60..save on heating bills and don't freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Cold and dry is depressing. Might as well be 60..save on heating bills and don't freezeEh I guess I'm just different then.... Love the cold even without snow...of course its better with snow but anyway... merry Christmas to all my fellow weather weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Eh I guess I'm just different then.... Love the cold even without snow...of course its better with snow but anyway... merry Christmas to all my fellow weather weenies. This month has been awful. Endless overcast with temps in the 30s. Reminds me of desperado..the sky won't snow and the sun won't shine.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 This month has been awful. Endless overcast with temps in the 30s. Reminds me of desperado..the sky won't snow and the sun won't shine..Yeah last sunny day was when... Friday? Not likely to see any significant sun till christmas day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yea these cloudy though chilly days have really enhanced this depressing December to forget and the cloudiness will continue for a few more days. You know things are bad when the temperatures for Xmas Eve/Xmas will be warmer than both Halloween and Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 This month has been awful. Endless overcast with temps in the 30s. Reminds me of desperado..the sky won't snow and the sun won't shine.. That thought crossed my mind as well. WFO Binghamton posted that yesterday was their 14th consecutive overcast day... that obviously has some local variation, but it's been pretty awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yeah last sunny day was when... Friday? Not likely to see any significant sun till christmas day. I'll be in NC..hoping for some squall line action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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