nyblizz44 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 funny, the modeled pattern change is at 300 hours and nobody is doubting it Valid point but I think anyone with a functional IQ recognizes that 300 hour 'forcasts' are nothing more than a prism of knowledge into a dark universe of info. Prespective, just as in life, matters a great deal, as Im sure you know, in Metr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Every day this month (except one) has featured precipitation, it's annoying now. Some sunshine would be nice. We're still making up for the precipitation deficit from last Spring and Summer. Some of the local reservoirs out here are still only around 50% capacity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 11, 2014 Author Share Posted December 11, 2014 Every day this month (except one) has featured precipitation, it's annoying now. Some sunshine would be nice. Starting tomorrow the next week is sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Valid point but I think anyone with a functional IQ recognizes that 300 hour 'forcasts' are nothing more than a prism of knowledge into a dark universe of info. Prespective, just as in life, matters a great deal, as Im sure you know, in Metr. Drugs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I know that - your weather knowledge is considered to be in the expert category - superior to anyone in this forum...... I'm fairly certain that everyone in here over the age of 14 is smart enough to know that KU events are rare, but thanks for playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Starting tomorrow the next week is sunny I wouldn't be so sure of that, middle of the week could be interesting with the system coming out of the lakes interacting with the polar jet. The 12z PGFS even develops a late developing miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 cripple fight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 cripple fight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 8 events in 18 years is rare ???? Also if they are so rare why are there some in this forum always expecting them every year including yourself ???? KU word is constantly be thrown around in this forum - in fact some are disappointed in a season without one The last 18 years are an anomaly, I know that you're not that stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 some people need to get a room. Or we need a decent winter event. The lousy pattern is clearly getting to some people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 some people need to get a room. Or we need a decent winter event. The lousy pattern is clearly getting to some people. It's December 11th and I've already seen accumulating snow four times this season, that's a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 It's December 11th and I've already seen accumulating snow four times this season, that's a win. Just had my first last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Just had my first last night. Congrats, I just don't understand all the roof jumping on December 11th. What are the expectations around here these days? 30" by Christmas or bust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I admit you are superior in weather knowledge to me and everyone else in this forum - even forkyfork and allsnow - a true legend around these parts If you think that Forky and Allsnow are legends then you probably should see a doctor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Just had my first last night. This is one of those things you don't share on a wx forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 If you think that Forky and Allsnow are legends then you probably should see a doctor Lol. Good post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 This is one of those things you don't share on a wx forum. Hey better late than never! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 11, 2014 Author Share Posted December 11, 2014 Congrats, I just don't understand all the roof jumping on December 11th. What are the expectations around here these days? 30" by Christmas or bust? I don't think many are jumping. I think the same 2 or 3 are jumping over and over so it just seems that way. As far as getting a KU/12"+ event maybe we will maybe we won't but I don't think how many we've had in the past 10-20 years dictates what we'll see this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 KU-type events are overrated, anyway. Picking up a surprise 6" from a clipper can be more exciting than clutching for the low end of a 12-16" range in a big nor'easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 KU-type events are overrated, anyway. Picking up a surprise 6" from a clipper can be more exciting than clutching for the low end of a 12-16" range in a big nor'easter. KU's will never be overrated because they are such an anomaly that's it's tough not to be an awe of them when they occur. What I don't want is to see a KU and then a huge torch and rain that wipes everything out 2-3 days later. If it was that option versus consistent cold and nickle and dime events keeping a prolonged snow pack then I'll take that over the KU. KU's are great when they occur but the after can suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 KU's will never be overrated because they are such an anomaly that's it's tough not to be an awe of them when they occur. What I don't want is to see a KU and then a huge torch and rain that wipes everything out 2-3 days later. If it was that option versus consistent cold and nickle and dime events keeping a prolonged snow pack then I'll take that over the KU. KU's are great when they occur but the after can suck. Most people in these parts seemed disgusted by our most recent NESIS-rated event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 11, 2014 Author Share Posted December 11, 2014 Most people in these parts seemed disgusted by our most recent NESIS-rated event. Duh it only counts if it lasts 3 days, produces 2 feet or more and doesn't melt for a month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Duh it only counts if it lasts 3 days, produces 2 feet or more and doesn't melt for a month To me anything over a foot is a nice KU and if it lasts at least 7-10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Some people here don't understand what a KU event is. 30" of snow at KSWF and 3" of rain from the same storm at KJFK is still a KU event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 This is one of those things you don't share on a wx forum. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Congrats, I just don't understand all the roof jumping on December 11th. What are the expectations around here these days? 30" by Christmas or bust? Given all the big forecasts, I think many went all in and expected an end to end 95-96 type winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 11, 2014 Author Share Posted December 11, 2014 Some people here don't understand what a KU event is. 30" of snow at KSWF and 3" of rain from the same storm at KJFK is still a KU event. Well technically its only a KU event if it makes the NESIS list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Given all the big forecasts, I think many went all in and expected an end to end 95-96 type winter. I'm still calling for a top 5 Winter of all time, with 3 or 4 high end events. With one of them occuring in late December, one in early January and then two in February with a quiet period from around Martin Luther King Day to Valentines Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Well technically its only a KU event if it makes the NESIS list. That would still make the NESIS list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Just to pick a recent storm, this was NESIS rated 3 and the NYC area had very little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.