UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Look, you post some meaningful stuff. But with all due respect, you are a tad irritable. Take it down a notch. Can't get bent out of shape over comments. Look at Snow88, people throw jabs at him all the time and he never hits back. Ok he's a big snow weenie but still....most of us are or we wouldn't be here. Me, I'm only here in the winter, unless a huge hurricane is coming, and that ain't often. I'll just keep my posts to NW burbs forum cause as soon as models start trending out of someone's favor it's instantly hostile in those storm threads.. if the nam showed 2 feet for those couple of guys they would be spitting some nonsense about how it's a viable solution... The burbs and city bickering is redic and I'm over it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Now that would make for a bullet proof pack. I never hated getting sleet when there was already a snowpack. Turning it all into cement isn't as bad as you'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Maybe it will find a home here; having been safely minimized by me... I look at the ECMWF, GFS, NAM, GGEM, RGEM, GEM-LAM (great is short range for snow precision)...I don't really look at the UKMET much, I do look at the ARW & NNM (which nailed Monday's cutoff)....the HRRR & RAP in the short range)...and I once lived & died with the SUNY MM5...the best rain / snow line model ever...but it seems to have been discontinued. You can end up looking at too many...as was the case on Monday...the ensembles (mainly GFS) I check occasionally...but it can get to be too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Apparently the model maintained by the ECMWF has its own name... the Integrated Forecast System. I always assumed it was a Frankenstein kind of deal where the creator had a name but not the product. Who knew? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Maybe it will find a home here; having been safely minimized by me... I look at the ECMWF, GFS, NAM, GGEM, RGEM, GEM-LAM (great is short range for snow precision)...I don't really look at the UKMET much, I do look at the ARW & NNM (which nailed Monday's cutoff)....the HRRR & RAP in the short range)...and I once lived & died with the SUNY MM5...the best rain / snow line model ever...but it seems to have been discontinued. You can end up looking at too many...as was the case on Monday...the ensembles (mainly GFS) I check occasionally...but it can get to be too much. ..no matter how you slice this pie a tricky forecast IMO .for sunday night Monday .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 ..no matter how you slice this pie a tricky forecast IMO .for sunday night Monday .. You know, I suffer from an ulcer...and after all those perfectly reasonable posts of mine were sent to the garbage bin...including the one you quoted that I was able to rescue...its been hurting ever since...that was not such a nice thing to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 what is it with you new yorkers and blocking the left lane? omg Idiots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Idiots Way awesomer drivers in Texas. Trafic in Austin's a b***h though since the city's doubled in size in the last 30 years and not one piece of infrastructure has been built to deal with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Way awesomer drivers in Texas. Trafic in Austin's a b***h though since the city's doubled in size in the last 30 years and not one piece of infrastructure has been built to deal with it. Isn't Austin the land of hippies nowadays? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 i know im going to get over a foot here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 i know im going to get over a foot hereI thought I was going to get 3o inches of snow last Monday/Tue ..patience is key .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Does anyone think we can lock Arctic air for most of Feb, and have 5 or less days above freezing. My guess for above freezing days in Feb 2015 2/4/2015 2/16/2015 2/26-2/28 All other days below freezing. NYC departure -5.3 F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Does anyone think we can lock Arctic air for most of Feb, and have 5 or less days above freezing. My guess for above freezing days in Feb 2015 2/4/2015 2/16/2015 2/26-2/28 All other days below freezing. NYC departure -5.3 F No, but I think there is a good chance that the minimum temperature for almost every day in February will be below freezing...so you have that going for you...which is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Feb 29th and 30th will probably break cold records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Perhaps one of the most important lessons in my life was taught to me by a cab driver in the Bronx in the 1980 film Night of the Juggler. She told her passenger James Brolin, "You push too hard...people gonna push back." Words to live by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Perhaps one of the most important lessons in my life was taught to me by a cab driver in the Bronx in the 1980 film Night of the Juggler. She told her passenger James Brolin, "You push too hard...people gonna push back." Words to live by.well said ..another good one ..is " don't take my kindness for weakness ". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Maybe it will find a home here; having been safely minimized by me... I look at the ECMWF, GFS, NAM, GGEM, RGEM, GEM-LAM (great is short range for snow precision)...I don't really look at the UKMET much, I do look at the ARW & NNM (which nailed Monday's cutoff)....the HRRR & RAP in the short range)...and I once lived & died with the SUNY MM5...the best rain / snow line model ever...but it seems to have been discontinued. You can end up looking at too many...as was the case on Monday...the ensembles (mainly GFS) I check occasionally...but it can get to be too much. I read last night that the RPM model is basically a down scaled version of the WRF model. It definitely nailed the sharp cutoff on Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 well said ..another good one ..is " don't take my kindness for weakness ". The *very* best however, was given by the counselor to inmate Sean Penn at an Illinois Reformatory in the 1982 flic Bad Boys. "Now I suggest you stay cool...because if you f up...the only one you will be f'en up is you. You've got 6 months to go before your review. Do your time clean and you walk. Mess up, and you can grow old in here jack." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 After a slow start , will finish up January with 16.9" of snow here...with most of that falling since the 24th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 After a slow start , will finish up January with 16.9" of snow here...with most of that falling since the 24th. since 2011 NYC was averaging 15.4" for January...this year has 15.3" so far keeping the average intact...If NYC didn't get any more snow for January over the next five years it would end up average for the ten years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 See my avatar.... "screw this, let JB decide" says Mr Punx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Anyone know where our subforum's curmudgeon William is/has been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 In my opinion ..important models today are 12z and oz ..GFs and euro ..everything else ..just "background noise" IMO .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The *very* best however, was given by the counselor to inmate Sean Penn at an Illinois Reformatory in the 1982 flic Bad Boys. "Now I suggest you stay cool...because if you f up...the only one you will be f'en up is you. You've got 6 months to go before your review. Do your time clean and you walk. Mess up, and you can grow old in here jack." The *very* best however, was given by the counselor to inmate Sean Penn at an Illinois Reformatory in the 1982 flic Bad Boys. "Now I suggest you stay cool...because if you f up...the only one you will be f'en up is you. You've got 6 months to go before your review. Do your time clean and you walk. Mess up, and you can grow old in here jack." Wow that was such an underrated movie, it has sort of come back a bit on cable in recent years. I actually was a social worker in Essex county's juvie. What a depressing place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Anyone know where our subforum's curmudgeon William is/has been? Anyone know where our subforum's curmudgeon William is/has been? Anyone know where our subforum's curmudgeon William is/has been? I believe she is Pamela now...correct me if I'm wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 since 2011 NYC was averaging 15.4" for January...this year has 15.3" so far keeping the average intact...If NYC didn't get any more snow for January over the next five years it would end up average for the ten years... Hope it doesn't play out that way lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I believe she is Pamela now...correct me if I'm wrong...Port Jeff and a sly style with digressions into stories and quotes - yes. Missing the acerbic vinegary part though.. The old days with William and Alex bantering in overnight hours...so long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Well last week I wasted a weekend following a busted blizzard. Now it looks like it is going to find a way to not snow here again. 10 freaking degrees out today, as cold a winter as you could ask for,yet we get rain and sleet. I am ready for spring. ice storms are just a pain and are dangerous. I have to worry about power outages and basement flood, trying to get a generator started and they put the damn sparkplugs in places where you can't get to them. I would rather live in the tropics then deal with ice storms, much as I love thesnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 what a joke people need to stop acting like the euro is the best model...its really not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 what a joke people need to stop acting like the euro is the best model...its really not ...quantitatively speaking, it usually is the "best" model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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