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Winter 2014-15 Banter Thread


Stormlover74

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-6 at west hampton last night. I have to question it again. Surrounding stations made the low teens which is much more reasonable. If you look at the temp chart you see it go from 3 to -6 in one hour. Just doesn't seem likely. I know it radiates well I'm the pine barrens but I have always been suspect of this station

 

Well I drove past there at like 6:30 AM and the reading in my vehicle was -2F, and if anything has a warm bias. I'm pretty confident it was below 0 at least

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Zirob would you like to elaborate, how I'm a weenie for a simple post about what the nam shows.. Not even my opinion about the nam, but only what it shows. And somehow I'm a location weenie? Sounds like you don't like what nam put out so you attack me? Am I wrong?.. Cause if you would like we can go back and find ALL my posts and not 1 single mention about my location and what I need for this to be a good storm up here.. But all I see is people whining about there back yards and blah blah blah.. Showing what a model shows no matter how accurate that model may be is not being a weenie, it's givin people's information....

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Zirob would you like to elaborate, how I'm a weenie for a simple post about what the nam shows.. Not even my opinion about the nam, but only what it shows. And somehow I'm a location weenie? Sounds like you don't like what nam put out so you attack me? Am I wrong?.. Cause if you would like we can go back and find ALL my posts and not 1 single mention about my location and what I need for this to be a good storm up here.. But all I see is people whining about there back yards and blah blah blah.. Showing what a model shows no matter how accurate that model may be is not being a weenie, it's givin people's information....

My friend I didn't say that. That was someone else. I was just simply poking fun by pointing out your location. Didn't call you a weenie or criticize anyone about what the NAM was showing 

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My friend I didn't say that. That was someone else. I was just simply poking fun by pointing out your location. Didn't call you a weenie or criticize anyone about what the NAM was showing

But that's my point, I know where I live, and I'm about as far from a weenie as they come, i also do not post imby comments EVER and I was doubting that blizzard all night cause the short term sim radars didn't like it....and was getting badgered then... In any effect people need to stop taking posts about a model personally, I took these personally cause they were in fact directed towards me, not a model.... Voice your frustration about the models but not the people describing what they show

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The 18z NAM predicts...Dallas wins Superbowl XLIX.

 

On a more serious note, I believe all the guidance needs to be considered right now given that the event is still more than 48 hours away. While the NAM's solution is probably a lower probability scenario, perhaps something close to one end of the proverbial spectrum of possible outcomes. It still looks like a pretty decent snowfall across much of the Metro area and suburbs, but final details remain to be resolved. I suspect an ECMWF-GFS compromise makes the most sense right now, but we'll see what happens.

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The 18z NAM predicts...Dallas wins Superbowl XLIX.

On a more serious note, I believe all the guidance needs to be considered right now given that the event is still more than 48 hours away. While the NAM's solution is probably a lower probability scenario, perhaps something close to one end of the proverbial spectrum of possible outcomes. It still looks like a pretty decent snowfall across much of the Metro area and suburbs, but final details remain to be resolved. I suspect an ECMWF-GFS compromise makes the most sense right now, but we'll see what happens.

Haha, not Washington? That would be a more NAM-esque solution!

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Word's out about Sunday-Monday's storm. People are already talking about 12-24 in Boston because a social media modelogist posted something.

 

As much as I love weather, I hate the fact that social media has given anyone with a model and enough confidence to gain credibility. It undermines real meteorology. 

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But that's my point, I know where I live, and I'm about as far from a weenie as they come, i also do not post imby comments EVER and I was doubting that blizzard all night cause the short term sim radars didn't like it....and was getting badgered then... In any effect people need to stop taking posts about a model personally, I took these personally cause they were in fact directed towards me, not a model.... Voice your frustration about the models but not the people describing what they show

 

But that's my point, I know where I live, and I'm about as far from a weenie as they come, i also do not post imby comments EVER and I was doubting that blizzard all night cause the short term sim radars didn't like it....and was getting badgered then... In any effect people need to stop taking posts about a model personally, I took these personally cause they were in fact directed towards me, not a model.... Voice your frustration about the models but not the people describing what they show

Look, you post some meaningful stuff. But with all due respect, you are a tad irritable. Take it down a notch. Can't get bent out of shape over comments. Look at Snow88, people throw jabs at him all the time and he never hits back. Ok he's a big snow weenie but still....most of us are or we wouldn't be here. Me, I'm only here in the winter, unless a huge hurricane is coming, and that ain't often.

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