Superstorm93 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I have actual anxiety over this storm right now. I can't recall a time that a weather event had a physical impact on my health (Except for that one time in Wyoming with the baseball sized hail...or the heat stroke in Cancun) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 After the NAM and GFS runs it was really difficult, but after that fourth consecutive Euro run: http://www.madeinmichiganpolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/Dewey-defeats-Truman-e1352176800442-smaller.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I have actual anxiety over this storm right now. I can't recall a time that a weather event had a physical impact on my health (Except for that one time in Wyoming with the baseball sized hail...or the heat stroke in Cancun) i had to take a xanax about an hour ago, i have problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 (Except for that one time in Wyoming with the baseball sized hail...or the hangover in Cancun) This seems a bit more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I have actual anxiety over this storm right now. I can't recall a time that a weather event had a physical impact on my health (Except for that one time in Wyoming with the baseball sized hail...or the heat stroke in Cancun) As soon as I saw the Euro map, tranquility and happiness took over and I am living in the moment, glad to share these moments with other weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This is good. I was close sorry to disappoint you. Maybe in another 12 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This seems a bit more likely. Tequila and UV indices of 13 are no bueno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 As soon as I saw the Euro map, tranquility and happiness took over and I am living in the moment, glad to share these moments with other weenies Haha the whole thing is actual pretty funny and entertaining. I felt the same way when I saw it still have most of us 20"+, but then moments later I started thinking to myself that I'm sure this will shift east at 12z again as the other models shift west a bit and form a consensus of the real major hit over central/eastern LI and SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 HRRR should be coming into to accurate range now. You think it can handle the complexity and dynamics of this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 HRRR should be coming into to accurate range now. You think it can handle the complexity and dynamics of this storm? The HRRR's 3km resolution makes it extremely susceptible to large run-run changes due to its handling of complex meso-scale processes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 So if the Euro does score the win, we need to look at the actual models (like the code, equations, initial params, etc) used for the GFS, NAM, etc. and the hardware on which they are run. Or just admit defeat and beg to be allowed entrance into the ECMWF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The past 3 days would be such an incredible MET lab... I'm going to miss this point and click Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro almost pulled off a big east coast storm in the first week of February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro almost pulled off a big east coast storm in the first week of February That time frame remains a good target for our next significant storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 biggest srefs of the century in a few minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 biggest srefs of the century in a few minutes Disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 1000% going east. Going with the trends and early timing on the clipper and late capture.This guy was really lettin me have it when I said the euro wasn't gonna disappoint lol.. All in good fun tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 ukie east as well...aanyone that thinks the euro is holding is borderline delusional...srry This one's seriously done.....as far as being an epic storm goes. I've moved on and must say I've accepted this one easier than other blown forecasts.....I think because I never really saw this one happening at all like the euro showed yea what a shame though...the euros credability is absolutely tossed at this point...it has shown so many extreme solutions far out that have dissappeared and had a mecs/hecs for us inside 100 hours for saturday and a hecs inside 48 hours this time...awful awful model Writing is on the wall -- nice snowstorm but not historic. I was really hoping the UKIE would hold serve and it sounds like it slashed QPF in half. Nemo was nice because it looked like we wouldn't get much and ended up with 14". I think most were OK the CT got destroyed. Psychologically this is a huge loss for 2 reasons if we don't get the widespread 20-30". 1) Euro caught on first and had 3 runs in a row of 24-30"+ into NYC Metro in the 48 hrs prior to the start of the flakes falling. This would be a major fail for that model. 2) NWS hoists blizzard warnings and forecasts the highest amounts likely ever in the NYC Metro area 24 hrs before a storm. If they don't come close to verifying that is gonna really hurt their credibility. I feel like people were not as prepared for Sandy as they should have been due to the Irene hypefest/fail 1 year prior. Hope that the Euro/NWS prevail but it isn't looking good based on trends. i just find it ludicrous that after 3 runs of JP nyc and giving this whole sub forum like 18+ 48 hours out...the euro is just gunna fold like a deck of cards almost approaching unbelievable status in my mind Huge -- and has solid reasoning behind the fold (50/50 low much weaker than expected). I've made it this far so I'm gonna stay up for the Euro but looks like we can say bye bye historic storm for NYC proper. As almost always with Miller Bs, congrats SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 HAHAHAHA... I feel like you and I were the only ones trying to calm people down, and you woulda thought we killed someone the way people responded.. Looking for any reason to guarantee the euro would cave... King euro does as king euro pleases.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro vs. the rest. How will it end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro vs. the rest. How will it end? Well really euro euro ensembles sref's and waiting on nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 NAM IS WEST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 KING EURO??????!? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 175 in the nyc forum at 3 am. You people have issues. Oh me? I just stayed up to ahh, check on something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 175 in the nyc forum at 3 am. You people have issues. Oh me? I just stayed up to ahh, check on something. I just had to go to the bathroom! I swear!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Sick sick ppl i swear! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well really euro euro ensembles sref's and waiting on nam You are correct, and now the nam is west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 175 in the nyc forum at 3 am. You people have issues. Oh me? I just stayed up to ahh, check on something. We are all crazy in our own little worlds.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 175 in the nyc forum at 3 am. You people have issues. Oh me? I just stayed up to ahh, check on something. lol just to make sure there weren't crazy people still up on a weather forum right ? same reason I came on ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Don't worry so much about modeled QPF on a run to run basis. Look at the evolution and dynamics. This is going to be a great few days, if it makes history so be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.