SnowGoose69 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The MJO is definitely turning in our favor there is no doubt about that, it's only a matter of time before the AO does too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 12:21 AM, swamplover56 said: Dt coming in and giving a reality check. Pattern may be colder but certainly not snowier def no sign of a large storm Quite the opposite of what his thoughts were a couple months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 At least he's changing his outlook others will just go down with the proverbial ship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 12:28 AM, DTWXRISK said: Yeah I can certainly a reason to be hopeful about a big snow pattern mid Jan ... No one in here is really honking about a big snow pattern, the debate has been about whether we can sneak an event in before a potentially more favorable period after 1/20 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 12:50 AM, swamplover56 said: At least he's changing his outlook others will just go down with the proverbial ship If he changes his outlook it doesnt automatically mean he's going to be right anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 1:10 AM, NEXtreme said: If he changes his outlook it doesnt automatically mean he's going to be right anyway. "pooch screwing" comes to mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 4:17 AM, Pamela said: This will be the 8th January in a row (back to 2008) that I will be going to Carvel to buy my own birthday cake...lol. Happy birthday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 4:26 AM, Pamela said: Thnxs! I hate birthdays. They remind me of my mortality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 You know things are slow weather-wise when a weather board comes to a screeching halt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 FWIW, Nick Gregory has answered my question. He Tweeted that January remains cold. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 4:17 AM, Pamela said: This will be the 8th January in a row (back to 2008) that I will be going to Carvel to buy my own birthday cake...lol. Well, there's your problem. Ice cream cakes don't count as real birthday cakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 4:45 AM, Juliancolton said: Well, there's your problem. Ice cream cakes don't count as real birthday cakes. Especially in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Back to weather ..banter ..I know some were and still are hoping for surprise from this clipper.. Coating to one inch fair call IMO .after that..who knows .I still say watch ,...out end of jan..Feb..but we shall see ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 First teens of the season here. It feels horrible outside, I don't get how some can enjoy this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Well, it looks like the LR forecasters were sort of right. They got the storminess right and the cold, too. Just not the timing is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 11:28 AM, Cfa said: First teens of the season here. It feels horrible outside, I don't get how some can enjoy this. At least you can dress for it and be relatively comfortable. There's no dressing for 90 and humid...although some people seem pretty comfortable all summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 12:47 PM, Snowshack said: At least you can dress for it and be relatively comfortable. There's no dressing for 90 and humid...although some people seem pretty comfortable all summer. Adding on a ton of bulk isn't exactly comfortable despite popular belief and then you're being sweated out from the inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Cold is here ; eventually cold/snow will mesh and we get snow ..now IMO if somehow between now and Jan 12 something can come together great other wise despite cold I believe between Jan 13-25 cutters etc..as I hear people speculate the SE ridge will hurt as more ..Lastly I think...Feb to March 15 is are real window of opportunity.. I'm basing the above on mostly a hunch ...let's see what transpires .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I do not see prolonged period of moderation at all. A cutter with a transient warm shot is likely, though. Closer to the 18th or 19th, lasting for maybe 4 or 5 days. Then. we're back in the freezer with chances for snow as the MJO moves into phase 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 12:52 PM, SnoSki14 said: Adding on a ton of bulk isn't exactly comfortable despite popular belief and then you're being sweated out from the inside. It seems to vary considerably person to person.. For whatever reason I acclimate to the cold much more quickly than the heat .. we spent last week in the central Adirondacks doing outdoor activities with temps mostly in the teens and by the end of the week was comfortable in a sweatshirt. On the other hand, I sweat like a slug when its over 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 12:47 PM, Snowshack said: At least you can dress for it and be relatively comfortable. There's no dressing for 90 and humid...although some people seem pretty comfortable all summer. I find it much easier (and more comfortable) to dress for 90 and humid than 15 and windy. In my experience there's a very fine line between under and overdressing in extreme cold. On 1/6/2015 at 12:52 PM, SnoSki14 said: Adding on a ton of bulk isn't exactly comfortable despite popular belief and then you're being sweated out from the inside. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 12:16 AM, DTWXRISK said: really? there is no mid month winter storm threat What am I missing....I see the threat(s) as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 12:50 AM, swamplover56 said: At least he's changing his outlook others will just go down with the proverbial shipNot everyone had above avg snow and below avg temps all winter long fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 1:04 PM, Snowshack said: It seems to vary considerably person to person.. For whatever reason I acclimate to the cold much more quickly than the heat .. we spent last week in the central Adirondacks doing outdoor activities with temps mostly in the teens and by the end of the week was comfortable in a sweatshirt. On the other hand, I sweat like a slug when its over 85. That is true. I acclimate to the heat much better than the cold, it could be 80 degrees next week and I wouldn't break a sweat, yet I can barely tolerate the gradual transition from summer to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 1:10 PM, Cfa said: I find it much easier (and more comfortable) to dress for 90 and humid than 15 and windy. In my experience there's a very fine line between under and overdressing in extreme cold. I agree. Agree about the wind part, that can change the equation. Also will say ive found the cold a little less comfortable since age 40 although I try to keep the whimpering to a minimum when my wifes around.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I can deal with the cold as long as the winds are relatively light but when you start gusting 35mph+ it becomes a challenge. I also am able to quickly develop tolerance to the heat but that doesn't mean I enjoy it and again if the dews are 70+ even heat tolerance won't help you there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Blizzard has begun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer67 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 As if the Weather Channel naming storms wasn't ridiculous to begin with...they've actually named this clipper...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 1:04 PM, Snowshack said: It seems to vary considerably person to person..body fat plays a role... fat insulates and lean people have a bigger ratio of skin surface area to body mass so excess heat is released faster and sweating helps cool the body faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The question I have is how can a person charge someone for a 3 week forecast when many forecasters have been wrong in the longer range this winter ? Lets take a poll - What would you charge for a 3 week forecast ? If you busted and someone asked for a refund would you give them a refund ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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