EastCoast NPZ Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Since the winters of the great late 70's, DCA has only hit climo once (99-00) without banking at least 1" during Dec. Exactly. With our limited window in the mid-atl, we can't afford to punt 1/3 of our entire winter, regardless if (climo-wise) it is not a snowy month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Since the winters of the great late 70's, DCA has only hit climo once (99-00) without banking at least 1" during Dec. And all the snow came in one week anchored by a major storm which nobody saw coming until 6 hours before the first flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Correlation or causation?Hard to spin no snow in Dec as unimportant imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Exactly. With our limited window in the mid-atl, we can't afford to punt 1/3 of our entire winter, regardless if (climo-wise) is not a snowy month. Climo-wise, December isn't a whole lot better than March, especially if you live around Winchester, so it's really 1/4 of our snow season Get a good setup in January and a few 3-6" events and we can catch up very quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Have people forgotten that last year on this date we had had about 7 days of winter, many had seen only token snow, and we all would end up waiting until after Jan 1 for snow to fall again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 what the f people... get a hold of yourselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Climo-wise, December isn't a whole lot better than March, so it's really 1/4 of our snow season. Get a good setup in January and a few 3-6" events and we can catch up very quickly. I get what you're saying, but there is a big difference between Dec snow and Mar snow which generally falls half-melted and finishes that process about 15 minutes after the storm stops. Statistically, there is no difference, but I just can't get too excited about Mar. snow (except only as stats padding). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Meltdowns are hilarious, as are the valiant efforts to rescue a winter that was doomed to failure before it even started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 what the f people... get a hold of yourselves. Based on Ian's prediction for my yard, you should probably put a decimal point between the 2 and 0 in your sig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Based on Ian's prediction for my yard, you should probably put a decimal point between the 2 and 0 in your sig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Meltdowns are hilarious, as are the valiant efforts to rescue a winter that was doomed to failure before it even started. Is that what your magic 8-ball said? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 what the f people... get a hold of yourselves. Well, there was a panic / venting / group therapy thread, but it was deleted. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Meltdowns are hilarious, as are the valiant efforts to rescue a winter that was doomed to failure before it even started. As is a winter cancel from someone who ended up with 50" last year and yet was miserable for half the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 We're saved! https://twitter.com/RaleighWx/status/545578670165729280/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Well, there was a panic / venting / group therapy thread, but it was deleted. lol. No, that was the insane, psycho thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Based on Ian's prediction for my yard, you should probably put a decimal point between the 2 and 0 in your sig.Sharp cutoff. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 We're saved! https://twitter.com/RaleighWx/status/545578670165729280/photo/1 Great, more modeled patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Have people forgotten that last year on this date we had had about 7 days of winter, many had seen only token snow, and we all would end up waiting until after Jan 1 for snow to fall again?Last dec was AOA most of the area.Edit: 95 and west at least, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Great, more modeled patterns. It's only 324 hours away on the gfs op! Quick math: 2 weeks away + 2 weeks because models rush things + 2 weeks lag on the effect = 6 weeks before it gets good + the fact that the GFS op sucks in the long range = winter cancel. Don't blame me for the cancel. Blame the math. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It's only 324 hours away on the gfs op! Quick math: 2 weeks away + 2 weeks because models rush things + 2 weeks lag on the effect = 6 weeks before it gets good + the fact that the GFS op sucks in the long range = winter cancel. Don't blame me for the cancel. Blame the math. I'll be out of town the first week of January so therefore it's gonna HECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Sharp cutoff. Sorry. You missed the warm nose. 2" rain in DC and 3.7" fluff bomb for rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 I get what you're saying, but there is a big difference between Dec snow and Mar snow which generally falls half-melted and finishes that process about 15 minutes after the storm stops. Statistically, there is no difference, but I just can't get too excited about Mar. snow (except only as stats padding). I wish that December with its low sun angle and holiday spirit was a better month for snow, but it isn't, and knowing where we live, I'll take what I can get. It takes luck and a good setup to get extended snow cover and it doesn't happen every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Last dec was AOA most of the area. Edit: 95 and west at least, It was nearly a +3 in Winchester. I swear I don't know what makes some people tic. We will either have a good winter or we won't. Our hopes and emotions don't have diddly to do with what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It was nearly a +3 in Winchester. I swear I don't know what makes some people tic. We will either have a good winter or we won't. Our hopes and emotions don't have diddly to do with what happens. Last December was a great snow month. Not the coldest, but it sure did deliver. For comparison, last year on this date I had around 8" of snow. Now, it's .65". I'm not canceling, I'm just putting it in perspective. I never thought this year would be as good as last year, so I won't be disappointed if I don't get 50". Actually, my prediction for MBY is 36", which I don't think is unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 Meltdowns are hilarious, as are the valiant efforts to rescue a winter that was doomed to failure before it even started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 In the last 50 years, BWI has numerous winters with AA snowfall in December that ended up BN on the season. There are also something like 10 winters with BN December snowfall that ended up AA on the season. Take some pills people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 anigif_enhanced-23345-1398074813-11.gif He posts some funky a$$ sh!t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 He posts some funky a$$ sh!t. people just want to be miserable, I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 This winter has the feel of your favorite team acquiring great free agents and draft pics in the off season and all the experts are picking a run at the championship. But ended up going 0-4 during the first month and fights are breaking out in the locker room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 people just want to be miserable, I guess And do their best to make others miserable as well. You know the saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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