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December 2014 Banter Thread


H2O

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It looks pretty good though the 500mb passage is too close for my liking at this range. I'd rather have some breathing room for the inevitable negative trend locally.

My issue is maybe more that we've been continuing to consider longer ranges more useful every year at a greater rate than the models are improving.

Yup, I think it's the maps that have done it....inside day 3 is still about when the emotion of being excited makes any sense.

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Do we always get all the snow models try to give us? It is insane to keep buying into things when history shows that we don't get buried

 

You'd think weenies were running around screaming "I'm definitely getting a foot of snow from this storm!" in the MR/LR thread.  I don't see what the big deal is with the Euro analysis.  I don't see anyone betting on anything either way and its safe to say most here understand that a lot can change over the next 7 days.  

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Do we always get all the snow models try to give us? It is insane to keep buying into things when history shows that we don't get buried

I don't take a day 6 or 7 threat seriously. I didn't see anyone who was. Maybe people think because we talk about it, that means we think it's going to happen. I sure don't think it will happen like that.

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I'm sorry I snapped but there is a history of me and others who don't weenie it up getting attacked. That's not going to fly with me anymore at least.

 

non-weenies get hated on the most here, but the funny part is that the non-weenies are probably correct more of the time simply because it usually doesn't snow here lol.  it's the bob ryan style of forecasting.  my guess is he's probably been the most accurate of the local forecasters here over the years.  personally, i just want to know if it's gonna snow.  i don't like it being sugar coated.  i have a coworker who loved JB and would get hyped over every storm.  not my style.  i'm a realist and don't need to see what "might" happen to get the big one.  that's not forecasting, that's wishcasting.

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JB has always been a mega hype forecaster, but he was pretty decent back in the day when he wasn't as 'big time'. That was back in when he still helped out with PSUs 'Weather World' along with other talented mets. 

 

i didn't even know about him really until the eastern days.  i never followed him.  once i saw some of the maps people would post from him i knew that he was either trying to hype or forecasting what he wanted to happen instead of what was most likely to happen.  i don't get too hyped following fantasy storms.  i've lived here long enough to know the conditions need to be really good for us to get a storm.  this pattern doesn't seem great, but it does feel like we'll be entering the snow zone soon if this pattern continues long enough.

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With his 16.8 mil salary next year unless he takes a huge pay cut, he is gone.

Yeah, he could be gone, but anyway a win is a win doesn't matter how we looked. I knew today would be ugly. Now we have to get back up for next week just like we did for Miami. Season comes down to taking care of business in Houston.

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