Zelocita Weather Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Nam has a touch of snow with some ice/rain Gfs, euro,rgem more excited for 1-2" of snow in some spots... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Nam has a touch of snow with some ice/rain Gfs, euro,rgem more excited for 1-2" of snow in some spots... The RGEM actually has banding signatures in northern MD with up to 3-4 inches there...this is similar to that event last year or maybe the year before where Philly got slammed as well as parts of MD, by the time it got up here alot of the forcing was gone,..this one the setup seems better to produce up here, I believe that event the airmass up this way was too dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 The RGEM actually has banding signatures in northern MD with up to 3-4 inches there...this is similar to that event last year or maybe the year before where Philly got slammed as well as parts of MD, by the time it got up here alot of the forcing was gone,..this one the setup seems better to produce up here, I believe that event the airmass up this way was too dry. That was Dec 8th last year. Eagles snow bowl, something like 10" at the stadium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 00z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 this is a hell of a way to run a warm up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 this is a hell of a way to run a warm up... Yes, who's running that darned thing anyway? Wasn't suppose to snow anywhere south of 50 until Dec 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Euro is nice for inland areas. Dicey on the coast but I do think the coast sees non accumulating snow out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 What's the timing like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 We lost the euro last night for some snow along the coast. Looks to be some frozen quickly to rain along the coast now and perhaps light accumulation nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 this is a hell of a way to run a warm up... was just thinking the same thing. Some sneaky highs coming down from Canada and they get attacked on the back side by moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Surface temps are very warm on the 00z ECMWF for this event. I'm seeing 37 degrees as far inland as MMU at 12z Tuesday and that's the coldest panel. 700mb and 925mb are both running -4C to -5C but 850mb temps are -1C to -2C so you're going to once again be dealing with poor snow growth. Once you get up into the far interior the surface temps could possibly support snow. I don't think the intensity is going to be strong enough to sufficiently cool the column where the surface starts off in the mid to upper 30's. If you increase the WAA you're also going to increase the warming at 850mb and you end up with more of a ZR/IP mix. The typically favored higher elevations that will be aided some by orographic lift could pick up a low end advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 This is non event even for the LHV. Yea it might be overrunning but more in the liquid not frozen form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 RGEM shows all rain for the coast and snow well inland. Of course New England does well with this little storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I'm starting to think that most of the measurable precip is confined to NYC south until at least late afternoon. Most of the 12z guidance keeps the best lift south of 78 in NJ until around 00z. By then temps are too warm to support frozen in most locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 The 12z ECMWF actually looks a touch colder but most of the lift is confined to PA and places well west of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 18Z NAM is more robust with precip but it has almost nothing in the cold sector. Pretty much confined to Southern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 What? No storm mode? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 What? No storm mode? For what?A flurry mode? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 For what?A flurry mode?Haha more like another cold rain mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Raining pretty good here with strong winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Sleeting earlier.. Now just overcast @ 38F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 For what?A flurry mode? Sarcasm mode! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 If it were 10 degrees colder my wet rain would be wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Sarcasm post above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Heavier returns near NYC now - radar probably seeing sleet aloft? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Heavier returns near NYC now - radar probably seeing sleet aloft? Thought I heard some sleet mixing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Sleet here already - if we can get the precip tomorrow this far north might be some surprises.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Currently have sleet with a few flakes mixed in. Bayside, NE Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Snow/sleet mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 snow/sleet at 40 degrees... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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