BullCityWx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I tried to tell people you never buy into analog cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Once again. I told you well in advance, but you didn't believe me. What, Brick's spirit is finally crushed???? We got this going for us, good golf weather over New Years, although it will be wet with storms tracking to our NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Wall to wall non-winter still firmly on the table! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Wall to wall non-winter still firmly on the table! Yep, we suck. I would imagine Ji has cancelled winter about 17 times by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Ouch. Even the NC High Country barely dips below freezing through January 01. The only analog is that working out is that if there are large snows in October (This Years Halloween Weekend 4" to 11" and Hurricane Sandy 20"), the winter will be a challenge. Hopefully, the October snow will not be the largest snow of the season as it was back with the Hurricane Sandy snow. Enjoy the blessings of Advent and Christmas and everyone get their mind off the weather and we'll hope the pattern really does evolve into something better. At this time, I would give it reduced chances over the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 SAI is hot garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 SAI is hot garbage. Yeah, you can toss that crap in the trash. That's going to bust and bust big. Solar and QBO FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Once again. I told you well in advance, but you didn't believe me. You kept calling me a pessimist. Anyhow,let's wait another 10 days now. Good for you Nostradamus. You are an even worse case. You really are pessimistic no matter what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Oh the weather outside is frightful Cold rain is never delightful If it doesn't change, crazy we will go We need some snow, need some snow, need some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 This is what a Seattle winter is like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yeah I'd have to say that the good pattern advertised by the GEFS seems now like it's turning into about an ok 4 day pattern, then it goes back to crap. Very disappointing. Not throwing in the towel for winter yet at all, but I think the blockbuster "great" winter is probably off the table. Solidifies my thoughts that long term forecasting is just a huge waste of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 This is what a Seattle winter is like. Yes, but this is also what a Seattle summer is like, too. All we have to look forward to is 95 degrees and humid for 9 months after this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yeah I'd have to say that the good pattern advertised by the GEFS seems now like it's turning into about an ok 4 day pattern, then it goes back to crap. Very disappointing. Not throwing in the towel for winter yet at all, but I think the blockbuster "great" winter is probably off the table. Solidifies my thoughts that long term forecasting is just a huge waste of time. I'm with you on the long range forecasting. I'm not listening to anyone's long range again. Huge waste of resources and time. Stick to 5 days and under, preferably 72 hours. Climate models = absolute bunk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Man Lookout's cliff is getting full, when will the lemmings jump? All I know is I found jshetley's dang rain in Summerton, SC. I hate hunting in moderate to heavy rain, with a passion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yeah I'd have to say that the good pattern advertised by the GEFS seems now like it's turning into about an ok 4 day pattern, then it goes back to crap. Very disappointing. Not throwing in the towel for winter yet at all, but I think the blockbuster "great" winter is probably off the table. Solidifies my thoughts that long term forecasting is just a huge waste of time. I'm with you on the long range forecasting. I'm not listening to anyone's long range again. Huge waste of resources and time. Stick to 5 days and under, preferably 72 hours. Climate models = absolute bunk! I think we have to wait and see how this winter ends up. If a switch is thrown in January, and we end up with a lot of snow, then all those mets using the evidence and factors at hand compared with past winters will be proven right. If not, then it will be one of the biggest busts ever when it comes to the long range forecasting for winter. Then everyone would pretty much have to go back and rethink everything they know about what gives us a good winter here. I think if it doesn't change, then there is good argument for saying long range forecasting for winter here is just a wild guess and it is best just to take it one day at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Long term has always bein this way i dont know how many times ive herd dont trust the models past 10 days but thats all weve done this winter!!! Its always bein this way nc winters at there finest hope everyone has a blessed christmas dont cliff dive just yet all it takes is just one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I hope the GFS And Euro are both cold today. People will be more mixed up than a milkshake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yeah I'd have to say that the good pattern advertised by the GEFS seems now like it's turning into about an ok 4 day pattern, then it goes back to crap. Very disappointing. Not throwing in the towel for winter yet at all, but I think the blockbuster "great" winter is probably off the table. Solidifies my thoughts that long term forecasting is just a huge waste of time.Blockbuster winter is probably off the table, the end the Euro is worse than terrible. If it's right it will take some time to get back to a workable pattern. If it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 And how would you like to live in the shadows of mt.mittchel and are always on the outside looking in i can stand on my porch it will be 50 an sunny but ten miles up the rd 28 and pouring the snow drives me nuts so i feel ya guys just dont give up hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I hope the GFS And Euro are both cold today. People will be more mixed up than a milkshake. Milkshakes are the best!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Milkshakes are the best!! A milkshake from Cook Out would be good today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 This is what a Seattle winter is like.Except for this winter, they have already had accumulating snow! More than most of us can say?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 A milkshake from Cook Out would be good today.So you think drinking milkshakes will make it snow? Lol you are terrible. The models don't care how many milkshakes you drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 So you think drinking milkshakes will make it snow? Lol you are terrible. The models don't care how many milkshakes you drink. What? Where did I say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 So you think drinking milkshakes will make it snow? Lol you are terrible. The models don't care how many milkshakes you drink. His milkshake brings all the boys to the yard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 A milkshake from Cook Out would be good today.Brick, I tried Cookout last night for the 1st time though I didn't get a shake. The burger was pretty tasty. What kind of shake do you like there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Brick, I tried Cookout last night for the 1st time though I didn't get a shake. The burger was pretty tasty. What kind of shake do you like there? They have so many it is hard to decide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Good for you Nostradamus. You are an even worse case. You really are pessimistic no matter what. No I'm not! I have been optimistic with this current rain event about getting 5+ inches,and we are missing everything. I still believe I can get 5 inches. You on the other hand would be disappointed and miserable with rain unless it destroying stuff or sunny or snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 No I'm not! I have been optimistic with this current rain event about getting 5+ inches,and we are missing everything. I still believe I can get 5 inches. You on the other hand would be disappointed and miserable with rain unless it destroying stuff or sunny or snowing. Yup. Plain rain sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 A milkshake from Cook Out would be good today. Cookout is good stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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