mackerel_sky Posted December 21, 2014 Author Share Posted December 21, 2014 You guys must live in a heat island. That's crazy!!We are in the snowless belt, the dreaded S of 85! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Let's just keep in dry in Pigeon Forge on Tuesday so we can get our last trip to Dollywood in before they close for winter. Do they close for the entire week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 21, 2014 Author Share Posted December 21, 2014 Do they close for the entire week? Lol! They won't close this year, winters cancelled, so I hear!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Lol @ the GFS. Congratulations Waycross on the snow. None for you Brick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Whoever called the New Year's threat should absolutely start the thread WHEN, not if, the time comes. Was it James or Burger? Can't remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 So are we back all in again on the cold winter?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 So are we back all in again on the cold winter??If it keeps showing snow for Waycross and none for Raleigh, then yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 So are we back all in again on the cold winter?? The vibe of this board has changed at an unbelievable rate in the past 24 hours. Crazy what a little snow shower yesterday can do for the soul! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Whoever called the New Year's threat should absolutely start the thread WHEN, not if, the time comes. Was it James or Burger? Can't remember. Let's stick to the 5 day "rule" before any new threads are started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 ^^ LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Whoever called the New Year's threat should absolutely start the thread WHEN, not if, the time comes. Was it James or Burger? Can't remember. I think that's #burgertimestorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 So are we back all in again on the cold winter?? Yep, the 10+ day looks keep improving. So it's something... J/K - it's officially day 9 things look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Yep, the 10+ day looks keep improving. So it's something... Sure hope that continues. I like the seasonals y'all have been talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Sure hope that continues. I like the seasonals y'all have been talking about. But now we are going to hear how the GFS is to cold. Cold/dry is our favorite isn't it? Latest GEFS at day 10.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Let's stick to the 5 day "rule" before any new threads are started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Ever since we started the winter discussion thread part 2 everything changed on a djme. I say run it, not event specific threads until the MOJO is broken, even if it last till March and is 200 pages long. I feel very optimistic about. nye/ ny event, but beleive the euro and can in a way are sniffing out another shot 7 days from now. Will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Do they close for the entire week? they close right after new years until the end of march. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 I go back and look at my posts from a night of drinking and don't understand what I was doing. I need net-nanny sometimes, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Let's stick to the 5 day "rule" before any new threads are started Absolutely. That's why I said WHEN the time comes. Because it's comin' baby! But now we are going to hear how the GFS is to cold. Cold/dry is our favorite isn't it? Latest GEFS at day 10.... Looks good for Tallahassee! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Not being a jerk or nothing, but why is it that the models are called terrible or having problems when they aren't showing what we want? Sure I want the GEFS/GFS to be right vs the EPS/ECMWF,but hasn't the latter been much more accurate in the long range. We can't just ignore it because its not showing what we want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Not being a jerk or nothing, but why is it that the models are called terrible or having problems when they aren't showing what we want? Sure I want the GEFS/GFS to be right vs the EPS/ECMWF,but hasn't the latter been much more accurate in the long range. We can't just ignore it because its not showing what we want. I've been under the impression that the GFS has been whipping the EURO lately. They've both had ridiculous inconsistency though. Too much energy, EURO SW bias, GFS Parallel being delayed, yada yada. At this point, I'm not sure who's winning the model war. Weather models are a curse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 This morning in the garden, winter cancel! Interesting you post this. I have seen 3 of the early blooming cherry trees already in bloom down in Charlotte. You can also certain varieties of trees already getting red tipped in Charlotte that are still completely dormant back in the NC foothills. I can't recall ever seeing the cherry trees blossom out this early before Christmas. It's always a sign Mother Nature is getting impatient with old man winter. My guess it is the reaction to a warmer December after a colder November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 I've been under the impression that the GFS has been whipping the EURO lately. They've both had ridiculous inconsistency though. Too much energy, EURO SW bias, GFS Parallel being delayed, yada yada. At this point, I'm not sure who's winning the model war. Weather models are a curse. Lol yeah. So its GFS> Parallel GFS > ECMWF according to the board or Vice Versa if the ECMWF was showing what the GFS was showing. I'm rooting for the GFS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Not being a jerk or nothing, but why is it that the models are called terrible or having problems when they aren't showing what we want? Sure I want the GEFS/GFS to be right vs the EPS/ECMWF,but hasn't the latter been much more accurate in the long range. We can't just ignore it because its not showing what we want. Oh, yes we can! And we do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 21, 2014 Author Share Posted December 21, 2014 Interesting you post this. I have seen 3 of the early blooming cherry trees already in bloom down in Charlotte. You can also certain varieties of trees already getting red tipped in Charlotte that are still completely dormant back in the NC foothills. I can't recall ever seeing the cherry trees blossom out this early before Christmas. It's always a sign Mother Nature is getting impatient with old man winter. My guess it is the reaction to a warmer December after a colder November. Yeah, maybe the very early and cold Nov got them all confused? There is a ornamental cherry tree that blooms in the fall and spring' autumnalis', it can bloom at the drop of a hat, like one or two days of 60-70 degree days can set them to blooming, I think they are tiny , pink blooms. Is that what was in CLT? Then a freeze comes and they turn to brown mush! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Nfc south looking as unpredictable as the latest models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 I really think the trend is headed in the right direction. We have a chance of storms Christmas Eve, and there is something to the old wives tale about snow owing 7 days after thunder in winter. The Christmas system is going to come through and lead the way to a rocking 2015. The GFS is showing it and the Euro will come around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 I 85 special for next weekend. PANTHERS and falcons, winner take all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Yeah, maybe the very early and cold Nov got them all confused? There is a ornamental cherry tree that blooms in the fall and spring' autumnalis', it can bloom at the drop of a hat, like one or two days of 60-70 degree days can set them to blooming, I think they are tiny , pink blooms. Is that what was in CLT? Then a freeze comes and they turn to brown mush! I have a native, indigenous plum tree that is older than I am, for sure. I've lived on the same plot for 35 years. That sucker has never bloomed before the last freeze. Never. Seen it bloom the 1st week of Jan; seen it bloom the 3rd week of April - but always after the last freeze. Best weather model I have ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Not being a jerk or nothing, but why is it that the models are called terrible or having problems when they aren't showing what we want? Sure I want the GEFS/GFS to be right vs the EPS/ECMWF,but hasn't the latter been much more accurate in the long range. We can't just ignore it because its not showing what we want. I saw the same chatter and posted some verification scores in the patttern thread in the LR...Euro still king overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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