Cold Rain Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Euro ensembles keep temps below normal. #hype #no logic and reasoning. Haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Whatever. So we should just dismiss all those mets who were calling for a big winter and had evidence to back it up as just hype? Okay, got you. No need to trust them. I'm not sure why I'm even trying but I will try again. I am not talking about the winter season Brick.... Almost every time you reply to one of my posts you try and turn it into me saying I think mets were hyping this winter for no reason. Find me one post where I said I thought that the winter forecasts released by mets this year were hyping stuff with no logic or reason to back it up and I'll stop posting for an entire week. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Whomever quoted " never trust analog cold" or something to that effect this morning , should have that trademarked!! Looks like truer words may have never been spoken, well said!! What is colder: analog cold, ensemble cold or EPS cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Marietta - can we just for the record get your stance after christmas, the pattern chance if any, and January as a whole? I'm not sure what your opinion is and can't be bothered to read through the bickering between webber and others. I just want to know where you stand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 i think alot of people are going to get burned on this so called pattern flip... a couple days ago models were showing a nice block but now it is short lived..there are more model solutions hanging the cold up in the west.... so i dont know what the hype is... you give me a setup like the january 28th storm last year where there was snow on the ground for three days or more and temps didnt get above 30 degrees for 48 or more hours then ill get excited... but models are all over the place right now I'm going to use this quote for a post in the pattern thread, so look out for some awesome maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 I do believe the pattern should be better going into January, BTW. I just whine in here since it's the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Progress is not a straight line(usually). Eh,I think we'll get some below normal temps before too long.Whether they can hold in and stay I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 The SE forum has been a disaster. Winter is serious biz in this forum. Embarrassing how weather makes people act. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 The SE forum has been a disaster. Winter is serious biz in this forum. Embarrassing how weather makes people act. Some folks should seriously consider taking their frustrations out on a piece of ____. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Marietta - can we just for the record get your stance after christmas, the pattern chance if any, and January as a whole? I'm not sure what your opinion is and can't be bothered to read through the bickering between webber and others. I just want to know where you stand. There will be a winter storm in the SE before 1/15/2014. I think we end up with a string of storms to track from about 1/10/2014 through the end of Feb with a flip back to unfavorable in late Feb to early March. I see a six week window of some rocking winter weather incoming. I just think it's going to be a but long than some are thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Some folks should seriously consider taking their frustrations out on a piece of ____.Yessir. That's what I was saying yesterday. Of course, one could fill in the blank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 The SE forum has been a disaster. Winter is serious biz in this forum. Embarrassing how weather makes people act. You're not embarrassed. Whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 The SE forum has been a disaster. Winter is serious biz in this forum. Embarrassing how weather makes people act.Pure madness, it's almost Christmas for Pete's sake. Whenever I find myself in the middle of a conflict, I usually find myself repeating these words of wisdom... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 If you dont like what someones saying dont reply if they wana ramble on let em dont be the smart a$$ no it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 You're not embarrassed. Whatever.Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 There will be a winter storm in the SE before 1/15/2014. I think we end up with a string of storms to track from about 1/10/2014 through the end of Feb with a flip back to unfavorable in late Feb to early March. I see a six week window of some rocking winter weather incoming. I just think it's going to be a but long than some are thinkingGotcha. I mean, I'd go to Vegas with that. It's not bad. I'm waiting for January myself, J-F as a whole has been showing up great on seasonals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NASpear Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 If you dont like what someones saying dont reply if they wana ramble on let em dont be the smart a$$ no it all I love your posts. True to the heart. Is that you Wilkes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Huh? Huh? What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 The SE forum has been a disaster. Winter is serious biz in this forum. Embarrassing how weather makes people act. It could be worse. People could be taking out their weather frustrations on real people! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 That 18z run of regular GFS was tempting with that insane Christmas low so far east. Got to love GFS sometimes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 That 18z run of regular GFS was tempting with that insane Christmas low so far east. Got to love GFS sometimes... Like the look of the 18 much better than recent runs with that timeframe. Nothing too exciting going on yet obviously but a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 People need to have realistic expectations for winter. Understand your climo, get to know it well, but have realistic expectations. If you live down east in NC or in the low country/midlands, there's a reason last winter was so awesome. You can't get too mad about something that climatology argues will rarely happen. Winters like last year, they don't come around often. Hell, even I'm not expecting as much as I got last year in either cold or snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 That 18z run of regular GFS was tempting with that insane Christmas low so far east. Got to love GFS sometimes... Looks like an icebox after truncation. Unfortunately, it might be too much and result in cold/dry. In any case, it won't happen, so no matter! The PGFS looks a lot different, though. Toasty. I need help. I shouldn't be looking at op models post-truncation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Just got a look at the 18z GFS. What a load! But man, what a run. Would be awesome if it was even close to being right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 People need to have realistic expectations for winter. Understand your climo, get to know it well, but have realistic expectations. If you live down east in NC or in the low country/midlands, there's a reason last winter was so awesome. You can't get too mad about something that climatology argues will rarely happen. Winters like last year, they don't come around often. Hell, even I'm not expecting as much as I got last year in either cold or snow. Don't go bringing logic into the discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It could be worse. People could be taking out their weather frustrations on real people! Yeah, we bicker and fight, but in Texas......http://www.foxnews.com/us/2014/12/17/man-reportedly-in-custody-in-central-texas-meteorologist-shooting/?intcmp=latestnews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Not worthy of anything but banter - Can someone explain in simple terms, what he heck is causing the ridging on the east coast - assuming the Euro is right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Not worthy of anything but banter - Can someone explain in simple terms, what he heck is causing the ridging on the east coast - assuming the Euro is right? The big ole trough in the mountain region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 ^ The ridging is a response to the trough in the west. There's no reason that we should have a SE ridge this year. But if the Euro turns out correct and the trough does settle out west, you can expect ridging in the east....and vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 I'm gonna go with what is a ridge? Alex for a 1000$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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