pcbjr Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 ^ Who knows? Not me. But it's interesting how quiet Ryan Maue, JB and even DT have been the past few hours. Is that a sign of pattern change? or of forecast change? Stay tuned ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RONALD B Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 So we love the Euro when it's showing ice/snow for this Sat, but it has to be wrong because op and control runs are showing west coast trough around Christhmas !! ? Pattern change engage, west coast trough is a comin' hmm no u need more than one model agreement for this too be a fact both the gefs an cmc ensembels has kicked the euro butt lately untill we have this agreement its looking more like a sw bias from the great euro.https://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2FLarryCosgrove%2Fstatus%2F545037448649011202%2Fphoto%2F1&h=bAQHguHyL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 ^ Who knows? Not me. But it's interesting how quiet Ryan Maue, JB and even DT have been the past few hours. Is that a sign of pattern change? or of forecast change? Stay tuned ..... Tensions are high at WxBell HQ as JB and Ryan got into a slap fight over how the GFS has been doing well, even though JB bashes it all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ollie Williams Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Actually we are seeing the effects from hurricane Katrina. It won't let the pattern change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Okay guys. I'm pretty tired of seeing people purposely trying to start crap with other posters etc. The reason why we "tried the regional forums again" was because **** didn't work before. Don't mess it up. Not quite sure what everyone's problem is with whoever,but it's disgusting. There are doom sayers saying WINTER IS OVER! and there are people saying give it time. People are fighting over the basic fundamentals of weather, temperature, snow, ice, whatever. There are a ton of people who post over here that deserve a red tag regardless if they have the degree to show it or not. There's also mets who deserve to have no tag at all. Thank God I'm not mod here because everyone would leave. get along, or dont cry if sub forums and all the like go away. seriously, wtf. GET ALONG. Let me give you an example: I know a lot about computer tech. Someone doesn't know **** about computers, I help them try to learn while I build their ****. I don't try to be "right". **** off with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Perhaps we need to introduce a misery index into the equation. Man, it's always something new! The SE misery index will be all the rage next winter!... until it fails us, too! I think a butthurt meter may be more appropriate, it's off the charts tonight! I wish you guys made it this exciting during our dull hurricane seasons. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 I think a butthurt meter may be more appropriate, it's off the charts tonight! I wish you guys made it this exciting during our dull hurricane seasons. lol There should be no "butthurt" meter. It'll work out I spose'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 GFS 0z must be rockin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 GFS 0z must be rockin The parallel is almost, sort of, kind of, close for N NC, but not really. The 00z GFS is just a disastrous run. DC didn't even get a trace of precip. Don't worry. The GGEM, UKMET, and Euro will save us!!! EDIT: GGEM and UKMET are disasters. Now it's up to the King to turn the tide!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 GFS 0z must be rockin Check out HR 192: Oh GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Now that's a cold and windy Christmas for the mountains lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Now that's a cold and windy Christmas for the mountains lol Remember when we thought that one might be a snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Remember when we thought that one might be a snowstorm? We were so young and naive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 fwiw......I agree with your bolded. While it's nice to have a snowpack and it does help, it is not a necessity. NOW.........if there is anything further to say on this subject, take it to the banter thread before timeouts are issued Here's what I don't get. This is a weather forum and they are having a discussion about weather. What is wrong with that??? Why is that banter? Everything they present is relevant to the discussion. I just don't get the heavy handed moderation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Here's what I don't get. This is a weather forum and they are having a discussion about weather. What is wrong with that??? Why is that banter? Everything they present is relevant to the discussion. I just don't get the heavy handed moderation. It's pretty much been settled man.. but in all honesty.. everyone needs to get their "learning" mindset on. Regardless of who's right or wrong.. there's always a chance to learn.. Hopefully some mets can come around and shut everyone up with their thoughts. So far we are in for a long Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Remember when we thought that one might be a snowstorm? it is a snowstorm. ...For Minnesota! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 It's pretty much been settled man.. but in all honesty.. everyone needs to get their "learning" mindset on. Regardless of who's right or wrong.. there's always a chance to learn.. Hopefully some mets can come around and shut everyone up with their thoughts. So far we are in for a long Winter.wait till you get older, time will fly by. Just ask jburns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 wait till you get older, time will fly by. Just ask jburns. Yeah, the old man is what, 85 now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 One of my granddaughters favorite movies Is it sad I'm looking forward to the sequel? Torch 2015? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Can't wait for a widespread snowstorm so everyone is happy except for Joel since he'll be down in south Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Raysweather.com updated comments for White Christmas chances next week in the NC High Country: http://www.averyweather.com/Forecast/Beech+Mountain Heading into Christmas, things get more exciting. A little White for Christmas is a possibility. A potent low moves from the Texas Panhandle Monday into the Southeast Tuesday. Ahead of the system, it will be slightly warming, meaning rain for us Tuesday (mostly late day and at night) into Wednesday. Much colder air whips in from the northwest Wednesday changing rain to snow showers. Santa's ride looks bumpy (windy) and cold with snow showers. Christmas Day will be cold with a snow showers or flurries possible (Hopefully at least a dust up, several inches likely) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Batman Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Here's what I don't get. This is a weather forum and they are having a discussion about weather. What is wrong with that??? Why is that banter? Everything they present is relevant to the discussion. I just don't get the heavy handed moderation. Good post Dacula. Agree 100%. There has been disagreement in some posts, but it has been very respectful and not at all hostile. The discussion has related to the current weather pattern. There is a pattern change coming and there is a ton of energy in the pattern. Perfect formula for wild model swings. Lots to discuss and agree or disagree about. Lots to learn from these discussions for many of us. I did not know we were supposed to agree on everything. Seems like the most aggression has come from the mods in trying to stop the discussion that they don't want to hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 I hope it snows all winter. Except for one week. January 27th through Feb 3rd. I have a huge project at work that is fairly weather dependent and I need things to run smoothly. I guarantee with my luck we will see 80 inches of snow that week and I will be miserable the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Stolen from JamieO Helpful hints to posting on AmericanWx this winter: - Post like a Tourette's Syndrome victim on meth - Be hyper-vigilant about 300+ hour threats - Always err on the side of ridiculous when posting your snow obs - Make devastating judgments about the quality of your winter based on one model run losing a storm - Never relax during a storm - dry slots can happen at any time - Never go outside during a snowstorm because you'll miss the latest radar update - A missed storm can be the worst thing that has ever happened in your life. Be sure to share those thoughts in your region's subforum. - If your region misses a storm, take it out on the subforum of the region that's getting the storm - Share every single forecast/idea you have, in great detail - what do those red taggers have over you other than experience and expertise? - The pro-snow mets are like a big brother who always gets you presents and tells you you're awesome all the time - The anti-snow mets are like a big brother who tries to push you down the basement steps and calls you mean names - Forky is like a big brother who sets your pet hamster on fire right in front of you - Smart, reasonable people = Big meanies and are your enemy - If the staff five-posts you or bans you, never forget there are hundreds of online forums where you can bash AmericanWx - Never forget that stuff like family, pets, significant others, girlfriends/boyfriends, work, life, etc. all take a back seat to frozen water crystals falling out of the sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 From Facebook. This is a met with the NC Climate Office. Central NC Weather 1 hr · Edited · Folks, I'm going to be honest, I'm getting a little excited. The models are looking better and better for the period after Christmas extending into the first week of January. I've been talking about this since October, and it appears it's finally about to be game on. I continue to eye the period roughly from 12/27 to 1/1 for our first real threat for winter weather, and some of the guidance is beginning to pick up on this signal. In the included image, it's the storm showing up over SW Montana on Christmas Eve that will dive southeastward and could be a southern U.S. winter storm threat just after Christmas. Why does this one have potential? The models have come into fairly strong agreement that our Christmas storm is going to rapidly deepen into a major upper and surface low pressure system as it moves into the eastern U.S. This one will be rain for Central NC, but it will also be the mechanism that catapults cold air back into the southeastern U.S. as it drives a strong cold front through behind it. Meanwhile, with a west based, negative NAO in place to the north, it will cause this storm to become trapped over southern Canada, which would in-turn force the next storm system to track much further south and also deliver a continual feed of cold air into our region. It's still a long way out (at least 10 days), but this is going to be the first one we have to watch closely I believe. That is 1300m.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Stolen from JamieO Helpful hints to posting on AmericanWx this winter: - Post like a Tourette's Syndrome victim on meth - Be hyper-vigilant about 300+ hour threats - Always err on the side of ridiculous when posting your snow obs - Make devastating judgments about the quality of your winter based on one model run losing a storm - Never relax during a storm - dry slots can happen at any time - Never go outside during a snowstorm because you'll miss the latest radar update - A missed storm can be the worst thing that has ever happened in your life. Be sure to share those thoughts in your region's subforum. - If your region misses a storm, take it out on the subforum of the region that's getting the storm - Share every single forecast/idea you have, in great detail - what do those red taggers have over you other than experience and expertise? - The pro-snow mets are like a big brother who always gets you presents and tells you you're awesome all the time - The anti-snow mets are like a big brother who tries to push you down the basement steps and calls you mean names - Forky is like a big brother who sets your pet hamster on fire right in front of you - Smart, reasonable people = Big meanies and are your enemy - If the staff five-posts you or bans you, never forget there are hundreds of online forums where you can bash AmericanWx - Never forget that stuff like family, pets, significant others, girlfriends/boyfriends, work, life, etc. all take a back seat to frozen water crystals falling out of the sky The bolded are my favorites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 i am really starting to get excited about that timeframe around new years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 i am really starting to get excited about that timeframe around new years. I'm starting to feel the same way. The ups and downs that this pattern change has been providing has been a bit much though. Today seems like an up day, hopefully it stays that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 I agree with both of you guys! MariettaWX has been instigating fights for way too long! Too bad Webber was put in timeout or banned because Marietta was the one who deserved it! And a mod instigating an argument to get someone banned is definitely uncalled for. Seems like a double standard in my opinion. And has an apparent favoritism towards Marietta as well. I guess illogical and uneducated banter is more important than a logical well thought out post relevant to the discussion. Marietta had absolutely nothing to do with the fact that Webber couldn't just let things go. He was not put in timeout and it's laughable to say that I was instigating. I suggest you both read more and post less if this is all you have to say. Have a nice day. Good post Dacula. Agree 100%. There has been disagreement in some posts, but it has been very respectful and not at all hostile. The discussion has related to the current weather pattern. There is a pattern change coming and there is a ton of energy in the pattern. Perfect formula for wild model swings. Lots to discuss and agree or disagree about. Lots to learn from these discussions for many of us. I did not know we were supposed to agree on everything. Seems like the most aggression has come from the mods in trying to stop the discussion that they don't want to hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Let's hope these afternoon runs hold serve for that after Christmas time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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