packbacker Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Do I like 87? Yes, way better than 09/10 for our area, almost 11" here, multiple events. We just missed out on another big event. 09/10 is in the top 5 of all time worst winters for me, I hope we never see that winter again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Yes, way better than 09/10 for our area, almost 11" here, multiple events. We just missed out on another big event. 09/10 is in the top 5 of all time worst winters for me, I hope we never see that winter again. 09/10 was warm in your area ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Yes, way better than 09/10 for our area, almost 11" here, multiple events. We just missed out on another big event. 09/10 is in the top 5 of all time worst winters for me, I hope we never see that winter again. Awesome. Thanks! I'm onboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 09/10 was warm in your area ? Nope, very cold, just missed out on several events, climo for snow. Just a bad luck season and the luck's been bad since that season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 He is comparing Dec 86 and 09 versus what he thinks will occur this month. He meant 86/87 and 09/10. A lot of people thought 09/10 was a viable analog back in Oct but not now. 87 is much better analog for a few reasons, IMO. Thanks for the clarification pack! If I remember 87 correctly, we had a lot of small events. I believe there was a 2-3 week period in February that was very active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 More like February 2016, TBH. I'm going ahead and punting the first 2/3rds of next winter to be safe. Just make sure it's not a squib kick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Jealous of you NC folks who will get a break from the heat tomorrow. Here in GA it looks like non stop heat for at least 2 more weeks if accuweather is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 1, 2014 Author Share Posted December 1, 2014 Jealous of you NC folks who will get a break from the heat tomorrow. Here in GA it looks like non stop heat for at least 2 more weeks if accuweather is right.Always is! Why don't you check out there monthly forecast, it should get you to Christhmas , and it's 100% accurate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Doesn't look like much of anything until the second half of December at least. Hopefully, we can start getting some real action around Christmas and have several threats throughout the rest of winter. It looks like that is the thinking of the majority of mets and other posters, and everything is still on track for a big winter. Winter just started today after all. Maybe the first half of December is just the calm before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 1, 2014 Author Share Posted December 1, 2014 I guess there was not enough spoon-shaped persimmon seeds to save December!?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 December might just be setting the stage for the rest of winter. I think we will have some warm days, but I don't see the whole month being a torch, and we'll have plenty of cold days, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 That's awesome. I was just eyeballing the 850s from the ewall page. But like Larry said, I'm not sure where all the heatwave talk is coming from. Maybe the CFS? I think if some folks don't see highs in the 30s all month long they think winter is going to suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Exams are over, I'm back until early January or so....hopefully we can get some storms and patterns to track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Anyone think this December could end up as one of the 10 warmest on record ? Ha! Haha! Hahahahahahahahaha..... Here's a nice warm cup of NOPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 That's awesome. I was just eyeballing the 850s from the ewall page. But like Larry said, I'm not sure where all the heatwave talk is coming from. Maybe the CFS? I think it has more to do with people not seeing the JS drop cold fronts in the next 10 days like it did throughout November. They forgot what normal/seasonal looked like, which makes the pattern appear as giant fire breathing dragons coming to scorch the earth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I think it has more to do with people not seeing the JS drop cold fronts in the next 10 days like it did throughout November. They forgot what normal/seasonal looked like, which makes the pattern appear as giant fire breathing dragons coming to scorch the earth. Ironic that you mention that type of pattern for December when the last installment of The Hobbit is due out very soon. Maybe the Bilbo of normalcy will save us from torching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Weeklies released in a couple of hours, fully expect week 3 to look better and week 4 to be game on, stout -NAO/-AO.who are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Ironic that you mention that type of pattern for December when the last installment of The Hobbit is due out very soon. Maybe the Bilbo of normalcy will save us from torching. If you let the weather forums shape your outlook: CFS = "I am fire...I am death" Jet Stream = "You Will Burn!" Meanwhile the people in Laketown are covered in snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Looks like models have backed off on the development of a strong wedge for tomorrow per FFC. But at least temps will drop back down to the upper 60s, instead of the 70s. So we will only be 10 degrees above normal tomorrow and the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 If you let the weather forums shape your outlook: CFS = "I am fire...I am death" Jet Stream = "You Will Burn!" Meanwhile the people in Laketown are covered in snow. Haha nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I like the new packbacker! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I'm not sure the Raleigh area would like a 1986-1987 winter, but anyone west of I-85 in NC and the northwest 3rd of SC would love it. Especially the NC mountains since they got 2 extra storms that most of the rest of the area missed. One of those was an early April monster that dropped a ton of snow there over a 2-3 day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Do not like the way December is starting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Do not like the way December is starting... I'm starting to get flashbacks of the 2011-12 winter. Not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Anyone know what the 86-87 winter was like in Atlanta ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I'm starting to get flashbacks of the 2011-12 winter. Not good Are you serious? I can't believe some of the posts I have read today. Just seems like no attention has been made to other posters who have put in a bunch of time to prove how what we are seeing now is nowhere near what to expect later on. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Do not like the way December is starting... We will be back to normal or below normal next week. Doesn't matter if we start out bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I'm starting to get flashbacks of the 2011-12 winter. Not goodhow old are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Are you serious? I can't believe some of the posts I have read today. Just seems like no attention has been made to other posters who have put in a bunch of time to prove how what we are seeing now is nowhere near what to expect later on. Unreal. there are lots of people with a vast amount of knowledge on this board, but in the end the weather will do what it wants to do. I believe people were saying 2011-12 would be a cold winter but in the end it was probably the warmest winter I can ever recall. Nobody knows for sure what's going to happen. Nothing can be ruled out. It could be a banner winter or it could be a complete bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 there are lots of people with a vast amount of knowledge on this board, but in the end the weather will do what it wants to do. I believe people were saying 2011-12 would be a cold winter but in the end it was probably the warmest winter I can ever recall. Nobody knows for sure what's going to happen. Nothing can be ruled out. It could be a banner winter or it could be a complete bust. Really? To even consider the 2011-2012 winter is ludicrous. Sure nobody knows exactly how it will play out but there are no real arguments for a warm winter period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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