downeastnc Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Unofficial reports of 30" of snow at Emerald Isle and Cherry Point. Maybe due to the effect of the ocean ? Looking at this map there is no way those areas got 30" of snow. That map is pretty wrong actually IMO, I live in Greenville and they show 16" for us but the truth is it was so drifted and wind blown that it would be impossible for them to have gotten a accurate reading. All I know is we had a yard stick and could only find a few spots in the yard where the snow was less than 26-30" and many places had 4-8ft drifts. The road in front of my house was 3-4 ft lower than the yard and after the storm it was all level and we had 3 ft of snow on the front porch and had to go out the side door to get out of the house. I wont ever see a storm like that here again most likely, I suspect most of eastern NC had 20-30" east of I 95 and places up in the NE corner may have had 30+" it snows hard for 18-24 hrs with thunder and lightning etc.....and it was cold temps were in the teens during the storm in March no less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I am quickly becoming very skeptical about any upcoming pattern change over Xmas, we have been talking about this for over a week and all these great looks are still at 360+ hours. Hopefully in the next 7-10 days we can get it inside 300 hours. Granted, in 3 more days the 384 hour GEFS will have us to January. This is 294 hours, the -EPO is starting to get going, so that's a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Loving the model watching in the disco thread "model watching is not bad" - Jon Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 11, 2014 Author Share Posted December 11, 2014 I am quickly becoming very skeptical about any upcoming pattern change over Xmas, we have been talking about this for over a week and all these great looks are still at 360+ hours. Hopefully in the next 7-10 days we can get it inside 300 hours. Granted, in 3 more days the 384 hour GEFS will have us to January. This is 294 hours, the -EPO is starting to get going, so that's a start. What are other people looking at that seem excited in the discussion thread, that you are not seeing? Like Larry and Bob Chill and such, they seem excited and even said things look to be changing a little sooner now!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 What are other people looking at that seem excited in the discussion thread, that you are not seeing? Like Larry and Bob Chill and such, they seem excited and even said things look to be changing a little sooner now!? Fairly simple, let's see the good look maps approach day 10. I would defer to Bob/Larry, they know better than me, it's why I posted in the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I wonder how rare this is, in December? https://twitter.com/NWSGreatFalls/status/543042612324618240/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Loving the model watching in the disco thread "model watching is not bad" - Jon Carry on. Lol you model watcher you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Lol you model watcher you! Many of us like the curves on the models; as long as they're in the right places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Loving the model watching in the disco thread "model watching is not bad" - Jon Carry on. yeah ok.... lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Many of us like the curves on the models; as long as they're in the right places. Lol you model watcher you! Guilty as always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I'd assume it's about time to see some kind of SE Winter weather on an OP run today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I like DT's writeup... https://www.facebook.com/notes/wxriskcom/winter-is-over-not/787096241337636 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 At least California is getting some much needed rain. I will enjoy the above average temperatures and low electric bills into January according to what I'm seeing on this message board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I like DT's writeup... https://www.facebook.com/notes/wxriskcom/winter-is-over-not/787096241337636 I think even the most novice/casual weather people could actually follow that post. Impressive link, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I think even the most novice/casual weather people could actually follow that post. Impressive link, thanks. Amazing post, so easy to read and follow. Really lays out exactly how things are going to evolve and why he thinks it will happen. DT gets a lot of flack but he really is an amazing met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Amazing post, so easy to read and follow. Really lays out exactly how things are going to evolve and why he thinks it will happen. DT gets a lot of flack but he really is an amazing met. Yeah. It's a shame he is such an anal vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I'd assume it's about time to see some kind of SE Winter weather on an OP run today. we've come close so I wouldn't be surprised. Like I mentioned when people were canceling December (probably wasn't the only one) around the 2nd we would start seeing fantasy storms around mid month. Only 4 days away or so but we are already seeing close calls and ice storms on some runs. It just takes time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 The week of Christmas looks like it will feel like Christmas indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Loving the model watching in the disco thread "model watching is not bad" - Jon Carry on. But... but... looking at and discussing weather models on a weather board is VERBOTEN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Don's post on the main thread is extremely exciting. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44807-winter-2014-2015-medium-term-discussion/page-5#entry3184028 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I think business is going to be picking up big time the week of Christmas, and next week is going to be the beginning of some excitement with following the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I think business is going to be picking up big time the week of Christmas, and next week is going to be the beginning of some excitement with following the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I think business is going to be picking up big time the week of Christmas, and next week is going to be the beginning of some excitement with following the models. It might take a little while for us all in the SE.. but the pattern does look to flip right when we need it to (for the core months in the SE) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 It's interesting how the last couple of years, I feel like early-mid December has been warmer then usual, then winter returns around the last third of December. This winter proving to be no exception Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Welp, there's the OP fantasy Winter storm I alluded to earlier today. .. and it's on the Euro. NE GA, Much of NC, Upstate SC. Whew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Welp, there's the OP fantasy Winter storm I alluded to earlier today. .. and it's on the Euro. NE GA, Much of NC, Upstate SC. Whew Good call, Shawn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 The fantasy snow maps will be comical. Also, wonder how long it will take someone to post them to facebook and make it seem like it's a certainty? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 The fantasy snow maps will be comical. Also, wonder how long it will take someone to post them to facebook and make it seem like it's a certainty? lol Less than one hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 The fantasy snow maps will be comical. Also, wonder how long it will take someone to post them to facebook and make it seem like it's a certainty? lol Looking at some of the thicknesses, no it wouldn't all be snow I would assume for many. But.. there are some bigger amounts shown on the clown that shouldn't be believed. Really though, there is a serious signal that something is going to pop around the time-frame. Looking like the clown wants to put around 7 inches in CLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Welp, there's the OP fantasy Winter storm I alluded to earlier today. .. and it's on the Euro. NE GA, Much of NC, Upstate SC. Whew I really, really like this for Western NC. It's a pity I'm on break from school... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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