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December Banter


mackerel_sky

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  On 1/1/2015 at 4:00 AM, Cold Rain said:

Max, come on man. We're only 1/3 away through the winter with a good pattern on the doorstep, only 10 days away. The AO is set to rise to near +6 and the PNA is set to explore the depths of the Mariana Trench. What, pray tell, is the problem?

It will be 10 days away 10 days from now....

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  On 1/1/2015 at 1:37 PM, Cold Rain said:

Haha yeah that's probably true!

 

I hate using the excuse we don't get snow until Feb argument.  Jan is our snowiest month on average.   What kind of setup do we need where Jan is the favored month for snow, because it isn't with +PDO/+ENSO.  By Feb I am going to be so burned out on weather, models and this site I am going to be praying for spring.

 

Also, now that's is Jan we can stop using the argument "well it's still only Dec".

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  On 1/1/2015 at 1:31 PM, max100 said:

It will be 10 days away 10 days from now....

looking at the Euro we are 4 days away from a significant shift in the pattern even if it is for just 7 days. Also anyone using a 10 day model prog needs to step back and think about how much the models have went back and fourth. At least it is going to get colder and maybe something will turn up.
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  On 1/1/2015 at 1:45 PM, packbacker said:

I hate using the excuse we don't get snow until Feb argument. Jan is our snowiest month on average. What kind of setup do we need where Jan is the favored month for snow, because it isn't with +PDO/+ENSO. By Feb I am going to be so burned out on weather, models and this site I am going to be praying for spring.

Also, now that's is Jan we can stop using the argument "well it's still only Dec".

Whenever you see or hear the following phrases:

"It's only December"

"It's gonna be a back-loaded winter"

"February is gonna be rockin'"

"We've gotten some of our biggest snows in March"

"The MJO doesn't matter"

"A -23486 QBO doesn't matter"

"The NAO doesn't matter until February anyway"

"The strongest correlation of the SAI is actually to the second half of the winter"

"The SOI is plunging"

"It's not really a SE ridge"

"Models always underestimate the CAD at 316"

"There's lots of room for dynamic cooling"

(Actually, "dynamic cooling" anything)

"A SSW is imminent"

"My knee is hurting"

"NC State basketball is gonna be loaded next year"

...those are code for "yeah, we're screwed."

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  On 1/2/2015 at 8:43 PM, South_MountainWX said:

Marietta quoted a met in the first pattern discussion that nino years can be marked with warm decembers but also can flip for cold Jan-Feb. Maybe who knows...i sure hope so..❄❄

Mr. Bob I believe.... He is a level headed met, definitely not one for hype.....

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  On 1/3/2015 at 4:55 AM, MariettaWx said:

Mr. Bob I believe.... He is a level headed met, definitely not one for hype.....

Yeah i was lookin back an seen that nino years can be very interesting to say the least. Hopefully we can turn the rest of winter around. But hey we live in the south ur hopes can only be so realistic.
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