burgertime Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Anyone who uses this forum should donate! Seriously. This place is such a wealth of information. Please do your part! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Anyone who uses this forum should donate! Seriously. This place is such a wealth of information. Please do your part! I plan to again but probably not until late Jan. Anyway, I second this motion! Plus you get a cool star! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I plan to again but probably not until late Jan. Anyway, I second this motion! Plus you get a cool star!Looks like for a short period of time you get two stars! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junebug88 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I'm going to donate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Looks like for a short period of time you get two stars! haha I saw that.. my guess is today only? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I plan on donating. Link to where you donate? Also how much do you need to donate to get two stars? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 It just started snowing in Las Vegas. Just saw it live on TWC. Apparently it was way to dry with dewpoints close to zero. If that wasn't the case,they would have probably had over an inch now with the way the radar has been looking all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Looks like for a short period of time you get two stars! I'M in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Starry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 This winter is an appalling dump heap, overflowing with the most disgraceful assortment of deplorable rubbish imaginable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 This winter is an appalling dump heap, overflowing with the most disgraceful assortment of deplorable rubbish imagineable I see what you did there. haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Looks like the southeast ridge is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webberweather53 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Webber, That second image for January could easily represent the current pattern we're in. Even February could represent this pattern. The big question is will the storm track move SE to put us in a winter weather pattern. I like what I'm seeing across the board for the core of the core of the cold to move southeastward in February, there's nearly unanimous agreement in various analog packages I've looked through & all the +ENSO intensity & placement composites for this... & historical support from NESIS storms and in the 33 El Nino events since 1900. Per capita, El Nino Februarys are typically the most active for the eastern seaboard, El Nino Januarys are a distant second. In Raleigh, NC, Columbia, SC, & Wilmington, NC for example, the largest proportion of snowfall by month in an El Nino comes in February, w/ nearly double the amount of snow occurring in February vs January in +ENSO state in cities like Columbia & Wilmington (& the proportion of Feb snowfall increases in every city against climo in +ENSO) which agrees w/ the fact that 8 of Columbia's all-time top 10 snows have occurred in February, 7 of the top 10 in Augusta, GA, and 5 of the top 10 in Wilmington, NC... http://www.weather.gov/cae/Snowfall_Total_Records_cor.html http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ilm/climate/SNOWFALL%20EXTREMES.pdf The snowfall database that has been kept by the NWS in Wilmington since 1870 is one of the most impressive & lengthy records I've come across to date... I looked at the daily occurrence of snowfall events (added +/- 1 day on each event to attempt to smooth out the data). What I found was that the climatological mean day of snowfall events in Wilmington is January 25th, the median (50th percentile) is January 30th. In +ENSO years, this mean is pushed back about 1 week to February 2nd & the median is February 5th... Thus even at the end of December, we still have about 85% of the winter (in terms of snow) left to go in central NC, and for a +ENSO winter (which we're currently in) we are still about 5 weeks away from even reaching the halfway point, this winter has only just begun... Since we observed the 5th highest fall (SON) PDO on record, the trends in the PDO 500mb pattern are also worth looking at and only offer further support. Typically, w/ intensification/southeastward progression of the semi-permanent Aleutian Low during +PDO events, you force split flow over N America, w/ height rises further to the north & west, and a stronger than normal southern branch of the jet that slips underneath blasting away at the southeast US ridge, causing it to migrate further offshore and the heights to lower in our region, a pattern which shows strong semblance to the +PNA... However, in February, the anomalous Aleutian trough migrates to the south & deflects the subtropical jet in such a manner where it takes more direct, zonal aim at the southeastern US ridge, forcing it to push even farther to our south & east, & it's this seasonal behavior of the Aleutian Low that indirectly leads February to be the "best" month for winter in the southeast & on the eastern seaboard... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Sick of this "when" the pattern changes in 10, no 15 days crapola. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Fantasy ice storms are the bomb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Fantasy ice storms are the bomb! The best thing about them are the virtual power outages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Sick of this "when" the pattern changes in 10, no 15 days crapola.chilly this week and below cold next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I see what you did there. haha. I should just write my own. There's enough time, what with vacation coming up and no snow to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 chilly this week and below cold next week.How is it chilly when my temps for this weekend are in the 80s nearly?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Where is Brick today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Fantasy ice storms are the bomb! At least there IS a fantasy storm that is something other than rain. That is a positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 How is it chilly when my temps for this weekend are in the 80s nearly?!it's always hot in waycross! 80 good lord that's hot for me in the summertime! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I just realized what this winter feels like to this point. You know when you are playing cards with the family or friends and there is the one seat that ALWAYS seems to get dealt crappy cards and no matter what you do (shuffle more when it's your turn, cut the cards, etc.) you can never seem to get a better hand? You usually realize at some point you are the one in that seat. This winter certainly has that feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I just realized what this winter feels like to this point. You know when you are playing cards with the family or friends and there is the one seat that ALWAYS seems to get dealt crappy cards and no matter what you do (shuffle more when it's your turn, cut the cards, etc.) you can never seem to get a better hand? You usually realize at some point you are the one in that seat. This winter certainly has that feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 sticker,375x360_u1.png At least one person knows what I am saying. You do have a face card though. More than the guy in "that seat" will have often. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 At least one person knows what I am saying. You do have a face card though. More than the guy in "that seat" will have often. lol Even in the good years we are often drawing to an inside straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Even in the good years we are often drawing to an inside straight. Good analogy, I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 You know its bad when we are discussing ice storms 300+ hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 You know its bad when we are discussing ice storms 300+ hours. It beats discussing fantasy patterns half a month out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 It beats discussing fantasy patterns half a month out. Yeah it felt good seeing it on the GFS. Almost a relief. My hobby sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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