toxictwister00 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Hate runs like the 12z Upgrade because it can only trend warmer and diminish hopes more-so. Serious question: Has the upgrade ever agreed on a solution (long range) with the OP? Seems to always say the opposite of what the OP does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 I thought the consensus said the core of the cold would show up in mid-late jan through feb months back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Question. Who is Cohen and what makes his thoughts more valuable than gold? edit: nvm found his webpage: http://web.mit.edu/jlcohen/www/home.html Definitely has some credentials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 All of the above is correct.... I don't have a clue what the later half of Jan and beyond will provide for my area. I have cancelled the first 10 days of January after that who knows.... The Weeklies and CFS don't paint a great picture but honestly I believe after 10-15 days it's nearly impossible to know what is coming with any kind of certainty beyond flipping a coin. I haven't cancelled winter but to say winter to date hasn't been disappointing would be wrong. We were supposed to be buried under mile thick glaciers according to the pre-season forecasts. What the heck happened? Oh, I expect to take up that question if indeed we do get blanked, it's just too early. All the historic numbers, analogs, and indices already seem to be meaningless. But it ain't over yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 I guess we're bow shooting for MLK Day for Epic Pattern Change. I don't think there's any way to deny it's been delayed now. First, it was mid-December, then it was Christmas, then it was New Year's, and now it's MLK Day. Perhaps soon it'll be Valentine's Day, then Easter, then May Day and we'll be all out of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 LOL at Pack's and Cold Rain's mention of the Southeast Ridge today. I think Robert might have mentioned it on his FB page, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 You must be a gullible guy, how do you manage to survive life? Do people routinely take advantage of you by promising rainbows and lollipops in exchange for stuff? Because trying to remain positive instead of being so negative when it comes to whether it will snow is so critical to life as a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 All of the above is correct.... I don't have a clue what the later half of Jan and beyond will provide for my area. I have cancelled the first 10 days of January after that who knows.... The Weeklies and CFS don't paint a great picture but honestly I believe after 10-15 days it's nearly impossible to know what is coming with any kind of certainty beyond flipping a coin. I haven't cancelled winter but to say winter to date hasn't been disappointing would be wrong. We were supposed to be buried under mile thick glaciers according to the pre-season forecasts. What the heck happened? Some big low somewhere that's destructively interfering with the SAIs or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Some big low somewhere that's destructively interfering with the SAIs or something. Exactly, and now since he says we're going to get an SSW and 60 days of -AO I'm supposed to believe it?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Some big low somewhere that's destructively interfering with the SAIs or something. Indeed sir btw..... your maps this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Congrats waycross! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Indeed sir btw..... your maps this morning Haha thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Haha thanks!i think most skipped over it... Awesome indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 i think most skipped over it... Awesome indeed Thank you sir. I probably put too many in there. But it was a slow morning at work so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 It's obvious to me that the following needs to occur to shake up the mojo around here: 1. Retire the Charlie Brown themed avatars 2. Start the January Banter thread tomorrow so this one can be put out of its misery 3. Don't let discussion threads near the page 50 threshold without talk of a new one being created, and Heaven help us that we are actually going multiple pages past 50 this year. This significant change in thread lifespan/creation behavior from past years has upset the weather gods IMO. We should all change our avatars to either one of these guys for good mojo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webberweather53 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Here it comes...the CCKW that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 ^ I have no idea what that means, except that in the first frame, the anomalies are moving at 15,000,000 m^2/s^2 near Cuba. That seems pretty fast. I guess that SE ridge thing is hauling a$$. Edit: I know it's not a real SE ridge, but you know what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Cold and dry FTW, is that where we stand today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 30, 2014 Author Share Posted December 30, 2014 Cold and dry FTW, is that where we stand today?We stand where we have for basically the past month, sadly!! Model x and model y, look great in the long range!! . #wintersonly10,11,12,13,14...... Days away!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 ^ I have no idea what that means, except that in the first frame, the anomalies are moving at 15,000,000 m^2/s^2 near Cuba. That seems pretty fast. I guess that SE ridge thing is hauling a$$. Edit: I know it's not a real SE ridge, but you know what I mean. let's rename it the Waycross ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 let's rename it the Waycross ridge. Lol...has a nice ring to it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 ^ I have no idea what that means, except that in the first frame, the anomalies are moving at 15,000,000 m^2/s^2 near Cuba. That seems pretty fast. I guess that SE ridge thing is hauling a$$. Edit: I know it's not a real SE ridge, but you know what I mean. Doesn't it have to do with the MJO changing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 ^ I have no idea what that means, except that in the first frame, the anomalies are moving at 15,000,000 m^2/s^2 near Cuba. That seems pretty fast. I guess that SE ridge thing is hauling a$$. Edit: I know it's not a real SE ridge, but you know what I mean. it means heavy snow incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 ^ I have no idea what that means, except that in the first frame, the anomalies are moving at 15,000,000 m^2/s^2 near Cuba. That seems pretty fast. I guess that SE ridge thing is hauling a$$. Edit: I know it's not a real SE ridge, but you know what I mean. Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave Doesn't it have to do with the MJO changing? Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Would a ssw help keep cold in the eastern u.s i know theres several varibles just trying to understand the overall picture of the effects? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 No, but metalic just sounds miserable in general with his posts. And I am not being a weenie saying it's going to snow and snow a lot. I just don;t get all the gloom and doom. Even if it doesn't snow, so what? I don't why you keep saying that. You definitely are a weenie. If you look at the overall picture you can see where this doom and gloom you speak of is coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 I don't why you keep saying that. You definitely are a weenie. If you look at the overall picture you can see where this doom and gloom you speak of is coming from. Um, maybe because your posts are always negative. And I have not been a weenie about anything this winter. The consensus from all the mets headed into this winter for a lot of action was reason to be positive about this winter. Maybe it happens, maybe it doesn't. But I am not going to sit here and be all doom and gloom over it. That is just a miserable way of going about it all. If it doesn't work out, so what? I'd rather remain positive about it and move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave Yep Thanks y'all. Still don't know how to read that map, but I'll take it as a good sign since there was a smiley face with it! My skills of inference are well-honed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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