aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 6Z run is not as good That's why I said I'll take the 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 That's why I said I'll take the 0z then I'll take the 2/5/10 12Z run of the GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 then I'll take the 2/5/10 12Z run of the GFS! That's the spirit!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 06z GFS/NAM both put out a mix of snow/sleet for Westminster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 06z GFS/NAM both put out a mix of snow/sleet for Westminster Yup looking at the sounding, looks like sleet with maybe some partially melted snowflakes mixed in: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 The cold air is OOOOZING south oh so slowly. Light rain here in Funchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Tues morning is going to be a mess... sleet to snow at DCA as the 15z sounding at DCA would support snow if there is any moisture left Also, 18z (1pm) temp is 32 degrees at DCA if we were to take this run point blank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 12z GFS loves a nice sleet storm looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Another bust in the books by models today. 65 here and Partly Cloudy, Glorious. I expect something like 67-68 here for the high, DCA/ADW and Southern Maryland could easily reach 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 12z NAM suggests we might go sleet-snow-sleet in the 'burbs at least. Cools down the 850 layer to below freezing, but 750-800mb is still right at or just above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 BWI is 66F at 11:00 AM. 61F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Just hit 71!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2014 Author Share Posted December 1, 2014 Tooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooorch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Lol....it's summer out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Tooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooorch.Welp, at least we're good at something. 66 and mostly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I think it's pretty unlikely that we see much in the way of winter weather with this. It seems the cold is really struggling to make much southward progress, and now the GFS, both versions seem quite a bit warmer to me than they did at 0z. I think a damp, raw, chilly day is the most likely outcome tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I think it's pretty unlikely that we see much in the way of winter weather with this. It seems the cold is really struggling to make much southward progress, and now the GFS, both versions seem quite a bit warmer to me than they did at 0z. I think a damp, raw, chilly day is the most likely outcome tomorrow. This is probably the most likely. For folks like you and HGR, I'd say some sleet mixing in at times. For us lowland folks, cold, cold rain. Always err on the side of lockout when it comes to marginal events down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Besides with the ground so warm nothing would stick anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I think it's pretty unlikely that we see much in the way of winter weather with this. It seems the cold is really struggling to make much southward progress, and now the GFS, both versions seem quite a bit warmer to me than they did at 0z. I think a damp, raw, chilly day is the most likely outcome tomorrow. not sure about that... 12z GFS Winchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 This is probably the most likely. For folks like you and HGR, I'd say some sleet mixing in at times. For us lowland folks, cold, cold rain. Always err on the side of lockout when it comes to marginal events down here. with low level temps in the mid 20s we'll see some frozen...probably won't do much but sound cool and maybe coat a car top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 0z had the main snow/sleet band just nw of the cities but 12z seems to have shifted it well north into central pa. Not even interested up here anymore. When temps are marginally cold enough precip looks disorganized and light. Looks like a few hours of light sleet/snow with no accum to cold rain even here to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 0z had the main snow/sleet band just nw of the cities but 12z seems to have shifted it well north into central pa. Not even interested up here anymore. When temps are marginally cold enough precip looks disorganized and light. Looks like a few hours of light sleet/snow with no accum to cold rain even here to me. this was always an event focused on NW VA/WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 this was always an event focused on NW VA/WVbeen too busy to pay much attention. Just know this morning I did glance at last nights guidance and most did show a decent period of snow/sleet up my way. 12z guidance shifted it well north. Temps didn't change much but it shifted the more organized precip up into central pa through upstate ny. A pretty big shift for one run. Without precip it doesn't much matter how cold it is.Edit: I guess if you like seeing a glaze of ice it matters but I really could care less about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 My fingers are crossed for another 12/8/13. Expecting less than 1" and ending up with 6". If I get less than 6" tomorrow, it's a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 from lwx: "FORECAST STILL ON TRACK FOR MOSTLY RAIN NEAR/SE OF I-95 CORRIDOR." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 12z run seems to have killed this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 12z run seems to have killed this thread. the Euro runs from yesterday and last night should have killed it sooner as they have really been warm at all levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 12z run seems to have killed this thread. I think Climo finished it off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 the Euro runs from yesterday and last night should have killed it sooner as they have really been warm at all levels Can't imagine why....it's only 70 outside. I call that a terrible forecast....13 degree bust so far. Really elevates my confidence in all modeled temp forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2014 Author Share Posted December 1, 2014 I think Climo finished it offDecember is a snow month.. In New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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