Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 When? I don't see that. Me neither. The evolution on the ensembles is tricky to get a handle on. It's 2 separate events that end up looking like a single extremely slow developing and moving event. The big hp forces the first lp south of us and off the coast but scoots east and lets the developing low offshore move NW as it strengthens. Mon-Wed looks pretty nutty. We're prob not in a good spot but north of here could be in for a shellacking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 3, 2014 Author Share Posted December 3, 2014 Am I allowed to post euro pics from weatherbell? there are some VERY strong members in there. im looking at 12z there. i don't see any sub 980 lows.. actually hard to find a sub 1000mb low around these parts. maybe i'm looking at the wrong thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Am I allowed to post euro pics from weatherbell? there are some VERY strong members in there. Huh? What parameters are you looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 3, 2014 Author Share Posted December 3, 2014 Me neither. The evolution on the ensembles is tricky to get a handle on. It's 2 separate events that end up looking like a single extremely slow developing and moving event. The big hp forces the first lp south of us and off the coast but scoots east and lets the developing low offshore move NW as it strengthens. Mon-Wed looks pretty nutty. We're prob not in a good spot but north of here could be in for a shellacking. yeah it's kinda whacky. looks like a fair amount don't have the second system or they are merged into one. hard to tell exactly with limited options of viewing. def looks like a new england/interior event from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Am I allowed to post euro pics from weatherbell? there are some VERY strong members in there. Individual ensemble members? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Individual ensemble members? No. Yeah individual and ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 yeah it's kinda whacky. looks like a fair amount don't have the second system or they are merged into one. hard to tell exactly with limited options of viewing. def looks like a new england/interior event from here. The only chance we stand is being on the nw side of a closed low and even then. I suppose the first vort and lp could prime things as the second comes down. Since it's the only thing worth watching it will get overanalyzed. I'm with you though. It's most likely a NE storm and maybe mood flakes at best for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 The only chance we stand is being on the nw side of a closed low and even then. I suppose the first vort and lp could prime things as the second comes down. Since it's the only thing worth watching it will get overanalyzed. I'm with you though. It's most likely a NE storm and maybe mood flakes at best for us. I looked at the operational Euro and was totally unimpressed with the numbers in fact, verbatim, there's no snow for us on this run meh, onto JAN lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 LWX had the high for my area today at 54F. It's only 43.3F now. It probably won't get above 45F by much, considering the temp only went up by 1.5 degrees the last 3 hours. Looks like the high was 47.6F. LWX and TWC local forecasts were a bust thankfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Dreary few days here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Dreary few days here Outside as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Man that high pressure is in a great place right now, forcing the precip east and not allowing much northward movement. Just not enough cold air yet but get that set up many times over next 2+ months and we will be gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Precip has started as a burst of snow here. Close to a half inch so far. Not sure when this will transition, but a nice surprise nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Currently 38F after a high of 45F. There's precip. moving into MD now. Does anyone know if that's sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Currently 38F after a high of 45F. There's precip. moving into MD now. Does anyone know if that's sleet? Low dew points would make you think it's possible at the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Man that high pressure is in a great place right now, forcing the precip east and not allowing much northward movement. Just not enough cold air yet but get that set up many times over next 2+ months and we will be gold. It's trying and areas to west have gotten some surprise snow, I do not think it's probable but maybe DC area gets something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Just like that, moderate sleet has begun here. 38/26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Light snow falling here. Impressive pic, huh? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Light snow falling here. Impressive pic, huh? Lol Awesome.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Awesome.... I'm sheltering inside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Sleet rain mixture in Rockville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Moderate IP 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Handy1 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Rain/Sleet in the Bristow area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownerd Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Sleet from Aldie to Chantilly, the car thermometer says 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Sleet?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Sleet in Fair Oaks Fairfax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Yes, good amount of sleet in with the rain, 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Would this be based off what was the para? http://coolwx.com/modelts/images/gfs/2014120418/KDCA/prec.png Score 1 for new model + Climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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