danstorm Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 just having fun with my buds, well some of my buds I'm pondering ratterhood down here... But I've seen 10 double digit storms since relocating here in 2009 so it's all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I'm pondering ratterhood down here... But I've seen 10 double digit storms since relocating here in 2009 so it's all good.my hope is as many people as possible get a back end loaded winter. Perspective 2005 NAO in Jan2005 1 1 1.633 2005 1 2 1.343 2005 1 3 1.058 2005 1 4 1.415 2005 1 5 1.641 2005 1 6 1.529 2005 1 7 1.798 2005 1 8 1.928 2005 1 9 1.690 2005 1 10 1.383 2005 1 11 0.896 2005 1 12 0.567 2005 1 13 0.390 2005 1 14 0.480 2005 1 15 0.993 2005 1 16 1.600 2005 1 17 1.598 2005 1 18 1.146 2005 1 19 1.203 2005 1 20 1.117 2005 1 21 0.707 2005 1 22 0.261 2005 1 23 0.204 2005 1 24 0.261 2005 1 25 -0.035 2005 1 26 -0.188 2005 1 27 -0.086 2005 1 28 0.162 2005 1 29 -0.099 2005 1 30 -0.288 2005 1 31 -0.479 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I feel pretty confident in saying no steady state -NAO in Jan. That's not to say some wave breaking event occurs there and gives a bootleg block for a couple of days, but a classic -NAO isn't happening this month IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I feel pretty confident in saying no steady state -NAO in Jan. That's not to say some wave breaking event occurs there and gives a bootleg block for a couple of days, but a classic -NAO isn't happening this month IMO.As you know bootleg blocks are responsible for very many of our great storms during positive months. Pretty sweet that the PNA rises as the EPO relaxes, climo great time , we risk some cutters but increase the chances of snow.The SE ridge flattening is also a good sign. Hopefully we all get some snow. I remain encouraged for snow as I am concentrated on only next weeks look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Man, it sure can be painful, the process to which the board lowers it's expecations a notch, it is actually a very entertaining psychology class for those lurking (I am sure) So we got a Dead ratter watch issued by BOX today, hahaha ahhhh oh well. I will still Ski and enjoy my winter. I don't take Snow that serious if it doesn't fall, but I will drive 3 hours to chase it! Honestly I realize the winter could still turn out very well and lets hope those GEFS are right baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Wasn't the blizzard of 2013 a bootleg block or what was the transient block we timed nicely then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Man, it sure can be painful, the process to which the board lowers it's expecations a notch, it is actually a very entertaining psychology class for those lurking (I am sure) So we got a Dead ratter watch issued by BOX today, hahaha ahhhh oh well. I will still Ski and enjoy my winter. I don't take Snow that serious if it doesn't fall, but I will drive 3 hours to chase it! Honestly I realize the winter could still turn out very well and lets hope those GEFS are right baby! hence the new screen name?, N of RT 2 is a better climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Wasn't the blizzard of 2013 a bootleg block or what was the transient block we timed nicely then.transient no negative NAO in site2013 2 1 1.094 2013 2 2 1.245 2013 2 3 1.230 2013 2 4 0.843 2013 2 5 0.317 2013 2 6 0.276 2013 2 7 0.292 2013 2 8 0.250 2013 2 9 0.219 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 As you know bootleg blocks are responsible for very many of our great storms during positive months. Pretty sweet that the PNA rises as the EPO relaxes, climo great time , we risk some cutters but increase the chances of snow.The SE ridge flattening is also a good sign. Hopefully we all get some snow. I remain encouraged for snow as I am concentrated on only next weeks look. I'm just referring to an overall -NAO or something that lasts more than a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I'm just referring to an overall -NAO or something that lasts more than a day or two.I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 If I were betting it wouldn't be on the GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 If I were betting it wouldn't be on the GEFS Well I would have lost betting on the EC as of late. So, the money is up in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I remember one of those SWFE where we had a front end dump ,Berks iced up then we all roasted and T storms came through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I remember one of those SWFE where we had a front end dump ,Berks iced up then we all roasted and T storms came through I think that was the 2/2/11 event. Maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 hence the new screen name?, N of RT 2 is a better climo And North of RUT-Portland is even nicer but hey you gotta roll w the cards you have. Like our blocks this screen name is transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I remember one of those SWFE where we had a front end dump ,Berks iced up then we all roasted and T storms came through That line was SICK, remember it well . It was in early 2010 (def that winter) actually not sure if we are talkin same event. Will would know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I think that was the 2/2/11 event. Maybe not.Yea I remember being in a severe Tstorm warning with 28 inches of snow OTG, that was an impressive night.1.75 rain and it was sponged up like it didn't rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I think i was at wawa for that night in 2011, heavy heavy light show . Early nite on slopes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 my hope is as many people as possible get a back end loaded winter. Perspective 2005 NAO in Jan 2005 1 1 1.633 2005 1 2 1.343 2005 1 3 1.058 2005 1 4 1.415 2005 1 5 1.641 2005 1 6 1.529 2005 1 7 1.798 2005 1 8 1.928 2005 1 9 1.690 2005 1 10 1.383 2005 1 11 0.896 2005 1 12 0.567 2005 1 13 0.390 2005 1 14 0.480 2005 1 15 0.993 2005 1 16 1.600 2005 1 17 1.598 2005 1 18 1.146 2005 1 19 1.203 2005 1 20 1.117 2005 1 21 0.707 2005 1 22 0.261 2005 1 23 0.204 2005 1 24 0.261 2005 1 25 -0.035 2005 1 26 -0.188 2005 1 27 -0.086 2005 1 28 0.162 2005 1 29 -0.099 2005 1 30 -0.288 2005 1 31 -0.479 Most dramatic weather month of my life anywhere. Went to AMS in San Diego, was told by many out there that the nao would never go negative (essentially canceling winter in the east)... Meanwhile we were torching in Boston... I got home, went to a work retreat in VT with rain and 50... Front came through up there with Ana snow of 6"... Came back to a much colder Beantown... The next week we had a few inches, then a subzero morning, then 2'+ of epicosity. ..then bitter cold and a surprise 8" clipdump... But I wax poetic about that month because of its rarity... And to hang your hat on a turnaround like that is, well, optimistic. But that's why we love the Ginx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Always interesting to look at Bufkit in these events ORH 2.5 snow, .46 ice, .23 rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Most dramatic weather month of my life anywhere. Went to AMS in San Diego, was told by many out there that the nao would never go negative (essentially canceling winter in the east)... Meanwhile we were torching in Boston... I got home, went to a work retreat in VT with rain and 50... Front came through up there with Ana snow of 6"... Came back to a much colder Beantown... The next week we had a few inches, then a subzero morning, then 2'+ of epicosity. ..then bitter cold and a surprise 8" clipdump... But I wax poetic about that month because of its rarity... And to hang your hat on a turnaround like that is, well, optimistic. But that's why we love the Ginx. it was only an example, but you do remember the most famous blizzard of many of these young turks lives in 13 NAO 2013 2 1 1.094 2013 2 2 1.245 2013 2 3 1.230 2013 2 4 0.843 2013 2 5 0.317 2013 2 6 0.276 2013 2 7 0.292 2013 2 8 0.250 2013 2 9 0.219 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 it was only an example, but you do remember the most famous blizzard of many of these young turks lives in 13 NAO 2013 2 1 1.094 2013 2 2 1.245 2013 2 3 1.230 2013 2 4 0.843 2013 2 5 0.317 2013 2 6 0.276 2013 2 7 0.292 2013 2 8 0.250 2013 2 9 0.219 Well played, but another ridiculous anomaly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Well played, but another ridiculous anomalythe list is endless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Any frozen I get from this system is gravy. We're on to Cincinnati, I mean the clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 The clipper means bidness this run...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Any frozen I get from this system is gravy. We're on to Cincinnati, I mean the clipper Lol December didn't make enough "winter plays" , where focused on err next sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Snowy Tuesday on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Snowy Tuesday on the gfs. As long as the cosmic dildo stays in night stand looks like our best shot at a all frozen event region wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 As long as the cosmic dildo stays in night stand looks like our best shot at a all frozen event region wide Hopefully it's on my wife's side.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I think i was at wawa for that night in 2011, heavy heavy light show . Early nite on slopesI was there for that. They closed down when Zeus hurled thunderboltsI miss the Pickles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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