ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I'll take 2-4" and run, at this point. It's never a pike event with him He never likes any area of dillineation to be the pike....its always either south of his area, or the NH border. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Bingo. Never understood that mentality of wanting others to miss out on snow, but I guess misery loves company. (Ducks and runs) Well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 You just always seem to think you are in a great spot..no matter what the trends look like. I sincerely hope you stay all snow and ice..trends say you don't and likely get well up into the 40's No. I always hope I am in the perfect spot, but rarely am. Right now this one looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Well played. You're still getting your snow. Noone is stealing it away from you. Enjoy your blockbuster winter up there. It was time your area ended up with a good one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 You're still getting your snow. Noone is stealing it away from you. Enjoy your blockbuster winter up there. It was time your area ended up with a good one I'm still confused as to why you keep saying this. How would one steal "my" snow and if that's what you are getting out of my posting style then I need to change something....as that is not even crossing my mind, haha. I just picture someone sitting outside with their arms opened wide hugging a pile of snow saying "noooo don't steal my snow" as a bucket loader shows up to remove it. Seasonally, I had more snow in November than in December, we've regressed to near normal in this general area (such as the ski resorts), though my BY proper is still running a bit ahead of normal thanks to some lucky lake effect/upslope streamers earlier in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Pattern isn't great, but nothing you can really do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I'm still confused as to why you keep saying this. How would one steal "my" snow and if that's what you are getting out of my posting style then I need to change something....as that is not even crossing my mind, haha. I just picture someone sitting outside with their arms opened wide hugging a pile of snow saying "noooo don't steal my snow" as a bucket loader shows up to remove it. It was a COC summer and winter isn't going his way. It's a hard knock life for the Rev. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Pattern isn't great, but nothing you can really do. What are our chances at a ssw this winter? 25%? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I'll take 2-4" and run, at this point. It's never a pike event with him He never likes any area of dillineation to be the pike....its always either south of his area, or the NH border. the Pike runs through the Berks to Boston, North of the Pike is a silly delineation, always has been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Weenie geographical battles. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 the Pike runs through the Berks to Boston, North of the Pike is a silly delineation, always has been For gradient events it works pretty good. Obviously for coastal storms it's a bit different...lines like 495 work better on those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 What are our chances at a ssw this winter? 25%? Those things come on quick and aren't completely understood so nobody really knows. I know the odds favor one, but I see nothing anytime soon. I'm certainly not an expert with that stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 For gradient events it works pretty good. Obviously for coastal storms it's a bit different...lines like 495 work better on those.unless you are a poster from western CT Mass, it's a eastern mass weeniism,often misused and not true . elevations south of the Pike like Stafford do much better than Springfield etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 the Pike runs through the Berks to Boston, North of the Pike is a silly delineation, always has been It seems to work well in SWFE's...there's the Pike, then RT 2 or the NH and VT border with Mass...they are all west to east boundaries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I sense a total Ray meltdown and we haven't even hit Jan 1, this is going to be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 It seems to work well in SWFE's...there's the Pike, then RT 2 or the NH and VT border with Mass...they are all west to east boundaries.unless you live in WMass NWCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Gem drops a nice blanket before the transition, final story untold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 unless you are a poster from western CT Mass, it's a eastern mass weeniism,often misused and not true . elevations south of the Pike like Stafford do much better than Springfield etc. I would say its just an approximation. Its something to use to give a general idea. Not all geographic boundaries we talk about on this board are black and white, but its something to use that gives the general idea. I mean if you're a couple miles south of the Pike and a couple miles north, its all the same. But it helps give an idea if you are like north of ORH or near HFD, you know what the Pike delineation is trying to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Those things come on quick and aren't completely understood so nobody really knows. I know the odds favor one, but I see nothing anytime soon. I'm certainly not an expert with that stuff. I'm banking on one for a rocking Feb but most folks would cliff jump before that. I just don't know what to look for when I'm looking at models for one....I'm guessing higher heights at 500mb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Pattern isn't great, but nothing you can really do. I just hope those that forecast 70-90 inches for their BY's aren't still expecting that lol. It's January and most folks are in single digits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I'm banking on one for a rocking Feb but most folks would cliff jump before that. I just don't know what to look for when I'm looking at models....I'm guessing higher heights at 500mb? I like to look at 50mb and 10 mb. Believe it or not, the vortex splits next week, but then comes right back. The fact that it's so tenacious sort of gives me pause, but I know they can come on quick. 2007 did that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I just hope those that forecast 70-90 inches for their BY's aren't still expecting that lol. It's January and most folks are in single digits Well when it comes, it can come quick. Just because the first two weeks of Jan don't deliver 20", doesn't mean winter will suck.I'm hoping the clipper can drop a few, but hey...we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 unless you live in WMass NWCT No boundary is going to be perfect. Same in a coastal storm when folks use 495 to 395 or something. Its not perfect but gives you an idea of what mets are thinking. Its just a way to illustrate ideas thats easier than writing out every single town name you think will fall in one camp vs. another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I'll take 2-4" and run, at this point. It's never a pike event with him He never likes any area of dillineation to be the pike....its always either south of his area, or the NH border. Sometimes south of Quebec works. Got to the DAR and discovered I must have taken my jacket out of the car. Oops, hike cancel. Hockey being played on the lake with flurries. 19.9/7 at the pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Salisbury is so remote, you've gotta retire there. Which I certainly will think about, in 30 years. There's jobs that can be done without working in a city. Even so, there's commutable places nearby but I get your point. Ive actually driven through that area in Florida, they must average 120"-130" per year.. only issue is the wind turbines that they are building on the ridge there I saw those on the satellite but it looked like the mountain sloped behind you so you'd never see them. I was just thinking that the elevation is just tremendous for SNE. I would think that they would average about what Searsburg, VT gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I like to look at 50mb and 10 mb. Believe it or not, the vortex splits next week, but then comes right back. The fact that it's so tenacious sort of gives me pause, but I know they can come on quick. 2007 did that. So the vortex splitting would be a good thing, ok. I'll look for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Lol at PF, I was pretty much joking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 No boundary is going to be perfect. Same in a coastal storm when folks use 495 to 395 or something. Its not perfect but gives you an idea of what mets are thinking. Its just a way to illustrate ideas thats easier than writing out every single town name you think will fall in one camp vs. another.lol, thanks never knew that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I sense a total Ray meltdown and we haven't even hit Jan 1, this is going to be awesome. He's been one of the most level headed about this pattern going forward, haha. But there's definitely some CT vs. MA undercurrent going on in here today . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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