snowman21 Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Hartford...0.7''? That doesn't seem right...That's for December only. There was 5.1 in November, so 5.8 season to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 The time for concern will be if the Saturday storm ends up missing us to the south. Then it's time to start slashing snowfall forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 It was a good read but using the gfs op run to make your point of a 10 day forecast seems a bit nuts. I like the fact that epstein has found a niche for himself. I remember him on the air as the weekend backup and he was awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 The time for concern will be if the Saturday storm ends up missing us to the south. Then it's time to start slashing snowfall forecasts Or cuts and ends up mostly rain.....but I still wouldn't worry at that point because I don't expect much out of that one......I won't be alarmed unless we get shutout between now and the 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 It was a good read but using the gfs op run to make your point of a 10 day forecast seems a bit nuts. I like the fact that epstein has found a niche for himself. I remember him on the air as the weekend backup and he was awful.Yeah I thought the same. He's very agenda driven and since he forecast a mild, low snow winter it backs him. Guess he didn't want to post this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Or cuts and ends up mostly rain.....but I still wouldn't worry at that point because I don't expect much out of that one......I won't be alarmed unless we get shutout between now and the 15th.With a 1040 high nearby next week. This thing has no chance of cutting. There is a decent chance it misses CNE on north though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 With a 1040 high nearby next week. This thing has no chance of cutting. There is a decent chance it misses CNE on north though If the sw ejected is instense enough, sure it does....the latest trend is colder, though. I haven't really been paying attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 With a 1040 high nearby next week. This thing has no chance of cutting. There is a decent chance it misses CNE on north though Unless the high gets stuck out in the western Canadian praries with different timing in the ejection of the southwest energy. Saying it has no chance of cutting 6-7 days out in this pattern is just nonsensical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 0 of those years finished above average at ORH. The funny part is I'm not that concerned by it either given the pattern going forward...that tune may change though by mid-January. There were some other years that barely missed that list...most notably 1965 and 1957...both which ended up above average at ORH after catastrophic Decembers. 1957-1958 ended with 97.5" despite having a seasonal total of 2.2 inches on January 7th. in 2010 it wasnt a great year until feb came around. unofficial reports of over 60 inches of snow in some areas of north jersey for feb alone ( which would be a record ). by me i had near 50 for the month of feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Jeff's favorite season, which featured my snowiest month and largest event on record, started even more slowly than this season is. Can anybody, other than Will, guess which year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Unless the high gets stuck out in the western Canadian praries with different timing in the ejection of the southwest energy. Saying it has no chance of cutting 6-7 days out in this pattern is just nonsensical. Well for stated reason. I think a warm cutter is off the table niw. And if one wants to find something to worry about its more likely a glancing blow or miss to south. Agsin, only if one was being negative or wants to worry 5-6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Jeff's favorite season, which featured my snowiest month and largest event on record, started even more slowly than this season is. Can anybody, other than Will, guess which year? 2005? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 in 2010 it wasnt a great year until feb came around. unofficial reports of over 60 inches of snow in some areas of north jersey for feb alone ( which would be a record ). by me i had near 50 for the month of feb. Yeah it happens. I think there were areas in NW NJ, NE PA and interior SE NY that basically whiffed almost entirely the 12/19/09 KU event...they had pretty low totals through the end of January. The common denominator in most of those big late rally winters was that they were El Ninos or close to El Nino like 2012-2013 was. Hopefully this year follows that path, but no guarantees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Jeff's favorite season, which featured my snowiest month and largest event on record, started even more slowly than this season is. Can anybody, other than Will, guess which year? 1968-69. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Why were the posts talking about the Jan threat which were all wx related moved to a banter thread? So we can't talk about a storm threat in Jan thread now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Why were the posts talking about the Jan threat which were all wx related moved to a banter thread? So we can't talk about a storm threat in Jan thread now? I was wondering the same thing. I thought my step down post was entirely pattern related. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 I was wondering the same thing. I thought my step down post was entirely pattern related.Every single one of those posts was completely on topic. They're just getting ridiculous now. They even moved Wills post. So what are we allowed to discuss in that thread? Just temperatures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 I was wondering the same thing. I thought my step down post was entirely pattern related. We are not worthy of the Jan thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 1968-69. Yup. I'd be surprised if this year didn't recover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 I made a post in the Jan thread for those who have questions on why they were moved. (including my own posts) We're trying to avoid the same dynamic as the December thread...we really want that thread to be a technical discussion about the pattern. A place people can go to read some good solid analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2014 Author Share Posted December 29, 2014 We are not worthy of the Jan thread. But just think, no one is worthy of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Yup. I'd be surprised if this year didn't recover. By random chance, I was in the NYC area for the Lindsay storm that year which I believe was 2/9/69. A quick changeover after a few inches was forecast but we got 18-24. Unfortunately, going to school in upstate NY means I missed the mayhem of the 100 hour storm. The following autumn I matriculated in Boston and that storm had a significant influence on the decision...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2014 Author Share Posted December 29, 2014 I made a post in the Jan thread for those who have questions on why they were moved. (including my own posts) We're trying to avoid the same dynamic as the December thread...we really want that thread to be a technical discussion about the pattern. A place people can go to read some good solid analysis. Yup, no one is perfect, all Mod's and Admin included. It's nothing personal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 By random chance, I was in the NYC area for the Lindsay storm that year which I believe was 2/9/69. A quick changeover after a few inches was forecast but we got 18-24. Unfortunately, going to school in upstate NY means I missed the mayhem of the 100 hour storm. The following autumn I matriculated in Boston and that storm had a significant influence on the decision...lol. For a long time, Feb 1969 was Boston's snowiest month at 41.3"...it was broken eventually by February 2003 at 41.6" and then again just two years later with 43.3" in January 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Yup. I'd be surprised if this year didn't recover. It would be great to repeat another season as that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 For a long time, Feb 1969 was Boston's snowiest month at 41.3"...it was broken eventually by February 2003 at 41.6" and then again just two years later with 43.3" in January 2005. 2005 was an amazing month notwithstanding Logan's lowball number of 21.5 for the blizzard. Remember during the warm pattern the first half of January we got something like 6-8 from a system we had no business getting snow from. Then immediately before and after the blizzard there were 4-8 and 6-10 dumps from clipper type systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Yeah it happens. I think there were areas in NW NJ, NE PA and interior SE NY that basically whiffed almost entirely the 12/19/09 KU event...they had pretty low totals through the end of January. The common denominator in most of those big late rally winters was that they were El Ninos or close to El Nino like 2012-2013 was. Hopefully this year follows that path, but no guarantees. 6.5 in that 12/19 storm here. a few small storms after but not much until feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 Nice shout out to WSI and Mike V on Epstein's tweet. https://twitter.com/growingwisdom/status/549575018674286592 Why was this moved to banter? It is about Jan pattern upcoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 It's like North Korea in here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 29, 2014 Share Posted December 29, 2014 At some point we are going to have to cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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