Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 18-1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 18-1!Giants! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Perfection.almost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 18-1! SPY GATE!!!!!1111!!1!1!1!1!1!!1!1!!!1!!2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 "We're onto January." LOL, what an image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 "We're onto January." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I can't stop laughing at Brian's pic there. BB looks so evil...like lasers are going to shoot out of his eyes any second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 RIP Joe Cocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Did you read what Tip said in the other thread...models just deleted the EPO last night...hopefully it's a blip, but it's of concern...of course for you and Will given your location, it's not as big of a deal as further south Not entirely so ... It is still negative, as I wrote, just no where near the magnitude of the previous, multi-day signal. Also, I wasn't really speaking directly to the synoptics on the weather charts. Although ... yeah, you certainly can see the manifestation of the teleconnectors from time to time. It is not always easy to see that though, because remember... the teles are derived by the grids of many members combined, where as the operational runs are but a single member. So if the mode in the EPO shifts among the majority, the one member might or might not reflect that same characteristic. Also, it is important to note: the CDC calculates their indexes via lower tropospheric wind flux anomalies. That may or may not lend very well to the mid level anomaly distribution. In theory it should ...seeing as mass is always conserved. But nuances in the placement of features has a say in matters as well ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Down here, we have between 3-4" of snow.which isn't terrible YTD. What's exacerbating the perception of it being the worst start to winter (ever to some..lol) is this grinch storm, and the fact that the long range still appears in flux. take a step away from the models for a week, brave the two cutters we have to endure, albeit during the worst time possible, and take it like champs. come back Jan 1st and things may look different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Down here, we have between 3-4" of snow.which isn't terrible YTD. What's exacerbating the perception of it being the worst start to winter (ever to some..lol) is this grinch storm, and the fact that the long range still appears in flux. take a step away from the models for a week, brave the two cutters we have to endure, albeit during the worst time possible, and take it like champs. come back Jan 1st and things may look different. I think most people have pretty much come to terms with the Grinch storm. That has been expected for a while now. I think the current worry is the pattern is going to change, but it may be transient or not all that favorable. I personally am not putting stock in long term models at this point, as they have been awful. I dont think it's really worth looking at what say 1/5 or 1/10 and beyond will look like right now. I'm kind of in the same boat as a lot of others here that have mentioned it. I think expectations will need to be scaled back big time if by 1/10 we haven't had a plowable event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Down here, we have between 3-4" of snow.which isn't terrible YTD. What's exacerbating the perception of it being the worst start to winter (ever to some..lol) is this grinch storm, and the fact that the long range still appears in flux. take a step away from the models for a week, brave the two cutters we have to endure, albeit during the worst time possible, and take it like champs. come back Jan 1st and things may look different. You must be a newbie to this particular blogosphere ... Good luck getting that recourse through to this group of heroine addicts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I dont think it's really worth looking at what say 1/5 or 1/10 and beyond will look like right now. I'm kind of in the same boat as a lot of others here that have mentioned it. I think expectations will need to be scaled back big time if by 1/10 we haven't had a plowable event. I suppose...were people actually expecting a blockbuster winter? I was just hoping for an average to slightly above. I know weak el-nino's often deliver, but I remember reading that they are usually back-loaded..so I guess I'm not sure why the panic by some. Sure, if it's late Jan and we are still in the same boat, I suppose we can readjust our expectations to below average. Obviously there are more factors that go into a seasonal forecast, or into the dissection of a mid/long range pattern. I've noticed some weenies on here do some really bad interpretations of met analysis, and also tend to throw out these terms (that they likely don't fully comprehend) in order to support their stance of 'winter cancel' or 'best winter ever incom1ng!!" bipolar weenies are a real joy to read. I do fear for the mental/emotional state of some of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Rip joe cocker. I was mistaken for him by 2 high as a kite guys in an LA supermarket close to 30 years ago. The dudes are laughing and pointing at me and I was getting annoyed. Finally when we passed each other one of them says to me "hey man he thinks you're joe cocker". Not missing a beat as I walked past in my best joe cocker imitation I say " I am joe cocker" and kept walking. I want snow...soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Any word from Cohen? Yeah .. they're planning a sequal to Dumber and Dumber to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I suppose...were people actually expecting a blockbuster winter? I was just hoping for an average to slightly above. I know weak el-nino's often deliver, but I remember reading that they are usually back-loaded..so I guess I'm not sure why the panic by some. Sure, if it's late Jan and we are still in the same boat, I suppose we can readjust our expectations to below average. Obviously there are more factors that go into a seasonal forecast, or into the dissection of a mid/long range pattern. I've noticed some weenies on here do some really bad interpretations of met analysis, and also tend to throw out these terms (that they likely don't fully comprehend) in order to support their stance of 'winter cancel' or 'best winter ever incom1ng!!" bipolar weenies are a real joy to read. I do fear for the mental/emotional state of some of them. I think the problem is people slightly spin what mets say trying to bait them into giving them a favorable forecast or something. When mets call for something unfavorable here they receive backlash. Or if a get an inch of snow the AWT comments start flying. I think by 1/10 we will know whrt this is headed. If we have nothing by that point and guidance is meh at that time, I think expectations will come down. The general consesus that I got from the forum was slightly above average snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yeah .. they're planning a sequal to Dumber and Dumber toyou are always behind the news,it's already out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I'll take today's Euro depiction of 12/29 for 2000 please Alex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 you are always behind the news,it's already out Dumb and Dumber To is the sequel. he's talking about the sequel to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I took at look at the NY Forum for the first time today, I like it. They seem to be more realist in their views have a better handle on the dire situation we are in this winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 18-1! I prefer calling it 18 and "No!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I took at look at the NY Forum for the first time today, I like it. They seem to be more realist in their views have a better handle on the dire situation we are in this winter season. Nothing looks dire for your location in Westminster in the upcoming pattern. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Dire situation? The melting is contagious. Next up on CNN..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 I for one didn't think this would be a typical mild starting el nino winter...It's down there with 1986 and 1965 winters...I don't think it will be a shut out like 1972-73 or 1997-98...I always thought February will be the best for snow lovers and now I have to hope that part works out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Man the current snow cover map in the U.S. Is brutal. The Midwest and U.P. look bleak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Nothing looks dire for your location in Westminster in the upcoming pattern. lol Well if some of these potential over running situations work out we may be singing a different tune....just think negative and you won't be disappointed is a path some forum members take and I'm leaning that way! The weather is what it is...but I'll still let my emotions get in the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2014 Author Share Posted December 23, 2014 I prefer calling it 18 and "No!" Or 18 and we lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 snow up here....have had about a 1/2 inch and nice fluffy flakes now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Oh I love this post! Lichtenstein. How'd you even know how to Spell that? (I can't spell Anything so....) The Lichtenstein Polka is actually a great one FYI even though I stay away from that genre. Please do not hesitate to RSVP for the New Years Eve Soiree being held at the Vodka Cole Lounge....some of the attractions Many weather luminaries will be in attendance Party Games: "Where in the World is the Polar Vortex?" JB presentation on winter 15-16...."May the Vortex be With You " Special guest appearance by Gene Kelly ......Singing in the Rain sing along Special guest appearance by Frank Sinatra singing "El Nino State of Mind" Please note this event is BYOSG..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Some credit has to go out to Boston TV met David Epstein "I'm leaning away from a blockbuster snowy winter" in a piece he wrote for Boston.com back in late September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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