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December 2014 General Discussion


snowlover2

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Flurries flying around most of the day today, a biting wind, and of course very gray.

 

Winters nip tells us that the long touted torch is OVER. It ended up being a 4-day affair here, with highs of 45F, 53F, 50F, 47F, each of those 12-15 degrees BELOW the record high for the day. In other words...just a run of the mill mild spell not close to the inferno portrayed on many models in their longterms (Im sure upgrades havent helped). Actually, the longterm avg for December is 3 days AOA 50F (2014 has had 2) and 5 days AOA 45F (2014 has had 4).

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Flurries flying around most of the day today, a biting wind, and of course very gray.

 

Winters nip tells us that the long touted torch is OVER. It ended up being a 4-day affair here, with highs of 45F, 53F, 50F, 47F, each of those 12-15 degrees BELOW the record high for the day. In other words...just a run of the mill mild spell not close to the inferno portrayed on many models in their longterms (Im sure upgrades havent helped). Actually, the longterm avg for December is 3 days AOA 50F (2014 has had 2) and 5 days AOA 45F (2014 has had 4).

 

We had the same conditions here. It actually felt like mid winter today.

 

As far as the bolded, I can't even begin to understand the workings of the models, but if that's true, then why update? I know that models are updated to improve flaws, but if it makes other aspects of the resulting forecast worse, is it still a better model? Probably a question for a separate thread. I'm sure that it has been discussed ad nasueam in a general thread somewhere.

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Man talk about a busted forecast. Just enough ascent within the saturated boundary layer to produce freezing drizzle around the Milwaukee area. Upper level disturbance passing to our south probably is helping but with high pressure overhead I thought low clouds would be the only issue. Sounds like roads are in very bad shape around here.

Sent from my iPhone

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