ACFD FIREMAN Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Almost gives me my 60 on Christmas Eve 0z EC had a 965 mb in the UP of MI. Pumped up highs on 12/24 in the 60-65F range east of the BR. So you might be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 GFS has the Christmas storm dropping to 958mb...WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 storm at the end of the month on the gfs might be a hecs holy block Given it's the op, if that's right the -NAO isn't going anywhere anytime soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 PARA has the Christmas Eve storm around Pittsburgh at 12z Christmas Eve morning and quite strong (979). Any chance this thing doesn't cut? Yeah, about the same chance of snow this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 25th-31st should be a fun tracking period. A triple phaser (?) and a potential major snowstorm being lined up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 975mb low over West Virginia is very rare. Actually 978 but still pretty amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Euro gets down to 961 over Lake Huron. Pretty close to the position of the GFS. #SantaBomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 12z Euro - 168 Hour Panel looks really impressive. That would be one heck of storm, from wind driven snows on the back side of the storm to a major severe weather threat for the Eastern US. Yep, based on what I'm reading on what the GFS is showing and now the Euro, we should have plenty to watch. Definitely exciting stuff.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Ooh boy, I sure hope we do get wind. Wind is the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 Ooh boy, I sure hope we do get wind. Wind is the best. Yes sir!!!! Power outages, downed trees...............nothing says Christmas better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Ooh boy, I sure hope we do get wind. Wind is the best.Agreed 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 55-70mph gusts. My christmas tree will be dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Wind chills in the mid 50's too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Yes sir!!!! Power outages, downed trees...............nothing says Christmas better. I finally get my severe. Merry merry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Yes sir!!!! Power outages, downed trees...............nothing says Christmas better. Candlelight just like Bob Cratchit, Jacob Marley and Tiny Tim would like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 My christmas tree will be dark Not if you're burning it for heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 55-70mph gusts. My christmas tree will be dark windstorm.JPG That would be insane. But, it is a Euro forecast........Whew! I was scared for a minute. Seriously though, I sure hope that doesn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Somewhat serious question for all of the people stoked about the upcoming pattern - if it really is all that & a bag of snow chips - should we not see fantasy storms start to pop up all over the place on a variety of the long range models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Epic and historic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 Somewhat serious question for all of the people stoked about the upcoming pattern - if it really is all that & a bag of snow chips - should we not see fantasy storms start to pop up all over the place on a variety of the long range models? There is an event, fairly minor showing up on the GFS brothers at around day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 55-70mph gusts. My christmas tree will be dark windstorm.JPG that's pretty wild. would be one of the bigger wind events we've seen in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 There is an event, fairly minor showing up on the GFS brothers at around day 10 That sure gets the blood going... Wasn't necessarily trying to be entirely snarky - but - looking for a marker re: this epic upcoming pattern from those who are pointing to it. At what point do we start to see theoretical systems on the long range that bear evidence of potential payoffs down the road. Because, and folks don't want to talk about this, but epic cold can often come with epic dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 There is an event, fairly minor showing up on the GFS brothers at around day 10 Euro has +13 850's overhead d10. Model war! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Euro gets down to 961 over Lake Huron. Pretty close to the position of the GFS. #SantaBomb November (Thanksgiving) 1950 or even January 26, 1978 redux?? Looks very similar to the 1950 storm as some have mentioned. The Ohio storm in 1978, surface low came out of the Gulf, though, and phased with a northern stream wave (the one currently in the models is farther north). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Yes sir!!!! Power outages, downed trees...............nothing says Christmas better. December derecho! At least in this case it wouldn't be 99 degrees and humid the following day without power (though cold and no power isn't fun either). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Slipping away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 That sure gets the blood going... Wasn't necessarily trying to be entirely snarky - but - looking for a marker re: this epic upcoming pattern from those who are pointing to it. At what point do we start to see theoretical systems on the long range that bear evidence of potential payoffs down the road. Because, and folks don't want to talk about this, but epic cold can often come with epic dry. To be honest, I've been a bit worried seeing cutter-like systems followed by cold and dry during that time frame lately. Granted, that's in the ops run at day 10, but still. Previously, there were a couple of systems that were very interesting, sort of like the "theoretical" storms in the long range you mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Euro has +13 850's overhead d10. Model war! Euro has a "tail-end Charlie" threat look to it down near Texas on day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Euro has +13 850's overhead d10. Model war! GFS doesn't have +13 at day 10, but 850s are still above zero. It's a borderline situation that doesn't look great until later forecast hours, when 850s finally go back below zero. Of course, looks like most of the precip is gone by then (with maybe some on the back-end)? Appears to be an overrunning kind of situation, cold leading into it, but warms up as it approaches, then cold after (where have we heard that before?!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 My mistake. The event I was looking at is day 11-12 on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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