dryslot Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 hows it do for c nh? must be all snow 1.25??? Your good, Looks like all snow for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Yea, I noticed that when examining the GFS, too. NAM was more clear cut with an extended period of snow. It's not sleeting by a ton at 00z there H7 is like right at 0C...so it probably snows through at least 21z-22z on the Euro, perhaps a bit longer. Its been a very similar solution for like 5-6 runs in a row now...only minor wobbles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Hate to ask for my area but I have no access to euro from my phone. How far does the sleet get jnto north jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 looking at national radar is a thing of beauty watching the GOM still feed this beast. Inland PA reports should be fun by am commute. Wonder what state the highest total will fall. Any guesses? PA/NY/NJ/CT/MA/VT/NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I'm thinking that run's like 2-4" maybe 5" here(Stamford) before a pingfest? Sound right to you guys? Think that's a pretty solid call right now and I'd be quite happy, nothing wrong with getting 5x your climo November snowfall plus accumulating sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Will are you back at Winter Hill (ORH) for this thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Still has an IVT signal over the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 looking at national radar is a thing of beauty watching the GOM still feed this beast. Inland PA reports should be fun by am commute. Wonder what state the highest total will fall. Any guesses? PA/NY/NJ/CT/MA/VT/NH? I'd guess NH, ME, MA in that order of probability. Hate to ask for my area but I have no access to euro from my phone. How far does the sleet get jnto north jersey Maybe 10-15 miles west of NYC? Hard to tell exactly without having the in-between hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Doesn't sound too good for N. RI with all this mixing talk 40 miles NW of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Will are you back at Winter Hill (ORH) for this thing Eventually, lol...I have to work tomorrow in BOS and I'm not sure what time I'll be done, hopefully by mid-afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I'd guess NH, ME, MA in that order of probability. Maybe 10-15 miles west of NYC? Hard to tell exactly without having the in-between hours. Thanks . I'm about 30 miles nw of the NYC . Seems like I'm still safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Doesn't sound too good for N. RI with all this mixing talk 40 miles NW of me. You should Chase this north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Thanks . I'm about 30 miles nw of the NYC . Seems like I'm still safe Yeah, uou might taint for a little while, but you're looking at a warning event out of this I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Snowfall maps not all that different in the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Yeah I'm wondering how I'll do in SFZ. Been wondering all along. Afraid to ask about IMBY. The maps I've seen all had their dividing line either right over my head, right through PVD, or just west of me. Doesn't sound too good for N. RI with all this mixing talk 40 miles NW of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Thanks . I'm about 30 miles nw of the NYC . Seems like I'm still safe Your going to be close on this run, But looks like you may be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 It looks like a flip at the end.. banding single over eastern mass and boston at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Your going to be close on this run, But looks like you may be ok Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Snowfall maps not all that different in the end We're talking minor shifts...thats why. The sfc low oriented a bit different early on for a closer track, but it didn't change the the CF much..it's still going to be close to the coast...and the mid-levels were similar..a hair warmer, but well within typical model noise. Nobody can really say if the sleet gets to the pike at 21z or 23z or 00z or 20z...it just isn't going to be possible probably until the last few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 We're talking minor shifts...thats why. The sfc low oriented a bit different early on for a closer track, but it didn't change the the CF much..it's still going to be close to the coast...and the mid-levels were similar..a hair warmer, but well within typical model noise. Nobody can really say if the sleet gets to the pike at 21z or 23z or 00z or 20z...it just isn't going to be possible probably until the last few hours. Either way, still looks like a great snow in same areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 You should Chase this north The Day before Thanksgiving? Enough to do around home. And see some some friends that are home. GOD the GFS is so ugly still. Looks like All Rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Thanks . I'm about 30 miles nw of the NYC . Seems like I'm still safe News 12 has only 1-3" from 287 south in Westchester and 3-6" from 287 north....seems like predictions are pretty conservative for this storm as we saw with the BOS meteorologists..except for the Weather Channel which had a large stripe of 8-12". I don't know if the BL warming is being overplayed for areas like Boston and Long Island since Tds are in the 20s now.. I'm not really sure what to expect down here. Maybe some people can help with a good forecast for this area as a lot of folks are asking me about travel plans? 0z ECM looked a good bit colder than 0z GFS with 850s at 21 hours running from the North Fork of LI to near Atlantic City NJ. But 700mb temperatures are apparently a torch with the track of the mid-levels. What's a reasonable call here? 1-3" for NYC, 4-8" in Westchester/Rockland, 8-12" for Putnam/Orange etc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Well, out until morning. We'll see how the short term stuff looks in the AM. Nothing overly noteworthy staring at the current radar and water vapor loops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 There are some weather people are not going for sleet for in ct or mass inland areas and even near i -95 area . It will have banding to . storm is stronger too . sorry disagree with some those going for sleet . im not and going for 7- 12 inches in inland ct and the hartford area . plus the temp will crash on wed and are colder in nj than model said for tonight . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Dry end to end. Really warm still NYC to BOS. 41 here at the house in Princeton. A lot of folks in this thread are not cognizant of the date on the calendar. There's a reason why snow climo is so puny on the cp in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 NAM stil llooks pretty cold and wet from my observations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 HRRR is quite juicy with totals through 2100 UTC today... many locations in MA and CT already between .75 - 1.00" liquid equivalent. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/lb13_img/hrrr/hrrr_2d.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Nice to wake up to everything still on track. Only surprise to me are BL temps. A bit warmer than thought. Still 38 ..but will start as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Nice to wake up to everything still on track. Only surprise to me are BL temps. A bit warmer than thought. Still 38 ..but will start as snow Box map shaved a bit 128-495 upped far deep interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Sleet is the concern for me. Will have a final guess shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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