ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Given the other thread was for the whole weekend and it has gotten to 80 pages long, we'll continue the storm discussion in here. We'll have the seperate inverted trough thread too so we avoid some confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 When will your forecast map be out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Someone will need to fire up an obs thread also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 You know things look grim when your best shot for snow out of this system is the inverted trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 When will your forecast map be out? Have I ever even made a forecast map? I put out numbers in text format. It's like you don't even know me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Is this the obs thread too, or should Gay or MPM start one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nwbostonwx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 What does any one make of the RGEM ensembles? looks like the OP is on the western fringe, better snow potential here in BOS? http://meteocentre.com/tracking/track.php?&mod=cmc_reps&run=12〈=en&area=na Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Is this the obs thread too, or should Gay or MPM start one? Anyone is free to start an obs thread whenever...that includes now if they feel the sudden urge to post that their temp is currently 57F with partly cloudy skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 What does any one make of the RGEM ensembles? looks like the OP is on the western fringe, better snow potential here in BOS? http://meteocentre.com/tracking/track.php?&mod=cmc_reps&run=12〈=en&area=na Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Anyone is free to start an obs thread whenever...that includes now if they feel the sudden urge to post that their temp is currently 57F with partly cloudy skies. I'll kick it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Anyone is free to start an obs thread whenever...that includes now if they feel the sudden urge to post that their temp is currently 57F with partly cloudy skies.Just thought one of the 2 jackpot winners should start it. You know, to kick it off right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Just thought one of the 2 jackpot winners should start it. You know, to kick it off right Here it is. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44986-wednesdaynight-storm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I'll kick it off. Make yourself a strong pot of joe, throw on a shawl, get some of the finely stacked cordwood, and let 'er rip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 that radar off of Tampa is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 that radar off of Tampa is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 This has a pretty robust tropical connection. You can follow it into the Pacific south of Baja penninsula Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Have I ever even made a forecast map? I put out numbers in text format. It's like you don't even know me. It's like you don't even want to meet my standards of excellence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 This has a pretty robust tropical connection. You can follow it into the Pacific south of Baja penninsula Any doubts left regarding whether Nino is manifesting itself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 This is a bit disconcerting. The cold air is a long, long, long way away. Advecting your cold supply from Indiana is a tough row to hoe with a coastal storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I was wondering about the stalled front...and what impact it has. Don't we need it to come through sooner than later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 This has a pretty robust tropical connection. You can follow it into the Pacific south of Baja penninsula gulf stream dandy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 LOL..there's no advecting that going to happen. You're cooling from the top down and wet bulbing . Dews are already into the 20's. It's still going to be in the mid-uppers 30's when you wake up tomorrow. Relax and proceed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Boundary might even be 40F or so at the start...but yeah, 'vertical advection' is what we are counting on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 LOL..there's no advocating that going to happen. You're cooling from the top down and wet bulbing . Dews are already into the 20's. It's still going to be in the mid-uppers 30's when you wake up tomorrow. Relax and proceed Rev at elevation I think you can relax. One of Boston's best mentioned bust potential and I can see that potential out to west of 495 and east of those 800' elevations. I could envision a lot of 34F dynamically cooled mashed taters having difficulty getting more than 3 or so inches....and there is nice cover for any low bust "it's only novie...how much you want". I see this morphing into a elevation event...where you gotta be 750-800 and above for more than advisory (esp in SNE) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Yeah most of the advection here is dry air advection rather than sharp cold air advection...we have very dry mid-levels too coming in...so we wetbulb easily below 0C down to about 950mb tomorrow morning...sfc will only wetbulb into the mid to upper 30s probably and the rest will be achieved by latent cooling as precip becomes heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Winter Storm Warnings are up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 not much change on the SREF around here but maybe cuts back a bit in SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Rev at elevation I think you can relax. One of Boston's best mentioned bust potential and I can see that potential out to west of 495 and east of those 800' elevations. I could envision a lot of 34F dynamically cooled mashed taters having difficulty getting more than 3 or so inches....and there is nice cover for any low bust "it's only novie...how much you want". I see this morphing into a elevation event No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Rev at elevation I think you can relax. One of Boston's best mentioned bust potential and I can see that potential out to west of 495 and east of those 800' elevations. I could envision a lot of 34F dynamically cooled mashed taters having difficulty getting more than 3 or so inches....and there is nice cover for any low bust "it's only novie...how much you want". I see this morphing into a elevation event...where you gotta be 750-800 and above for more than advisory I don't see that happening, only if we get crappy rates..don't see that with the moisture plum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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