NoVaWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 8 o'clock official airport obs DCA 52/33 IAD 41/35 BWI 46/32 41 I think we're sitting real good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 We all know when it clouds up it gets warmer again. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 39.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 37 leesburg 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 8 o'clock official airport obs DCA 52/33 IAD 41/35 BWI 46/32 BWI is 44F I think. 44/37 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The two local stations near me are 43.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 BWI is 44F I think. 44/37 here. Yup, I assumed they all updated at the same time, DCA is 53 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 38/30 in Damascus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 23Z HRRR suggests a 9 AM rn/sn line down 95, with a solid radar at that time. 23Z RAP suggests the Rn/sn line makes it to DC at around 9 am but then retreats to the northern tier of counties after 11 am (maybe a little out of its range?). Total QPF is .5"+ for everyone by noon, with the radar suggesting more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 It's like 75 here. Not sure why I tracked this so heavily for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Yup, I assumed they all updated at the same time, DCA is 53 I think BWI does it at 7:58 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 39.5/32 here. Plenty of stars out. Waiting for the cloud deck inferno from hell to arrive. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Everybody not on a hilltop well N/W better hope the RAP and HRRR are too warm at the end of their runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Everybody not on a hilltop well N/W better hope the RAP and HRRR are too warm at the end of their runs. they could be too warm, or they could be too cold, but they are never right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Everybody not on a hilltop well N/W better hope the RAP and HRRR are too warm at the end of their runs. 00z HRRR is showing low to mid 40s across the DC metro region at 11z. ETA: Cools down surface temps by 14z into the mid 30s out in Loudoun county. Upper 30s in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 00z HRRR is showing low to mid 40s across the DC metro region at 11z. how can anyone argue with that based on their current temp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Gaithersburg down to 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 41.9. Dreading the spike later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 39/30 Purcellville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Everybody not on a hilltop well N/W better hope the RAP and HRRR are too warm at the end of their runs. I thought it was established that the RAP at range is pretty bad with temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 they could be too warm, or they could be too cold, but they are never right Disagree... they did well with several events last year, and saw several of the busts and booms that global models didn't see coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 how can anyone argue with that based on their current temp? even has dulles at 45 at 7a.. cools quick after, but that's not ideal lol. we need some -nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 38.8/31.1 here now. Sky is partly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 45 in Fairfax City...also NAM is starting up...but should we even bother with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 35/27. Temp has leveled off the past 20 minutes as altocumulus is taking over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeminoleSullivan Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 41.9. Dreading the spike later. Fortunately for many of us radiative cooling and evaporative cooling are not mutually exclusive. I'm counting on cloud cover being friendly this evening, most of the N/W burbs of DC should come in a couple of degrees under NWS temp forecasts, but you're really fighting your 'model of choice' rather than the NWS temperature thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 I thought it was established that the RAP at range is pretty bad with temps? established by who? they're certainly not gospel tho I think they're not terrible depending on the situation and if there is run to run consistency. i look at RAP temps quite a bit late run when doing forecasts on Friday nights and it rarely truly lets me down. i don't have a great feel for this one way or another locally, but the warm bust ideas certainly make more sense than the other way at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 48.5/37 Pretty awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 It's like 75 here. Not sure why I tracked this so heavily for a week. Sucker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Down to 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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