Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 haha way ahead of man, lol spent the last 15 minutes checking this out, post, and then read the comments I missed and bam! this is indeed what I am also thinking. incorrectly modeled gravity waves could be the new radar hallucination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 it's almost midnight and it's 66 degrees imby enough already The "cold" air is filtering in...61 when I got home at 8pm. Currently sitting at 46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I have 10lb bags of ice on my mulch. #proactivity the worst part is, the winds are from the south/sw and temps are cooler in VA than imby....wtf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The "cold" air is filtering in...61 when I got home at 8pm. Currently sitting at 46 you'll feel warmer if you stand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I don't think wxbell is doing anything to make the maps snowier they just aren't filtering very sophisticcatedly. It seems most apparent on the euro which apparently just has an off/on variable for snow. Yes. Ryan has said that he has no control over the Euro output for snow ratios/algorhythms....he gets what ECMWF gives him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Yes. Ryan has said that he has no control over the Euro output for snow ratios/algorhythms....he gets what ECMWF gives him. maybe they work better in Europe....that wasn't intended to be sarcastic, just that conditions over there (in Europe) may result in snow more often than not with those algorithms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Yes. Ryan has said that he has no control over the Euro output for snow ratios/algorhythms....he gets what ECMWF gives him. It's too obvious. I can do the math in my head. The error is glaring and I've never taken a met class. He has to see it and know it. Other sources do a much better job. The "its the data source" argument is weak at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 00z UKIE looks like ~1" for i-95 corrridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's too obvious. I can do the math in my head. The error is glaring and I've never taken a met class. He has to see it and know it. Other sources do a much better job. The "its the data source" argument is weak at best. It has been pointed out to him several times. He has to know there's an issue. Maybe it's hard to fix but would be nice if they did some day.. or offered two options. Not that I ever look at snowmaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Am I committed to staying up for the Euro at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Am I committed to staying up for the Euro at this point? It's in 20 minutes dude...you might as well stay up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's in 20 minutes dude...you might as well stay up Dec 5 09 still top analog: http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/stats.php?reg=EC&model=NAM212&fhr=F036&rundt= Consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Am I committed to staying up fo r the Euro at this point? The answer to life, universe, and everything will be issued in 45 mins. U want to sleep thru that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The answer to life, universe, and everything will be issued in 45 mins. U want to sleep thru that? If it sucks.. probably. Plus I might be tracking white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I just don't want to see the big Euro panel go from .6" to .3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I just don't want to see the big Euro panel go from .6" to .3". I don't think it matters...white rain is white rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I don't think it matters...white rain is white rain #FaithInTheFlakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Why are you in this forum? The posts prob should be moved to banter, Because the Philly forum is dead and I'm on the southern fringe of the NYC forum. Big run upcoming on the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 A bit faster with onset which might mean a smidge warmer.. looks similar otherwise thru 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 A smidge faster overall.. plenty wet 1"+ everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Euro is a huge hit...1"+ for everybody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Same Temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Same Temps? wxbell is slow.. sv is not very detailed. looks very similar overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Same Temps? It's probably a tad colder...it moved east, but it juiced and the precip shield expanded west....given the parameters we are dealing with, it is about as perfect as run as you could get... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Sfc looks about the same at 12z.. 18z it's very close but like a degree warmer than 12z 95 area east and a degree colder west. it's a good run west for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Sfc looks about the same at 12z.. 18z it's very close but like a degree warmer than 12z 95 area east and a degree colder west. it's a good run west for sure. Its a great run really overall in terms of where people sit. The best for those west because of the .6 QPF in 6 hours out there which is impressive, and surely aiding in the temperatures being a bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Sfc looks about the same at 12z.. 18z it's very close but like a degree warmer than 12z 95 area east and a degree colder west. it's a good run west for sure. It's a huge run for the north and west burbs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's a huge run for the north and west burbs... take it for what it is but i think it demonstrates the shifts well run to run based on the look. at 18z Euro has us at 35 which is possibly no bueno, but if it's 35 at DCA (compared to 34 prior) and 1 degree too warm.. i'd roll the dice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 1.2" total for DC with ~0.5" falling between 12z and 18z and another 0.2" between 18z and 00z. It's a good run for DC..probably the best we can hope for given the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I'm definitely going to be bummed when Winchester and Parkton check in with a foot and I have a sloppy 1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.