MJO812 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 12z Euro has a little snow for tomorrow for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Doesn't seem to be moving north, more like waving around. Likely to push south. Its moving http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CH BK Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 12z Euro has a little snow for tomorrow for the area Snow in NYC. yet in Brooklyn mix.. wow 5 miles insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Its moving http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-24 Stop calling it.. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Stop calling it.. Lol lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Snow in NYC. yet in Brooklyn mix.. wow 5 miles insane Always happens like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Ive just switched to rain after 4 hours of snow in belle mead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Always happens like this Heavy sleet for the last 15 min in Kew Gardens and ground whitened due to sleet/snow ( from earlier). Cant say how much but have a feeling this evening will hold a snowy surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Lol it is moving north but it will eventually stop and push back east. It should get well into NE NJ though, at least through the lower elevated suburbs within 15-20 miles of NYC. Always funny how people see things or hear reports that suddenly the rain snow line will not move past, or the low is closer/further away than modeled, or the snow seems to be back building into the area, etc etc lol. Will the models pinpoint to the exact town where the rain/snow line will set up? Of course not. However, they have done a really good job with this storm including the Euro with it's initial idea of a closer to the coast solution while other models said further away.....and even the NAM with it's thermal profiles. The RAP/HRRR, though good tools, have wobbled a little too much with this one. Overall nice forecasts by NWS, especially with their initial thoughts of the potential for significantly more snow in western essex and union as opposed to eastern portions of the counties , as we could be looking at a 3-6 west/1-3 east type of situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 NWS UPTON: A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SIT OVER THE REGION THROUGH 330 PM. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCH(ES) PER HOUR... ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES... AND VISIBILITIES OF 1/4 MILE OR LESS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TIME. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION TRAVELING IN THIS AREA DUE TO THE LOW VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATING ON ROADWAYS. A FEW CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN DETECTED AND REPORTED AS WELL... AND ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER... IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Always happens like this I had the same faith when I lived on 64th St and 12th Ave...I averaged less snow than Central Park and it was events like this that made the difference... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 700 warm tung must be here now. Precip is back but the sleet is gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Upton's new map...1-3 eastern essex, 8-10 western. 1-3 SE Bergen, 10-14 NW Bergen. Ouch. Only 1/2" here so far...nice call by them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The HRRR drops the warm layer east quickly tonight. Interior/burbs get right back into snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 ImageUploadedByTapatalk1417027866.350488.jpg Upton's new map...1-3 eastern essex, 8-10 western. 1-3 SE Bergen, 10-14 NW Bergen. Ouch. Only 1/2" here so far...nice call by them Too bad we couldn't have bought just a little blocking so those snowfall amounts shifted further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 whoa yeah baby!!! I am in 8-10 now... was in 4-6 before... Im in Caldwell. Western/Northern Essex County NEW UPTON MAP! WOw look at that cutoff!!! thankfully it seems it moved eastward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 ^^^^ painfully close to the City We will get our share come next month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The HRRR drops the warm layer east quickly tonight. Interior/burbs get right back into snow. hrrrrsnow.png then how many hours snow and amount after that ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Mt Holly goes new map too... they are wrong.My father southern Morris County has 3.5 inches and is under heavy snow. They failed to get the sharp cutoff right. Upton has it right. They need to move the 8-10 or at least 6-8 southeast more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 whoa yeah baby!!! I am in 8-10 now... was in 4-6 before... Im in Caldwell. Western/Northern Essex County NEW UPTON MAP! WOw look at that cutoff!!! thankfully it seems it moved eastward Yeah seriously...Summit could have 3x what union gets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Well I guess that's it according to Mt. Holly. Very little accumulation of any expected here in Middlesex cty. By the time the mid levels cool the precip will be ending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Definitely nice forecasting by some on here including Earthlight, who was forecasting significantly more snow 20 miles west of NYC....AWESOME call..not only due to the fact that they WILL in fact get more snow, but also considering I am 13-14 miles west of NYC and will NOT get into those good accumulations..pinpoint accuracy, so well done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Yeah seriously...Summit could have 3x what union gets crazy cutoffs. 2 towns at their ending borders could have a difference of over 8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I lived in Caldwell for many years in west orange at the top of eagle rock right next door we always do tremendously well in these marginal situations elevation certainly helps. Can count numerous times driving home from the path in Kearny with rain then getting heavy accumulating snow after you got to the hill on280 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Upton has increased snowfall amounts here, now on the border of 6-8". Looks accurate based on banding signature and temperatures staying a little colder than expected. ECM thermal profiles are going to win out over the GFS. -SN 32.5/31 Wind: ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 ImageUploadedByTapatalk1417027866.350488.jpg Upton's new map...1-3 eastern essex, 8-10 western. 1-3 SE Bergen, 10-14 NW Bergen. Ouch. Only 1/2" here so far...nice call by them Upton bumped totals by me from 4-6 to 8-10 and we are basically bordering the 10-14 zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Definitely nice forecasting by some on here including Earthlight, who was forecasting significantly more snow 20 miles west of NYC....AWESOME call..not only due to the fact that they WILL in fact get more snow, but also considering I am 13-14 miles west of NYC and will NOT get into those good accumulations..pinpoint accuracy, so well done I agree. Earthlight excellent job man. You said it... if you are over 20 miles from NYC you are safe... and according to new Mt Holly and Upton Maps.. they are speaking what you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 whoa yeah baby!!! I am in 8-10 now... was in 4-6 before... Im in Caldwell. Western/Northern Essex County NEW UPTON MAP! WOw look at that cutoff!!! thankfully it seems it moved eastward Well I went from nothing to less than 1". That's like a 10 billion percent increase!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Upton has increased snowfall amounts here, now on the border of 6-8". Looks accurate based on banding signature and temperatures staying a little colder than expected. ECM thermal profiles are going to win out over the GFS. -SN 32.5/31 Wind: ENE Euro has snow for NYC later on as the storm pulls out. Maybe that's when we will get some accumulations in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Well I went from nothing to less than 1". That's like a 10 billion percent increase!! Anything above +0.3" in November for NYC is a good month. I hope that they don't wait too long again to measure so we don't lose some to melt like we saw in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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