TeleConnectSnow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 There are going to be some crazy snow rates on the edge of the R/S line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:10 PM, christhesnowman said: its a touch slower this run, besides that very similar to this mornings run, maybe be a good thing that its Slightly slower a bit more time for the cold air to sneak in The best accumulations will be after 3/4pm anyway so the longer the heavier stuff can hold off the better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:03 PM, IsentropicLift said: 700mb freezlng line makes it to about the Passaic/Morris County border and stalls. Ping Ping Ping for the coast, rain for LI. Quick question I assume ping ping ping means sleet but where are you talking when you say the coast cause then you say rain for LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 0.10"+ falls after 00z (7PM) . But, the VV are still decent and the higher res models have been hinting at a deform banding crossing the area before things shut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:13 PM, rcad1 said: Quick question I assume you ping ping ping means sleet but where are you talking when you say the coast cause then you say rain for LI I should have said immediate NW burbs and the city. LI is LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:13 PM, IsentropicLift said: 0.10"+ falls after 00z (7PM) . But, the VV are still decent and the higher res models have been hinting at a deform banding crossing the area before things shut off. Yeah, people have been overlooking there are some interesting developments from 21-03Z on some models indicating snow possible...its not gonna be 12/25/02 or February 2013 but it may be a light version of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Yes, there are some crazy rates just north of the R/S line in the northern half of NJ tomorrow, I would think a 'warm' layer at 700mb could be overcome with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:10 PM, IsentropicLift said: This matches the 12z RGEM nearly perfectly, just a little warmer at the mid-levels for the coast. No it doesn't. LOL. 18z NAM is MUCH warmer for all areas. Rgem was snow to Nassau County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 New WPC 8" or more snow probability map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Anyone from the city and points is are mostly taint, same as 12z. Anyone southeast of the NJ TPK in NJ is pretty much the same. If you're west of Rt. 17 in NJ and north of Rt. 80 you're mostly snow, maybe a brief mix of sleet in the afternoon. If you're into the higher elevations in northern NJ and the LHV this is about as good as it gets for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:00 PM, info4tim said: You're kidding correct!!?? That's from last Friggin March!!!! ???? shows 11/27/14 unless I am missing an inside joe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:10 PM, IsentropicLift said: This matches the 12z RGEM nearly perfectly, just a little warmer at the mid-levels for the coast. A little warmer? Lol all out torch at 700mb for the coast and the 0c line goes much further inland than any other model I have seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:15 PM, ag3 said: No it doesn't. LOL. 18z NAM is MUCH warmer for all areas. Rgem was snow to Nassau County. Did you choose to ignore the part which mentions the mid-levels being warmer or did you just miss it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:17 PM, Rjay said: A little warmer? Lol all out torch at 700mb for the coast and the 0c line goes much further inland than any other model I have seen. It's just a narrow layer at 700mb and I mentioned that. Feel free to stop twisting my posts anytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:18 PM, IsentropicLift said: Did you choose to ignore the part which mentions the mid-levels being warmer or did you just miss it? They are nowhere near the same on any level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 1.5" QPF with a very pronounced comma head for the northern 40% of Jersey...very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Yanks I'm on my mobile and am trying to finalize travel plans. What are your or anyone's thoughts on extreme western Essex county on the border of morris. Elevation of about 260 feet. Sorry for the imby question but I have older family members traveling from this location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:19 PM, Zelocita Weather said: 1.5" QPF with a very pronounced comma head for the northern 40% of Jersey...very nice. Even northern NJ goes above freezing (700mb) level on the NAM. The taint pushes well inland into NJ, Upstate NY, CT and SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Looks like some of us in eastern NJ may be in for one heck of a heavy-precip barrage tomorrow afternoon/early evening. I may be in the minority, but I love myself a good sleet-fest (as my username can attest to). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:20 PM, IsentropicLift said: I have no words, other than that you being a sore loser is quite evident. Dude. You posted on a public forum that the 12z Rgem and 18z Nam are similar. Really? They can't be any more different on every single level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Thanks IsentropicLift... I thought that's what you meant but wanted to make sure and wasn't positive if when you said rain for LI you meant the whole island or just eastern li. As I live in western Nassau county about 2 minutes from queens and a block south of the lie so just trying to figure out what we might get here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:21 PM, ag3 said: Even northern NJ goes above freezing (700mb) level on the NAM. The taint pushes well inland into NJ, Upstate NY, CT and SNE. It's elongated north to south and never makes it to KMMU. If you read you'll see that I mentioned that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Everyone referencing timing on the NAM, ignore it, the NAM is ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS too slow advancing every system along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:21 PM, ag3 said: Even northern NJ goes above freezing (700mb) level on the NAM. The taint pushes well inland into NJ, Upstate NY, CT and SNE. I'm not very worried about one model that has a thin layer of warmth at a very high level; 700mb (all other levels, including 850, good to go). The only 'layer' I'm worried about for temps is the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:22 PM, ag3 said: Dude. You posted on a public forum that the 12z Rgem and 18z Nam are similar. Really? They can't be any more different on every single level. I'm sorry that this is going to be all rain for you. I hope that it doesn't ruin your Thanksgiving spirt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:23 PM, rwffceas vdas said: lol ur clearly desperate for the nam to be right ur acting like its the only model...ur delusional Why? The NAM gives me less snow, give me a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 ignore the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:25 PM, forkyfork said: ignore the NAM Its timing and precip amounts maybe....I'm not so sure thermally its all that far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:26 PM, SnowGoose69 said: Its timing and precip amounts maybe....I'm not so sure thermally its all that far off. It way move agressive pushing the warmth inland at 700 mb than the Euro. I respct the hell out of you but idk man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 8:26 PM, SnowGoose69 said: Its timing and precip amounts maybe....I'm not so sure thermally its all that far off. The 700mb closes off inland and tracks into the LHV. The immediate coastal plain torches but areas 20 miles west of the city stay below freezing for the duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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