ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 The official way to count it for a White Thanksgiving (or Christmas) is to have 1" OTG as of 12z that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Hard to believe after 2 full days in NOV and one that had some partial sunshine that trees still caked in snow and ice. 27.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Had a late white thanksgiving day here in EastAmherst, NY. GFS and Euro show mischief at the end of their runs, positive PNA shows itself ner the mid point of December. Euro is very close to a benchmark storm at 12z next week Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 The reason we love Eastern Canada being buried in record snow in Oct, high pressure rules the majority of the next ten days, keeping any run at a torch at bay, couple of mild ups but no torch. 1028 1044 1034 1034 1042 1030 1032 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Sorry Tuesay of the following week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 OES potential next Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Hard to believe after 2 full days in NOV and one that had some partial sunshine that trees still caked in snow and ice. 27.9 nice Bro, low sun angle, low dews , best time of the year to retain and get the pack building between now and 2nd week of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 24F here in East Amherst, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 WAA snows Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 nice Bro, low sun angle, low dews , best time of the year to retain and get the pack building between now and 2nd week of Feb. We'll just have to see about monday..That may be the only truly bad day for the pack ..If we escape that..we could be off to the races. We went down to Ingalls Tree farm today in Brooklyn and it was amazing how little there was there. An inch tops..But as soon as you climbed the hill into Ashford it quickly increased to 2-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 We'll just have to see about monday..That may be the only truly bad day for the pack ..If we escape that..we could be off to the races. We went down to Ingalls Tree farm today in Brooklyn and it was amazing how little there was there. An inch tops..But as soon as you climbed the hill into Ashford it quickly increased to 2-3 Valleys are pretty toasted even a 200 ft rise is different. Pretty typical early season stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Quite the cool day. 9:00 am high of 28 4. Now at 24.0?18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 34m 34 minutes agoState College, PA 1st batch of my winter storm warning flag,shirts have arrived. I do need to get a better looking person to model them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 34m 34 minutes agoState College, PA 1st batch of my winter storm warning flag,shirts have arrived. I do need to get a better looking person to model them So when do your "Mets say 6-12" but I say 16-24" with lollies of 30"" shirts come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 In my eyes, this has been the absolute perfect November. When i say November can be and is a winter month..this is how you would draw it up. A couple snow events, many cold days and nights, Skim ice on lakes and ponds with Tip and his chums tossing golf discs around in camoflage gear and orange winter hats...and consecutive days of snow cover. Not continuous since it's not solid (met) winter yet..but close enough to lump it in. This also is why ..again , to me..this is a much better time and month to get snow than Morch..when sun angles are high, snow melts in 4 hours, and spring is in the air..Sure it can snow and be chilly, but it has a totally different feel in Morch than Nov.. We have the whole winter still ahead of us, sun angle is low, it's dark early, we have white holidays..and it just feels like something magical is in the air. There's nothing better than having winter start and settle in early..and this November epitomizes all my ranting and raving . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 It's also not normal. This is not seasons in seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 The long range doesnt look that great too me. I certainly could be wrong. I know it can flip on a dime in the long range, but all of north america looks to the pretty warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 It's also not normal. This is not seasons in seasons. It's all in the eye of the beholder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 I can't see why some people don't like the mid month period for a few snowstorms. 12z and 18z GFS shows us how close we are with a positive PNA in place and a polar vortex over Hudson Bay. It is clearly a cold and stormy pattern with an active southern and northern streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 The long range doesnt look that great too me. I certainly could be wrong. I know it can flip on a dime in the long range, but all of north america looks to the pretty warm. It doesn't look good to me either. There will be lots of cliff jumping emoticons in the next couple weeks and the panic in Tolland thread will be bumped often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 I can't see why some people don't like the mid month period for a few snowstorms. 12z and 18z GFS shows us how close we are with a positive PNA in place and a polar vortex over Hudson Bay. It is clearly a cold and stormy pattern with an active southern and northern streams. Looks cutterific imo. NNE though will do ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2014 Author Share Posted November 28, 2014 12/-10 looks iffy but not awful. 12/10 an beyond is a crapshoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 It's all in the eye of the beholder You see what you want to see... this November will take care of snow in this month for the next like 3-5 years, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 It doesn't look good to me either. There will be lots of cliff jumping emoticons in the next couple weeks and the panic in Tolland thread will be bumped often. 18z GFS didn't look too bad... of course it is 1 of 4 runs of an operational model in a day, but although the US isn't cold, that kept us trough-y in the northeast. December can be tough in El Ninos though...I wonder if that's playing into it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 18z GFS didn't look too bad... of course it is 1 of 4 runs of an operational model in a day, but although the US isn't cold, that kept us trough-y in the northeast. December can be tough in El Ninos though...I wonder if that's playing into it at all. I'm banking on an El nino Dec, until op runs show something different....I think the next couple weeks are bare for SNE. Maybe some systems where it's snow to rain but nothing to get excited about down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 It doesn't look good to me either. There will be lots of cliff jumping emoticons in the next couple weeks and the panic in Tolland thread will be bumped often.Lol yeah.Looks like it would be primed for storms to ride right up on us or to our west. The warmth in general is a bit concerning. Seriously cutting into the snowpack built up. I know the LR is kind of junk, but it would he nice to see something better than the whole area going warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Has anyone been reading what the mets have been saying? I mean I feel like it's early NOV agsin . Deja vu. It doesn't look warm or torched and winter less . Nor does it look like a solid deep winter pattern. . It looks back and forth maybe biased slightly BN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 These are the same guys whose mantra was cold cutter rinse repeat last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 These are the same guys whose mantra was cold cutter rinse repeat last week. Not me. I just call like I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 You have to understand that a lot of long range mets focus on the conus. Not New England. First half of December absolutely looks warm in the conus as a whole. There's a couple cold shots early but we'e talking about a mean. It doesn't mean every day is a torch. New England may be in the best spot this time to avoid it. Kind of like the northern plains last winter basically never saw any torches and cutters like we saw from time to time. I still think pretty meh for New England first half but we might sneak away with closer to average vs elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.