mahk_webstah Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 That is one interesting wintery run for up here helluva way to run a mildish boring pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 That is one interesting wintery run for up here Up by you, Eric and Brian--absolutely. Not so much here in tropical land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Euro shows a lot of cold air in the low levels with that system next week. Something for sure to watch. Mid-levels are marginal too. The high position is what makes me thing this one could be quite interesting...esp for CNE/NNE...but even interior SNE in the usual spots like ORH hills and GC (though I guess you could lump this with CNE) Any shot farther south in terrain areas? By chance I don't mean snow..just wintry precip in general Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Up by you, Eric and Brian--absolutely. Not so much here in tropical land. Verbatim is was a big ice storm from your area to ORH. It dumped a ton of QPF with temps in the 20s. But 6+ days out so we will keep the verbatim talk to a minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Interestingly..temps has dropped from 34.1 to 32.8 since 5:00 am.. Mesolow FTW.. You guys up in NH and interior locales..may never warm much New Haven? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Verbatim is was a big ice storm from your area to ORH. It dumped a ton of QPF with temps in the 20s. But 6+ days out so we will keep the verbatim talk to a minimum. It's disappointing that it is 6+ days away...I would love a massive ice storm. Hopefully the models continue to show this as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Any shot farther south in terrain areas? By chance I don't mean snow..just wintry precip in general 6 days out. There's always a shot. I don't like your area as much tho for big icing since you have more trouble holding CAD than further N&W. It could still end up a bit colder in the mid-levels too. But def the further N is going to be better off closer to that source region. We still need the storm to actually happen though and also keep that high in a very favorable spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Signals seem to me to indicate a ton of East flow over a cold interior dome with those favored East upslope areas like the Berks really loading up. Impressive high pressure with a low dew infeed indicates wintry precipitation pretty far south in interior NE. Big ticket look, follow up cutoff out in fantasy land is intriguing but way out there. MPM make sure your Genny works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 helluva way to run a mildish boring pattern. For most of sne, it's a pretty standard way to run one. I think it has alway been made clear that cne/nne would do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 For most of sne, it's a pretty standard way to run one. I think it has alway been made clear that cne/nne would do fine. I also wouldn't be spiking footballs even up there on a 6 day depiction. This window around the 9th-10th has been on the radar for a while anyway for those paying attention to the medium range discussion going back a few days. The look of Quebec highs was why we were not going to feel the full brunt of the mild pattern in NE. We may get lucky with this event but it isn't close enough yet to get too excited in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Excellent for ski areas to build bases to withstand the warm 10 to 14 day period. Looks like a great period for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 nice icing sig for S VT / SNH / N MA etc on the euro late weekend / early next week. that would be a nasty event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 helluva way to run a mildish boring pattern. Up by you, Eric and Brian--absolutely. Not so much here in tropical land. Well its still a ways away but so far things have been pretty favorable early on as we are off to one of our earliest starts for winter so i remain optimistic at this point, But the 0z Euro does show what could possibly happen if things played out right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Any chances for wintry weather in this pattern would be great, though after the 2008 ice storm I certainly am not hoping for a devastating icing event here in ORH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masonwoods Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 It's disappointing that it is 6+ days away...I would love a massive ice storm. Hopefully the models continue to show this as we get closer. You are crazy! 2008 memories: 13 days no power, thank god I had a generator, 1 month no phone/internet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Any meteorologically realistic chances for a snow (or even sleet vs freezing rain) event in interior SNE out of that event. By realistic I do not mean what if fantasies but something based on models and the fact that there is a high to our north in Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 The op Euro now keeps us cold through day 10, but looming to the west is obscenely mild air ..as in 19C 850 temps in SD. FYI, don't we usually get those 850 temps only in Jul/Aug? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 6 days out. There's always a shot. I don't like your area as much tho for big icing since you have more trouble holding CAD than further N&W. It could still end up a bit colder in the mid-levels too. But def the further N is going to be better off closer to that source region. We still need the storm to actually happen though and also keep that high in a very favorable spot. Oh--I thought you were talking the Sunday night/Monday possibility. I'd hate to be relying on the generator here while I'm away next week. I'll be happy with ip or rn for the benefit of my wife and daughter. 31.4/31. Stick a fork in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2014 Author Share Posted December 3, 2014 Oh--I thought you were talking the Monday possibility. I'd hate to be relying on the generator here while I'm away next week. I'll be happy with ip or rn for the benefit of my wife and daughter. 31.4/31. Stick a fork in it. He is talking about Monday and beyond next week I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 He is talking about Monday and beyond next week I believe. Yes...there's a weaker system out ahead of it on Saturday...but that looks rainy aside from maybe a few flakes at the onset. NNE mountains may get a shot of snow from that. Monday and beyond has more potential with the high building in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 He is talking about Monday and beyond next week I believe. Okay--I thought things were slated for Sunday night/Monday, so the 6-days out threw me a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 I moved the discussion of wanting or not wanting to experience a crippling ice storm to the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 I hear what you are saying, but for I would like to experience it just once. I am not saying an every winter type thing, but just to have that lifetime experience I want an ice storm too, I got the generator and woodstove ready to rip. Not as bad as 2008, but having no power for a couple to three days would be worth it to me. Ice storms are also a great way to get free firewood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 So, back to meteorology: Realistic chances for snow in SNE (or sleet) given the atmospheric set up and models. I know the Quebec high is a good thing (especially further north), but can it pull something out of the basket for us given what is actually modeled and not simply fantasized or wished. What do the mets say? SNE means using the Taunton office's forecast region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2014 Author Share Posted December 3, 2014 That's a big vortex by d7. I wonder if this can help turn the NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 That's a big vortex by d7. I wonder if this can help turn the NAO? Signals for a new a paradigm seem to be emerging, lets see how this evolves this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 GFS kind of looks like a poorly formed miller B (until it is up in the maritimes of Canada)...we're probably going to see a bunch of different solutions out of the Monday/Tuesday threat over the next couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Euro had zr even down to New Haven next week Hanrahan tweeted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 There is a AO PNA NAO triplet now forecasted in that 5-8 day period. Its definetly something to watch especially with cold HP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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