JC-CT Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Snowing There is a thread for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 GFS op made a step to the GEFS and EC ensembles I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Mike Ventrice just tweeted this to Loon and Mt Snow, Euro Ens snow( take it for what its worth)2", I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 GFS op made a step to the GEFS and EC ensembles I think. would be funny if after all the angst and Forky posts out of the blue from his MIA in Nov if that happens verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Boom Michael Ventrice @MJVentrice 7m 7 minutes ago Liking the 500mb geopotential height anomaly pattern a la ECMWF weeklies for a eastern U.S. Christmas snow storm AIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Plenty of years have seen a pattern flip in the Holidays period and gone on to be pretty good Winters. In fact probably more often than not we don't settle into a cold and snowy pattern until that time frame. Some years it's a back and forth all winter and we never stay cold and snowy, but we score several good snowstorms. And others are great in December then crap the bed the rest of the way...you never know but I wouldn't bet on punting the winter just because December looks rugged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 AITThats pompous and frowned upon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Thats pompous and frowned upon Boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Thats pompous and frowned uponFrown upon this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Someone posted this in the SE forum...it may be promising for the future..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Boom.Frowned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Someone posted this in the SE forum...it may be promising for the future..... I picture that minus the -NAO. I have a hard time seeing that in 20 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Plenty of years have seen a pattern flip in the Holidays period and gone on to be pretty good Winters. In fact probably more often than not we don't settle into a cold and snowy pattern until that time frame. Some years it's a back and forth all winter and we never stay cold and snowy, but we score several good snowstorms. Joe Bastardi and some other mets have a theory that more often than not a winter that locks in around late November and continues unabated through December often ends up mild in the back half, the reason is something to do with the atmosphere wanting to balance itself out, we've seen winters more or less do that and stay cold however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Even if we get 5 feet from next week's storm, it would be illigitimate because it will be gone in like 15 minutes after it shuts off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 We have seen plenty of cold November-December couplets crap the bed thereafter. In recent history, 2005-06 comes to mind. 1989-90 was classic. Joe Bastardi and some other mets have a theory that more often than not a winter that locks in around late November and continues unabated through December often ends up mild in the back half, the reason is something to do with the atmosphere wanting to balance itself out, we've seen winters more or less do that and stay cold however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Kinda like what happens in Buffalo, but Id still take it. Even if we get 5 feet from next week's storm, it would be illigitimate because it will be gone in like 15 minutes after it shuts off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Frown upon this Funny how we went from multiple mets and weenies sucking musket barrels this morning, to people doing round offs from the sides of their desks about wintry threats over the next week and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Funny how we went from multiple mets and weenies sucking musket barrels this morning, to people doing round offs from the sides of their desks about wintry threats over the next week and beyond. It's more for CNE and NNE, but I suppose interior MA could get in on it. Maybe even you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 C-1" for Andover to Ray perhaps tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 It's more for CNE and NNE, but I suppose interior MA could get in on it. Maybe even you. I will say..you called this lol..It's to the point of just being incredulous.there were 2 more accidents over the weekend too. The Bermuda triangle Hartford Courant @hartfordcourant 43m 43 minutes ago I-84W closed between Exits 68 and 67 in Tolland because of an accident. http://courant.com/cttraffic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Maybe that typhoon will recurve like what happened with Nuri. Also Don Sutherland a member on here says that most members of the GFS ensembles are hinting at a negative NAO towards mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2014 Author Share Posted December 2, 2014 Round offs from the desk sides strike me funny... I thought the euro ens in the long range would be worse when I looked. Don't get me wrong, they're pretty bad bad lowered expectations tempered my angst...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Funny how we went from multiple mets and weenies sucking musket barrels this morning, to people doing round offs from the sides of their desks about wintry threats over the next week and beyond. I don't think anything has changed. Just your interpretation of it. It is still low probability of winter events > 3" through mid month. Better shot the further north you are. Pattern is pretty poor. Conus furnace while we try and avoid the real warm stuff. Probably looking at dec 15-20 at the earliest for a reshuffle to more widespread cold and legit snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 I will say..you called this lol..It's to the point of just being incredulous.there were 2 more accidents over the weekend too. The Bermuda triangle Hartford Courant @hartfordcourant 43m 43 minutes ago I-84W closed between Exits 68 and 67 in Tolland because of an accident. http://courant.com/cttraffic That's not something I am proud of..lol. There should be some sort of study done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 I don't think anything has changed. Just your interpretation of it. It is still low probability of winter events > 3" through mid month. Better shot the further north you are. Pattern is pretty poor. Conus furnace while we try and avoid the real warm stuff. Probably looking at dec 15-20 at the earliest for a reshuffle to more widespread cold and legit snow chances. Nothing has changed you are right. Ryans Station(NBC 30) just showed a nice big FAT RAIN STORM for CT come Sunday and Monday lol. I don't see any winter threats in their long range forecast for CT as of now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Nothing has changed you are right. Ryans Station(NBC 30) just showed a nice big FAT RAIN STORM for CT come Sunday and Monday lol. I don't see any winter threats in their long range forecast for CT as of now!! News stations are rarely ever loud about a long-range winter threat, and rightfully so. Edit: good news stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 I don't think anything has changed. Just your interpretation of it. Sometimes I wonder if he's more interested in the moods around here than the actual weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Pretty cool to open Dec with two consecutive days of seeing snow flakes and sleet, been worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 A Question to the Mets for everyone - When I checked the NWS yesterday morning it had Snow / Sleet tonight for me. I had no idea, and I checked the NAM and GFS. Both had the 850 0C, 10M 0C, and others ALL North of me when the Precip. hit. If I didn't know anything other than the models I'd say 0% chance of frozen precip. So, how is it snowing (now Heavy Sleet) outside? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Pretty cool to open Dec with two consecutive days of seeing snow flakes and sleet, been worse. Snow on snow tonight for some. It's been a fine start to winter this year, I don't understand the day to day model insecurity. Eeinie weenies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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