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December-winter is finally here!


weathafella

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Plenty of years have seen a pattern flip in the Holidays period and gone on to be pretty good Winters. In fact probably more often than not we don't settle into a cold and snowy pattern until that time frame.

Some years it's a back and forth all winter and we never stay cold and snowy, but we score several good snowstorms.

And others are great in December then crap the bed the rest of the way...you never know but I wouldn't bet on punting the winter just because December looks rugged.

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Plenty of years have seen a pattern flip in the Holidays period and gone on to be pretty good Winters. In fact probably more often than not we don't settle into a cold and snowy pattern until that time frame.

Some years it's a back and forth all winter and we never stay cold and snowy, but we score several good snowstorms.

Joe Bastardi and some other mets have a theory that more often than not a winter that locks in around late November and continues unabated through December often ends up mild in the back half, the reason is something to do with the atmosphere wanting to balance itself out, we've seen winters more or less do that and stay cold however.

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We  have seen plenty of cold November-December couplets crap the bed thereafter. In recent history, 2005-06 comes to mind. 1989-90  was classic.

Joe Bastardi and some other mets have a theory that more often than not a winter that locks in around late November and continues unabated through December often ends up mild in the back half, the reason is something to do with the atmosphere wanting to balance itself out, we've seen winters more or less do that and stay cold however.

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Funny how we went from multiple mets and weenies sucking musket barrels this morning, to people doing round offs from the sides of their desks about wintry threats over the next week and beyond.

 

It's more for CNE and NNE, but I suppose interior MA could get in on it. Maybe even you.

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It's more for CNE and NNE, but I suppose interior MA could get in on it. Maybe even you.

I will say..you called this lol..It's to the point of just being incredulous.there were 2 more accidents over the weekend too. The Bermuda triangle

 

Hartford Courant ‏@hartfordcourant  43m

I-84W closed between Exits 68 and 67 in Tolland because of an accident. http://courant.com/cttraffic

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Funny how we went from multiple mets and weenies sucking musket barrels this morning, to people doing round offs from the sides of their desks about wintry threats over the next week and beyond.

I don't think anything has changed. Just your interpretation of it. It is still low probability of winter events > 3" through mid month. Better shot the further north you are.

Pattern is pretty poor. Conus furnace while we try and avoid the real warm stuff. Probably looking at dec 15-20 at the earliest for a reshuffle to more widespread cold and legit snow chances.

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I will say..you called this lol..It's to the point of just being incredulous.there were 2 more accidents over the weekend too. The Bermuda triangle

 

Hartford Courant ‏@hartfordcourant  43m

I-84W closed between Exits 68 and 67 in Tolland because of an accident. http://courant.com/cttraffic

 

That's not something I am proud of..lol. There should be some sort of study done.

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I don't think anything has changed. Just your interpretation of it. It is still low probability of winter events > 3" through mid month. Better shot the further north you are.

Pattern is pretty poor. Conus furnace while we try and avoid the real warm stuff. Probably looking at dec 15-20 at the earliest for a reshuffle to more widespread cold and legit snow chances.

 

Nothing has changed you are right. Ryans Station(NBC 30) just showed a nice big FAT RAIN STORM for CT come Sunday and Monday lol. I don't see any winter threats in their long range forecast for CT as of now!!

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Nothing has changed you are right. Ryans Station(NBC 30) just showed a nice big FAT RAIN STORM for CT come Sunday and Monday lol. I don't see any winter threats in their long range forecast for CT as of now!!

 

News stations are rarely ever loud about a long-range winter threat, and rightfully so.

 

Edit: good news stations.

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A Question to the Mets for everyone - 

 

When I checked the NWS yesterday morning it had Snow / Sleet tonight for me.  I had no idea, and I checked the NAM and GFS.  Both had the 850 0C, 10M 0C, and others ALL North of me when the Precip. hit.  If I didn't know anything other than the models I'd say 0% chance of frozen precip.  

 

So, how is it snowing (now Heavy Sleet) outside?  

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