SR Airglow Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Winter uncancel on the GFS? New EUROens continue the theme of improvement in regards to retrograding the GOA low into the aleutians. Also, take it FWIW, but the new CFS is an absolute freezer for January, like -7 in SNE to -10 in NNE. Big signal from a model which has a notorious warm bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 The ensembles continue improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 On 12/5/2014 at 8:37 PM, skisheep said: Winter uncancel on the GFS? New EUROens continue the theme of improvement in regards to retrograding the GOA low into the aleutians. Also, take it FWIW, but the new CFS is an absolute freezer for January, like -7 in SNE to -10 in NNE. Big signal from a model which has a notorious warm bias. Which CFS? The one run at the CPC (CFSv2) still showing a warm Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2014 Author Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/5/2014 at 11:56 PM, Nittany88 said: Which CFS? The one run at the CPC (CFSv2) still showing a warm Jan. I just looked at the run initiated 3z today and it should below normal temps in a lot of the east but not severely so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/5/2014 at 11:56 PM, Nittany88 said: Which CFS? The one run at the CPC (CFSv2) still showing a warm Jan. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 So many versions of the same dam thing...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 didn't the CFS bomb November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 12:50 AM, OKpowdah said: didn't the CFS bomb November?the cfs bombs the next 5 minutes, useless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 12:21 AM, Ginxy said: this On 12/6/2014 at 12:17 AM, weathafella said: I just looked at the run initiated 3z today and it should below normal temps in a lot of the east but not severely so. Ah okay thanks, the ones run daily vs. weekly I guess?? On 12/6/2014 at 12:24 AM, CoastalWx said: So many versions of the same dam thing...lol. Lol yeah seriously. On 12/6/2014 at 12:50 AM, OKpowdah said: didn't the CFS bomb November? On 12/6/2014 at 12:55 AM, Ginxy said: the cfs bombs the next 5 minutes, useless Lol oh yes it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Can't Forecast Shiat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 12:50 AM, OKpowdah said: didn't the CFS bomb November? Yeah it's pretty bad which is why I have it a FWIW tag. Only reason I'm not totally tossing is that it's bombs are almost always an extreme warm bias, so to see it(or at least one version of it) so cold is interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Feel like the light at the end of the tunnel is very visible now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Only about 10-14 days away it seems *** strong signs of MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE DEC 16-20... euro weeklies shows much colder pattern by Dec 20 POSSIBLY East coast winter weather threat DEC 22.... CFS weeklies also support this idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Well..we'd better enjoy this one whenever it decides to start Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 10h 10 hours agoState College, PA I cut a video in 2011, talking about how nasty winters 12-13 thru 14-15 could be. After this year. 3 of next 5 should be WARM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 LOL, what a silly statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Betting on global warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 The GEFS are really flipping the PNA and EPO. Good signs after the 20th or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 1:23 PM, JC-CT said: Betting on global warming. The .1C warming per decade should cancel winter by 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 1:47 PM, CoastalWx said: The .1C warming per decade should cancel winter by 2015. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2014 Author Share Posted December 6, 2014 Remember, jb called for a furnace 2010-11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 I know people are focused on Wednesday, but things are really turning around on the models. The GEFS would imply big cold moving back into the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2014 Author Share Posted December 6, 2014 Meanwhile, in this awful pattern it hasn't been all that warm relative to climo. We had a major torch on the 1st of December but since then it has run normal to a bit below. It would be damned funny if December averaged normal or a bit under that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 4:03 PM, CoastalWx said: I know people are focused on Wednesday, but things are really turning around on the models. The GEFS would imply big cold moving back into the US. A Christmas miracle? Lol In all seriousness, thats great news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 12:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Well..we'd better enjoy this one whenever it decides to start Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 10h 10 hours agoState College, PA I cut a video in 2011, talking about how nasty winters 12-13 thru 14-15 could be. After this year. 3 of next 5 should be WARM 2011-12 is the only one of the bunch that was bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 4:07 PM, weathafella said: Meanwhile, in this awful pattern it hasn't been all that warm relative to climo. We had a major torch on the 1st of December but since then it has run normal to a bit below. It would be damned funny if December averaged normal or a bit under that. This never looked like a torch pattern..just an overall lousy pattern. Tons of HP overhead. I think we will have maybe 2 perhaps 3 mild days, and then turn cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 4:08 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: A Christmas miracle? Lol In all seriousness, thats great news I'd like to see all models full steam ahead within day 10, but I don't see this as a faux cooldown like we used to see on the models in Dec 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 What an absolutely beautiful chain of events to displace the 50mb vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Blocking? Bueller? Bueller? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 On 12/6/2014 at 5:14 PM, 8611Blizz said: Blocking? Bueller? Bueller? Not yet, but hopefully January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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