Stormlover74 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 I think the bust was January, I remember now there was also an event on 2/6 which was basically following an arctic front, the others were 2/13, and 2/21. The 13th was a surprise in that it was supposed to change to rain sooner but we got 3-4" first. I believe there was also a big interior snowstorm the week before the 3/13-14 superstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 ggem is still showing a coastal for Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 ggem is still showing a coastal for Xmas. Nice rainy christmas morning for everyone all the way to Canada.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Nice rainy christmas morning for everyone all the way to Canada.. sigh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Another storm before the end of 2014..and yeah that one it's also rain on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Nice rainy christmas morning for everyone all the way to Canada..at least the trend is on our side unlike the storm that was supposed to hit this weekend. Maybe we get a blockbuster out of this. You know anytime you get a monster storm off the coast, you will always have dynamic cooling. The setup is there for a major storm, and it could be a snow event if all things go right. Let's see what King Euro sayz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Another storm before the end of 2014..and yeah that one it's also rain on the GFSGFS blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 GFS blows i think its best we just relax and see how things play out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Looks like quite a rainy Christmas Eve and above avg temps as we head into the last week of the year. Yuck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Looks like quite a rainy Christmas Eve and above avg temps as we head into the last week of the year. Yuck! Looks cold from Christmas forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 GFS says cold. Euro says warm. I'll side with the Euro I think. Evolution of the pattern makes sense too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 i think its best we just relax and see how things play outI agree, but I have a real good feeling about this storm. Especially when I see an Alberta clipper wave type with an airmass of a polar vortex transferring its energy and spinning up a 975 millibar or lower LP. I'll tell you one thing, I have yet to be as excited this year as I am about the potential Christmas storm. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Above average temps for the last week? I'll take the under for the 25th- 31st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 GFS says cold. Euro says warm. I'll side with the Euro I think. Evolution of the pattern makes sense too.Gefs agrees with the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Above average temps for the last week? I'll take the under for the 25th- 31st Vodka cold comes after Jan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It should go below normal after the 27th and I do believe that storm after the cutter is our best shot of snow this month. You're fighting history if we don't get any more snow this month and history says we don't fare too well. However this season could be the exception because of the lag in the pattern change. This lag could mean most of Jan and Feb are great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It should go below normal after the 27th and I do believe that storm after the cutter is our best shot of snow this month. You're fighting history if we don't get any more snow this month and history says we don't fare too well. However this season could be the exception because of the lag in the pattern change. This lag could mean most of Jan and Feb are great. Strongly agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 120 hours 1006mb off delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
negative-nao Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 GEM @ 186 hrs WOW !! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2014121800/gem_z500_mslp_us_32.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 GEM @ 186 hrs WOW !! even though it's the Cmc that's still a stunning image http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2014121800/gem_z500_mslp_us_32.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 GEM @ 186 hrs WOW !! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2014121800/gem_z500_mslp_us_32.png 1. It's a crappy model. 2. It's the only model showing a solution like that. 3. It's still all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It should go below normal after the 27th and I do believe that storm after the cutter is our best shot of snow this month. You're fighting history if we don't get any more snow this month and history says we don't fare too well. However this season could be the exception because of the lag in the pattern change. This lag could mean most of Jan and Feb are great. 77-78, 86-87, 2004-2005 would strongly agree with you. Can't say past performance equals future results though. Our chances of a below normal winter rapidly increase if Dec ends up less than 3". Of course we have Dr Cohen on our side this year but even those have bust years too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 144 hours low zips due East. Meanwhile 996 mb slp around Milwaukee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 1. It's a crappy model. 2. It's the only model showing a solution like that. 3. It's still all rain. ill take the Canadian over the GFS anytime. Remember last year (you were right) when the GFS was showing a 72 hour snow event for us and Canadian had it suppressed. The CMC ended up being right on a couple of events. Not to say that the CMC is right but all models indeed show a very very strong storm. Read my previous few posts and it'll tell you the likely evolution of the potential nor'easter for the Christmas timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 168 hours 992 slp upper Michigan and secondary 986 mb NY/Connecticut border. Flat ridge developing out West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 120 hours 1006mb off delmarvaAnything of interest on Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Anything of interest on Euro? Rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Euro looks quite similiar to the ggem in regards to xmas storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Rain! Big shift east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 EURO 975 LOW north of Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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