TonyLovesSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 4:56 AM, SnoSki14 said: The gfs is an absolute killjoy. It has squat and the massive torch continues after. I really hope it's wrong or its gonna be a very sad closing in on the holidays. It roasts us from the 11 through the entire run or up till the 20th with no hope of a change.I just hope the potential torch gets shunted south, as it has been since last winter. Even during the summer we had potential heat waves on the models, and at the end result we had a below average summer. I am still going with what the euro prints out tonight. It just doesn't support a warm up like the GFS is showing and it's been rather cold this fall. I have a feeling next week will be the most interesting week thus far this winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Those parallel GFS images are from last night's 00z run. The parallel GFS is not being run for the next few days as NOAA continues to update it and such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 5:30 AM, IsentropicLift said: second system I think this one has more potential than the first wave, many of the EURO members were trying to key on this one. And many of the members that developed this turned it into a beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 5:32 AM, Dsnowx53 said: Those parallel GFS images are from last night's 00z run. The parallel GFS is not being run for the next few days as NOAA continues to update it and such. Ah okay will delete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:02 AM, TonyLovesSnow said: The way that evolved was ridiculous though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:04 AM, Blizzard96x said: The way that evolved was ridiculous though...whos doing the euro PBP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:04 AM, TonyLovesSnow said: whos doing the euro PBP? We don't need a PBP lol no point this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:14 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: We don't need a PBP lol no point this far out Wtf are you kidding me? Of course we do..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:17 AM, ice1972 said: Wtf are you kidding me? Of course we do..... haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Nothing to see so far through 120. First storm is weaker and further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Yeah really nothing to see. Kinda went away with the big storms idea. oh well still got january february and half of december Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:21 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: Yeah really nothing to see. Kinda went away with the big storms idea. oh well still got january february and half of december You mean this half? Cant wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:21 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: Yeah really nothing to see. Kinda went away with the big storms idea. oh well still got january february and half of december No it didn't. The storm is still there and gives us light snow as it pulls away at 132-138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:23 AM, Blizzard96x said: You mean this half? Cant wait. Lol I was being sarcastic, must not know me haha. December looks like a wash. Our hope is mid jan-mid feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:25 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: Lol I was being sarcastic, must not know me haha. December looks like a wash. Our hope is mid jan-mid feb. We still have the whole month of December. Also, who said that the storm next week is a no go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Euro ends up pretty good for Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Euro only has 1 storm but it's close to something big for our area. It bombs out too late for the area to see a lot of snow but we do get some snow out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:30 AM, Snow88 said: Euro only has 1 storm but it's close to something big for our area. I'd be rich as hell if I had a dollar for everytime this was said. Close but no cigar. This will be a New England/Maine storm if anything. But my current thoughts are that the trough sets up further east and it goes OTS before it curves back towards Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:32 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: I'd be rich as hell if I had a dollar for everytime this was said. Close but no cigar. This will be a New England/Maine storm if anything. But my current thoughts are that the trough sets up further east and it goes OTS before it curves back towards Maine. It could happen but nothing is set in stone yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:32 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: I'd be rich as hell if I had a dollar for everytime this was said. Close but no cigar. This will be a New England/Maine storm if anything. But my current thoughts are that the trough sets up further east and it goes OTS before it curves back towards Maine. Agreed. It makes sense with the depicted progressive PNA ridge collapsing eastward and lack of blocking downstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Forky was right... every model run for the past 24 hours has made significant corrections eastward with the system(s). There's probably nothing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:23 AM, Blizzard96x said: You mean this half? Cant wait. I actually wouldn't mind that...I work outside that night so a torch is fine by me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:36 AM, H2Otown_WX said: Agreed. It makes sense with the depicted progressive PNA ridge collapsing eastward and lack of blocking downstream. We need that to hold for a coastal storm to ride up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Euro is at least cold at hr 168 unlike the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Normally it is the GFS showing us the fantasy storms ..however..this season it appears as if the ECM is doing that instead. ALA 12 Z .. On the GFS we can't even buy a fantasy storm (LOL) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:40 AM, Blizzard96x said: Euro is at least cold at hr 168 unlike the GFS. Nice cold shot after the coastal low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:41 AM, atownwxwatcher said: Normally it is the GFS showing us the fantasy storms ..however..this season it appears as if the ECM is doing that instead. ALA 12 Z .. On the GFS we can't even buy a fantasy storm (LOL) LOL Euro also showed a lot of fantasy storms last winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:41 AM, atownwxwatcher said: Normally it is the GFS showing us the fantasy storms ..however..this season it appears as if the ECM is doing that instead. ALA 12 Z .. On the GFS we can't even buy a fantasy storm (LOL) Yeah I believe the EURO has already given me about 50 inches in fantasy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 On 12/4/2014 at 6:30 AM, Snow88 said: Euro only has 1 storm but it's close to something big for our area. It bombs out too late for the area to see a lot of snow but we do get some snow out of it. Not really . Looks nothing the 12z OP and matches other guidance . The UKMET wanted no part of this either does the 0z Euro or it`s ensembles . Don`t get fooled by 1 OP run. It would have been nice to steal a little something before the warmest part of the progression here but was not likely for the coast and now I would just move on . Next week temp wise will be B/N . But then look for Day 10 - 15 ( and most likely beyond ) look to be A . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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