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11/26-27/2014 Coastal Storm Banter


SR Airglow

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24 hours ago NWS and model consensus had 4-8" here end result was .5". Big old BUST here in CT for pretty much all areas. Congrats to all those who did well, bad combination of unlucky timing with banding and quicker than advertised warmth intrusion killed it along with some sneaky warming in the mid levels earlier resulting in a delayed flip to snow.

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Good November storm and a special Holiday treat but an underperformer for many south of the pike and east of the ct river valley. The funky dry layers and inconsistent rates and the torch at 700 kept us from seeing the advisory/warning criteria in many areas but the landscape looks beatiful out there.

ASOUT.

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We may end up clawing our way to 6 inches here if this weenie snow can persist until about 06z or so...not bad afterall and very wintry night out there with everything frozen up...but this storm as a whole underperformed...it will be an interesting analysis on why.

 

Some of the lower forecasts should get kudos, because we bashed them, and they ended up right. Though I did see a number of them say the boundary layer would be too warm which is definitely not the reason it busted in most spots. So in the interest of hard science, the reasoning behind those forecasts was incorrect...and we'll have to dig deeper into why we had such a lackluster and disjointed WCB.

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