FUCK JOE BIDEN Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 One thing I'm slightly worried about for the NWS, is this is kind of sneaking up on people. I spoke to some people yesterday at my job & some customers, told them to watch out for snow on Wed and they laughed at me saying it is going to be in the 70s this week...I hope people plan ahead with travel, especially in the burbs. yeah those idiots should stock up on milk bread and booze asap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 18z GFS looks awesome, too bad we all know its probably not done trending NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 1.1"QPF right through central bucks.. temps at 33F. Heavy precip, I could see warning level snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 yeah those idiots should stock up on milk bread and booze asap I'm sure that's not what he meant. This storm could make a mess of one of the busiest travel days of the year. That was probably his intent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Despite the ECM nudge west wunderground maps still present an extremely heavy snowfall for I95 corridor to central Jersey. Those maps don't agree with the soundings. At TTN, for example, it probably starts as rain, goes to snow, then back to sleet/rain, then maybe snow right at the end. Maybe 3-6 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Those maps don't agree with the soundings. At TTN, for example, it probably starts as rain, goes to snow, then back to sleet/rain, then maybe snow right at the end. Maybe 3-6 inches? I think it's 24 hours too soon to make a first guess. Is Ray coming back east for the potentially white holiday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I think it's 24 hours too soon to make a first guess. Is Ray coming back east for the potentially white holiday? No guess intended, just pointing out a number the model data actually supports. I am working night shifts through the Thanksgiving period. Which actually supports a big storm (biggest storms back home have been while I've been on night shifts ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 No guess intended, just pointing out a number the model data actually supports. I am working night shifts through the Thanksgiving period. Which actually supports a big storm (biggest storms back home have been while I've been on night shifts ) No weekend rule which is concerning me so maybe that helps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 No weekend rule which is concerning me so maybe that helps It is kindof a weekend. Maybe we can bend the rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 SREF plumes are 7.41 TTN and basically 7" and Change elsewhere, BLM 5 mi inland from ocean plumes at 6.34" not bad at all. But it's long long time range for plumes at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Nam colder but well east of BM. But is it even worth mentioning in that range? Lol Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 No its not worth mentioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS awesome run for Philly, stormvista shows 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 How far west is the ten inch snow line on sv maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Models starting to converge on a significant I95 snow on the biggest travel day of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS awesome run for Philly, stormvista shows 10" If you assume all precip is snow and it falls at 10:1 ratio, that would make sense. However... there's a low level warm layer thru about 15Z now. That would suggest a lot of slop before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This is likely going to start as plain rain, go to slop, end as some accumulating snow for alot of the i95 folks. Not sure how much yet but system has some juice with it....shame its not being blocked and moving slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 CMC hits philly hard with intense rates. Prob 4"-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This is likely going to start as plain rain, go to slop, end as some accumulating snow for alot of the i95 folks. Not sure how much yet but system has some juice with it....shame its not being blocked and moving slower. Soundings show all snow for me on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Soundings show all snow for me on GFSWhere ya at? Cant see locale on tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Wrightstown, bucks county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Canadian is west. Sent from my iPad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Ukie is just inside or on the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GGEM and Ukie now all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Great run from the Euro! 998mb east of acy Much colder which goes without saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Nice ECM run for the I95 snow hounds, still long way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 0Z ECM snowmaps show 6-12" NW of I95 and 3-6" SE Berks county bullseye close to 14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 FWIW, DT doesn't buy the 0z GFS... he hasn't commented on the 0z Euro yet however... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 FWIW, DT doesn't buy the 0z GFS... he hasn't commented on the 0z Euro yet however... Yeah i laughed when the euro came in, quite the conundrum for DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Yeah i laughed when the euro came in, quite the conundrum for DT I don't think the Euro is as cold as the GFS though... GFS is pretty much all snow for PHL on NW where the Euro starts as rain to slop to snow still.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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