MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The dividing line on the SREF mean is Islip. Areas to the west of Islip get more snow and areas to the east get a little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 7.31 for EWR Thx Anthony... Can anyone say what the EURO showed for NJ last night...I'm hearing anything from C-2" to 10"??? Verbatim is it mostly snow or no? From the one map looks good with the 850 0 locked at the immediate coast... Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Thx Anthony... Can anyone say what the EURO showed for NJ last night...I'm hearing anything from C-2" to 10"??? Verbatim is it mostly snow or no? From the one map looks good with the 850 0 locked at the immediate coast... Thx It ticked east but not enough for coastal areas. Inland areas got hit hard on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 East is least west is best sst's marginal at best it is the kiss of death just our experience with the coast.The system has to behave perfectly will ma nature reward us who knows.LOL ah winter weather really cool but deadly as proven up north.see ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Thx Anthony... Can anyone say what the EURO showed for NJ last night...I'm hearing anything from C-2" to 10"??? Verbatim is it mostly snow or no? From the one map looks good with the 850 0 locked at the immediate coast... Thx It was a good tick east but still too warm for the LI. 00z suite shifted east overall which is a positive for us on the coastal plain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 6+ based off the weenie snowmaps for the City with 10+ for inland areas also known as clown maps. don't get your hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 also known as clown maps. don't get your hopes up. Still plenty of time. With the east shift, coast is still in the game. I know inland areas are going to get most of the snow but the coast is still in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Does anyone have that link with all the individual EURO ensemble members pointed out on it, New England says the enembles are really clustered near the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I was hoping for a little slush yesterday but that looks like a stretch now...I'm not concerned because this kind of storm can produce snow in January...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYStorm Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 DT is just flat out unprofessional and is condescending in his tone. How he acted the last couple pages is not acting as some who is a professional meterologist. that said this bickering isnt helping anyone and i think a few people are on the ban hammer hit list already Chris i agree, unless it goes to the BM or east we on LI are cooked, last night trends were good but we need a continuation of the today to hopefully get coastal areas back in the game, as slim as the chances are You're right to some extent. So send him a PM or just point out that he could have been less condescending in his tone and follow with your analysis. Look, at this point, DT has a known personality as do many others here that probably isn't going to change. That doesn't mean that this forum has to turn into a bunch of posts that attack back and forth. The fact remains that he's a professional met that offers some experienced analysis and input into each of these situations. Going on the offensive with posts that are purely personal and don't contribute to the meteorological analysis isn't going to change anything because he will contribute to post as will everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I was hoping for a little slush yesterday but that looks like a stretch now...I'm not concerned because this kind of storm can produce snow in January...... No it doesn't. The final outcome isn't set in stone yet. Euro is an outlier to the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 No it doesn't. The final outcome isn't set in stone yet. Euro is an outlier to the other models. But euro has also been consistent almost 4 days straight... While many of those clustered models had cloudy skies a day or so ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 No it doesn't. The final outcome isn't set in stone yet. Euro is an outlier to the other models. Calling out the Euro is always dangerous in a situation like this. I'd still much rather ride the Euro than the other models out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 But euro has also been consistent almost 4 days straight... While many of those clustered models had cloudy skies a day or so ago I understand but even the Euro went a tick east. The Euro still could go east. We just have to hope that the other models don't go west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 We should have a set of designated sites so people dont habe to ask how much / whats frozen. Like: islip, nyc, mmu, blm, ttn, abe, smq. That would pretty much give everyone an idea and would work for each storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Hey red reminded me of WWB days we were a lot younger ,anyone remember the christmas day storm that caught most off guard except us..Meteortrade nailed that storm and some folks just couldn't get a along , it was legendary to those who read the exchange LOL . Someone called me a liar when LGA was shut down i wonder who. Sorry for the banter.easy does it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Hey red reminded me of WWB days we were a lot younger ,anyone remember the christmas day storm that caught most off guard except us..Meteortrade nailed that storm and some folks just couldn't get a along , it was legendary to those who read the exchange LOL . Someone called me a liar when LGA was shut down i wonder who. Sorry for the banter.easy does it 12/25/02 My forecast was for mostly rain with temps in the mid 40s. The rain quickly changed to snow on Christmas. 5 inches fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I understand but even the Euro went a tick east. The Euro still could go east. We just have to hope that the other models don't go west. For me to see the best snow I'm happy with the euro's solution so I won't pretend to be un biased. The euro would have to come pretty far east to get city point east Ito some heavier snows tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 For me to see the best snow I'm happy with the euro's solution so I won't pretend to be un biased. The euro would have to come pretty far east to get city point east Ito some heavier snows tho Inland areas don't have anything to worry about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 12/25/02 My forecast was for mostly rain with temps in the mid 40s. The rain quickly changed to snow on Christmas. 5 inches fell. There is no closed low for a good backlash like we got then so that kind of scenario isn't in the cards this time. This system is going to be much too progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Euro might have been consistent,but it to has shown changes,but not large ones per say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The 12z NAM is more amped up through 48 hours than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Inland areas don't have anything to worry about Idk yesterday's GFS run was pretty Far East I think it was 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Going to be a cold run, 925, 850 and 700mb are all below freezing by hour 51 all the way to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Hour 54 moderate snow back to to NE PA, heavy snow approacing the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Nam looks like it is going to be near or on the benchmark, Out to 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Hey red reminded me of WWB days we were a lot younger ,anyone remember the christmas day storm that caught most off guard except us..Meteortrade nailed that storm and some folks just couldn't get a along , it was legendary to those who read the exchange LOL . Someone called me a liar when LGA was shut down i wonder who. Sorry for the banter.easy does it12/25/02 although it didnt produce the highest snowfall totals ive seen IMBY, it still to this day produced the heaviest snow ive seen in my life and also one of only two times ive had thundersnow (blizzard of 96' the other time). THAT was a backlash snow event doubt ill see that again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Only precip problems this run are southern coastal NJ and the east end of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 System definitely a bit stronger on the 12z vs 6z. but placement seems relatively unchanged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Hour 57 about 150 miles ESE of ACY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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