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Possible NYC snow Wed Night or Thursday


Mitchel Volk

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I stand corrected, must have been northwestern Jersey with 5"

 A stroll down memory lane...

 

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

127 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE STORM

THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO

HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND

MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME

PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC

...2011 IS NOW THE THIRD WETTEST YEAR ON RECORD FOR CENTRAL PARK...

FROM JANUARY 1 THROUGH OCTOBER 30...65.76 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION

HAS FALLEN AT CENTRAL PARK. THIS MAKES 2011 THE THIRD WETTEST YEAR

ON RECORD. THE PREVIOUS THIRD WETTEST YEAR AMOUNT WAS 65.11 INCHES

IN 1989. RECORDS DATE BACK TO 1869.

THIS AMOUNT IS 23.98 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE YEAR TO THIS DATE.

THE WETTEST YEAR ON RECORD WAS 1983 WITH 80.56 INCHES OF

PRECIPITATION.

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS

                     SNOWFALL           OF

                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...

   DANBURY               17.2   800 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   RIDGEFIELD            17.0   630 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   SHELTON               12.8   745 AM 10/30  PUBLIC-480FT ELEVATION

   GREENWICH             12.0  1230 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   BETHEL                11.5   830 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   3 SSE BROOKFIELD      11.0   700 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   BROOKFIELD            11.0   700 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   WILTON                10.8   840 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   MONROE                10.5   930 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   NEW CANAAN             6.0   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   NORWALK                5.5   600 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   NEWTOWN                5.0   323 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   BRIDGEPORT             4.0   715 AM 10/30  NWS COOP

   DARIEN                 3.5   559 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   STAMFORD               3.5   730 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...

   EAST HADDAM            8.1   830 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   OLD SAYBROOK           2.5   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   HADDAM                 2.0   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...

   OXFORD                12.3  1230 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   SOUTHBURY             10.5   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   WATERBURY              8.8   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   BEACON FALLS           8.8   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   NORTH HAVEN            7.7   705 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   SEYMOUR                7.0   457 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   HAMDEN                 7.0   740 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   MERIDEN                7.0   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   WALLINGFORD            6.1   830 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   2 NW NEW HAVEN         2.8   800 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   3 ESE MILFORD          2.6  1010 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...

   3 WNW OAKDALE          8.1   700 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   LISBON                 5.9   440 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   COLCHESTER             3.5   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   NORWICH                2.3   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   GROTON                 1.5   400 AM 10/30  CT DOT

   STONINGTON             0.9   600 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...

   1 SSE OAKLAND          8.4   715 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   1 W TENAFLY            6.7   630 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   WNW OAKLAND            6.2   800 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   TENAFLY                5.8  1100 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   GARFIELD               5.3   959 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   SADDLE BROOK           4.8   800 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   RIDGEWOOD              4.7   800 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   1 SSE HAWTHORNE        4.5   700 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   RAMSEY                 4.2   800 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   MIDLAND PARK           4.0   336 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   DUMONT                 3.0   319 PM 10/29  NWS EMPLOYEE

   WYCKOFF                1.9   800 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

...ESSEX COUNTY...

   NORTH CALDWELL        12.0  1000 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   WEST ORANGE            8.0   945 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   VERONA                 7.5   830 PM 10/29  OBSERVER

   CEDAR GROVE            6.4  1130 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   BLOOMFIELD             6.3   815 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   MONTCLAIR              6.0  1000 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   NEWARK AIRPORT         5.2   200 AM 10/30  FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

   BELLEVILLE             4.9   516 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

...HUDSON COUNTY...

   N HARRISON             4.3   700 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   HARRISON               4.3   500 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   KEARNY                 4.0  1200 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   HOBOKEN                2.0   743 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

...PASSAIC COUNTY...

   WEST MILFORD          19.0  1020 PM 10/29  SPOTTER-1100FT ELEVATION

   RINGWOOD              12.5   740 AM 10/30  SPOTTER-900FT ELEVATION

   WAYNE                  7.0   600 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   1 SSW WAYNE TWP        6.5   700 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   1 WNW LITTLE FALLS T   5.9   800 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

   1 SSE HAWTHORNE        4.5   700 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

...UNION COUNTY...

   ROSELLE PARK           4.8   532 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   ELIZABETH              3.8  1000 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW YORK

...BRONX COUNTY...

   FIELDSTON              6.0  1155 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   BRONX                  2.2   421 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

...KINGS COUNTY...

   MIDWOOD                2.2   234 PM 10/30  COOP OBSERVER

   SHEEPSHEAD BAY         2.1  1045 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   MARINE PARK            1.5   600 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

...NASSAU COUNTY...

   MINEOLA                4.0   503 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   WOODMERE               2.3   200 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   NORTH MASSAPEQUA       2.1  1230 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   MUTTONTOWN             1.0   100 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   PLAINVIEW              0.7   600 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

...NEW YORK COUNTY...

   CENTRAL PARK           2.9   200 AM 10/30  CENTRAL PARK ZOO

...ORANGE COUNTY...

   HARRIMAN              16.0  1220 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   WARWICK               15.5   850 AM 10/30  SPOTTER-700FT ELEVATION

   MONROE                15.0  1200 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   FLORIDA               12.0   900 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   MIDDLETOWN            12.0  1200 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   HIGHLAND MILLS        12.0  1020 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   CORNWALL LANDING      11.5  1126 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   NEW WINDSOR           11.5  1215 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   CHESTER               10.7   555 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   TUXEDO PARK           10.3   944 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   NEWBURGH               8.7  1016 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   BLOOMING GROVE         8.3   556 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   GARDNERVILLE           7.5   930 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

...PUTNAM COUNTY...

   MAHOPAC               12.0  1040 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   KENT CLIFFS           12.0  1000 PM 10/29  PUBLIC-650FT ELEVATION

   CARMEL                11.0   630 AM 10/30  NWS COOP

   BREWSTER               7.0   956 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

...QUEENS COUNTY...

   ASTORIA                2.0  1100 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   NYC/LA GUARDIA         1.7   200 AM 10/30  FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

   NYC/JFK AIRPORT        1.5   200 AM 10/30  FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

   HOWARD BEACH           0.5   700 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

...RICHMOND COUNTY...

   BAY TERRACE            3.5  1230 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   ANNADALE               2.4   945 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   1 SE STATEN ISLAND     2.0   800 AM 10/30  COCORAHS

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...

   TALLMAN                5.5   435 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   NEW CITY               5.0   420 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   STONY POINT            4.0  1100 PM 10/29  SKYWARN SPOTTER

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...

   NORTH BABYLON          0.4   700 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   ISLIP AIRPORT          0.3   200 AM 10/30  FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

   UPTON                  0.2   200 AM 10/30  NWS OFFICE

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...

   ARMONK                12.5  1230 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   MILLWOOD              12.4   300 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   SOMERS                12.0  1100 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   SCARSDALE             10.0  1200 AM 10/30  SKYWARN SPOTTER

   WHITE PLAINS           7.5   823 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   MOUNT KISCO            7.0   905 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   YONKERS                7.0  1220 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

   MAMARONECK             7.0   800 PM 10/29  PUBLIC

   HASTINGS-ON-HUDSON     6.5  1200 AM 10/30  PUBLIC

 

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A stroll down memory lane...

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

127 PM EDT MON OCT 31 2011

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE STORM

THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO

HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND

MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME

PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC

...2011 IS NOW THE THIRD WETTEST YEAR ON RECORD FOR CENTRAL PARK...

FROM JANUARY 1 THROUGH OCTOBER 30...65.76 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION

HAS FALLEN AT CENTRAL PARK. THIS MAKES 2011 THE THIRD WETTEST YEAR

ON RECORD. THE PREVIOUS THIRD WETTEST YEAR AMOUNT WAS 65.11 INCHES

IN 1989. RECORDS DATE BACK TO 1869.

THIS AMOUNT IS 23.98 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE YEAR TO THIS DATE.

THE WETTEST YEAR ON RECORD WAS 1983 WITH 80.56 INCHES OF

PRECIPITATION.

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...

DANBURY 17.2 800 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

RIDGEFIELD 17.0 630 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

SHELTON 12.8 745 AM 10/30 PUBLIC-480FT ELEVATION

GREENWICH 12.0 1230 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

BETHEL 11.5 830 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

3 SSE BROOKFIELD 11.0 700 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

BROOKFIELD 11.0 700 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WILTON 10.8 840 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

MONROE 10.5 930 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW CANAAN 6.0 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

NORWALK 5.5 600 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

NEWTOWN 5.0 323 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

BRIDGEPORT 4.0 715 AM 10/30 NWS COOP

DARIEN 3.5 559 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

STAMFORD 3.5 730 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...

EAST HADDAM 8.1 830 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

OLD SAYBROOK 2.5 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

HADDAM 2.0 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...

OXFORD 12.3 1230 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

SOUTHBURY 10.5 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

WATERBURY 8.8 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

BEACON FALLS 8.8 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

NORTH HAVEN 7.7 705 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

SEYMOUR 7.0 457 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

HAMDEN 7.0 740 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

MERIDEN 7.0 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

WALLINGFORD 6.1 830 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

2 NW NEW HAVEN 2.8 800 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

3 ESE MILFORD 2.6 1010 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...

3 WNW OAKDALE 8.1 700 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

LISBON 5.9 440 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

COLCHESTER 3.5 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

NORWICH 2.3 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

GROTON 1.5 400 AM 10/30 CT DOT

STONINGTON 0.9 600 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...

1 SSE OAKLAND 8.4 715 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

1 W TENAFLY 6.7 630 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

WNW OAKLAND 6.2 800 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

TENAFLY 5.8 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

GARFIELD 5.3 959 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

SADDLE BROOK 4.8 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

RIDGEWOOD 4.7 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

1 SSE HAWTHORNE 4.5 700 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

RAMSEY 4.2 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

MIDLAND PARK 4.0 336 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

DUMONT 3.0 319 PM 10/29 NWS EMPLOYEE

WYCKOFF 1.9 800 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...ESSEX COUNTY...

NORTH CALDWELL 12.0 1000 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WEST ORANGE 8.0 945 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

VERONA 7.5 830 PM 10/29 OBSERVER

CEDAR GROVE 6.4 1130 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

BLOOMFIELD 6.3 815 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

MONTCLAIR 6.0 1000 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

NEWARK AIRPORT 5.2 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

BELLEVILLE 4.9 516 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...HUDSON COUNTY...

N HARRISON 4.3 700 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

HARRISON 4.3 500 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

KEARNY 4.0 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

HOBOKEN 2.0 743 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...PASSAIC COUNTY...

WEST MILFORD 19.0 1020 PM 10/29 SPOTTER-1100FT ELEVATION

RINGWOOD 12.5 740 AM 10/30 SPOTTER-900FT ELEVATION

WAYNE 7.0 600 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

1 SSW WAYNE TWP 6.5 700 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

1 WNW LITTLE FALLS T 5.9 800 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

1 SSE HAWTHORNE 4.5 700 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

...UNION COUNTY...

ROSELLE PARK 4.8 532 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

ELIZABETH 3.8 1000 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW YORK

...BRONX COUNTY...

FIELDSTON 6.0 1155 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

BRONX 2.2 421 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

...KINGS COUNTY...

MIDWOOD 2.2 234 PM 10/30 COOP OBSERVER

SHEEPSHEAD BAY 2.1 1045 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

MARINE PARK 1.5 600 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

...NASSAU COUNTY...

MINEOLA 4.0 503 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WOODMERE 2.3 200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

NORTH MASSAPEQUA 2.1 1230 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

MUTTONTOWN 1.0 100 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

PLAINVIEW 0.7 600 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...NEW YORK COUNTY...

CENTRAL PARK 2.9 200 AM 10/30 CENTRAL PARK ZOO

...ORANGE COUNTY...

HARRIMAN 16.0 1220 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WARWICK 15.5 850 AM 10/30 SPOTTER-700FT ELEVATION

MONROE 15.0 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

FLORIDA 12.0 900 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

MIDDLETOWN 12.0 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

HIGHLAND MILLS 12.0 1020 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

CORNWALL LANDING 11.5 1126 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW WINDSOR 11.5 1215 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

CHESTER 10.7 555 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

TUXEDO PARK 10.3 944 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

NEWBURGH 8.7 1016 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

BLOOMING GROVE 8.3 556 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

GARDNERVILLE 7.5 930 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

...PUTNAM COUNTY...

MAHOPAC 12.0 1040 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

KENT CLIFFS 12.0 1000 PM 10/29 PUBLIC-650FT ELEVATION

CARMEL 11.0 630 AM 10/30 NWS COOP

BREWSTER 7.0 956 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...QUEENS COUNTY...

ASTORIA 2.0 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

NYC/LA GUARDIA 1.7 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

NYC/JFK AIRPORT 1.5 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

HOWARD BEACH 0.5 700 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...RICHMOND COUNTY...

BAY TERRACE 3.5 1230 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

ANNADALE 2.4 945 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

1 SE STATEN ISLAND 2.0 800 AM 10/30 COCORAHS

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...

TALLMAN 5.5 435 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

NEW CITY 5.0 420 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

STONY POINT 4.0 1100 PM 10/29 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...

NORTH BABYLON 0.4 700 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

ISLIP AIRPORT 0.3 200 AM 10/30 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

UPTON 0.2 200 AM 10/30 NWS OFFICE

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...

ARMONK 12.5 1230 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

MILLWOOD 12.4 300 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

SOMERS 12.0 1100 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

SCARSDALE 10.0 1200 AM 10/30 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WHITE PLAINS 7.5 823 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

MOUNT KISCO 7.0 905 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

YONKERS 7.0 1220 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

MAMARONECK 7.0 800 PM 10/29 PUBLIC

HASTINGS-ON-HUDSON 6.5 1200 AM 10/30 PUBLIC

Ahhh it was Newark I was thinking of with 5.2" lol thanks for the flashback

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I remember that storm.....very impressive and awesome for October. Equally impressive is the disparity in snow totals from eastern essex county to western. The west Caldwell report of a foot may be a bit exaggerated, but I remember there being a 5-6 inch difference in just a short drive.

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EWR is technically in union county... not sure why they list it as being in Essex

 

That's a fair point...though if the FAA observer there used the same system the general public does to report snowfall to OKX...there is the requisite drop down menu with "pick your county" when informing Upton...maybe the observer erred when choosing.

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As others have said the wind direction out here for us coast people will be important. Hopefully we can get the Euro to nudge east 75 miles or so because if it's a deepening storm heading east of us, the wind direction will be northerly or NNE (deepening lows pull air towards them), and the 850/925mb lows will be east of us. If it's an outcome like the Euro with crazy amplification and the flow slowing down, the low will hug the coast for too long and warm air will overwhelm for places east of I-287 eventually.

Eventually the progressive nature of the trough and kicker will nudge the storm east, the question is where this happens. Right now I'd hedge my bets on it mainly being wet where I am and for most near the coast, with maybe a few hour period either at the front or end of the storm where there can be an inch or two of slop. But dynamics can overcome a marginal airmass this time of the year-it snowed at my house on Halloween 2011 and there was over a half foot in much of Nassau County on Nov 7, 2012. I don't think it takes a huge shift to make it snowier from the city and east. I'd say the I-287 corridor is the best bet for 6"+ right now.

The Euro has tended to be crazy amped the last 2-3 years even with systems it's ultimately been mostly correct on from 3-5 days it's been too strong or west on several occasions, especially so when the NAO has been positive, this even includes Miller As. I can't totally discount a west track because the ridge is fairly far west but I'm not so sure in this pattern such a crazy strong phase is going to happen.
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Guest Patrick

Ewr is taxed as part of Essex county, though the postal address may be different.

That's a fair point...though if the FAA observer there used the same system the general public does to report snowfall to OKX...there is the requisite drop down menu with "pick your county" when informing Upton...maybe the observer erred when choosing.

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Ewr is taxed as part of Essex county, though the postal address may be different.

 

 

Well then they need to submit Postal Form 1093 next time.

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 thanks for the flashback

 

You're welcome.  You know, my posts are so very prepossessing its quite simply incomprehensible I haven't been promoted to moderator yet...

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Wow I'm surprised to see that. Though we know that won't happen with a track like that (no way high point NJ doesn't see more than Newark, NJ), I wouldn't think that it would paint such a snowy picture so close to the NJ coast. Bigtime cutoff though once you get into Long Island

That's the December 05 nightmare! It really can a. Did happen. All rain here never even a flake and taking the the lirr to the city around central queens it went from zero to a winter wonderland in less then a mile. I hate that storm

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That's the December 05 nightmare! It really can a. Did happen. All rain here never even a flake and taking the the lirr to the city around central queens it went from zero to a winter wonderland in less then a mile. I hate that storm

This won't be a storm like 12/8/05-that was literally a horrendous prior setup for the coast with a big high east of the area pumping in southerly flow. It was good for me in State College at the time with 9" of snow. This one won't be great but it might just be good enough if we can nudge the low track east close to the 12z GFS.

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This won't be a storm like 12/8/05-that was literally a horrendous prior setup for the coast with a big high east of the area pumping in southerly flow. It was good for me in State College at the time with 9" of snow. This one won't be great but it might just be good enough if we can nudge the low track east close to the 12z GFS.

The city on west did pretty well with that storm

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'Bout 2.9 inches in the Park with the October 2011 event...obviously *much* more over elevated sections of the interior.

 

 

I stand corrected, must have been northwestern Jersey with 5"

 

Minor point, but I wouldn't say it was purely an elevation driven difference, as I'm at about 100' here in northern Middlesex County and we got about 5" from that event. Pretty sure the Central Park measuring station is around 70-80', so that wouldn't be a big difference. I'm guessing the bigger reason for the difference between the snow in CPK and Metuchen was how far west we are, as Metuchen is about 25 miles SW of CPK.

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Minor point, but I wouldn't say it was purely an elevation driven difference, as I'm at about 100' here in northern Middlesex County and we got about 5" from that event. Pretty sure the Central Park measuring station is around 70-80', so that wouldn't be a big difference. I'm guessing the bigger reason for the difference between the snow in CPK and Metuchen was how far west we are, as Metuchen is about 25 miles SW of CPK.

 

I  mean I wasn't making any type of formal declaration that it was purely an elevation driven snow event; I saw the 19 inches up at West Milford...which, I guess is above the 1000' a.s.l. topographic contour...and just described it as I did. 

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That's a fair point...though if the FAA observer there used the same system the general public does to report snowfall to OKX...there is the requisite drop down menu with "pick your county" when informing Upton...maybe the observer erred when choosing.

Do you one better then that,  where the FAA contract observer sits is in Essex County and where the ASOS sits along the NJ Turnpike is in Union County.  

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I  mean I wasn't making any type of formal declaration that it was purely an elevation driven snow event; I saw the 19 inches up at West Milford...which, I guess is above the 1000' a.s.l. topographic contour...and just described it as I did.

My sister atop 1100' in northwest NJ had 18". Most peeps at 200' ABSL saw at least 4". At 190 ABSL I measured 3.6 but on top of my roof at 205' ABSL I measured 4.2" ;)
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I  mean I wasn't making any type of formal declaration that it was purely an elevation driven snow event; I saw the 19 inches up at West Milford...which, I guess is above the 1000' a.s.l. topographic contour...and just described it as I did. 

The last event, I have a spotter in Greenbrook, NJ (Somerset Co)  at an elevation of 494 feet,  he measured 1.2 inches of snow while less then a 3 minute drive on Route 22 in Greenbrook has no snow at all,  just goes to show what a little elevation can do.  

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Do you one better then that,  where the FAA contract observer sits is in Essex County and where the ASOS sits along the NJ Turnpike is in Union County.  

 

Well as long as he's not liable for a real estate tax bill to both counties (a situation that afflicted a relative of mine who resided on the Nassau / Suffolk border...and whose backyard was in Suffolk and front yard was in Nassau)...which resulted in property tax bills from both; albeit pro-rated / reduced bills. 

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My sister atop 1100' in northwest NJ had 18". Most peeps at 200' ABSL saw at least 4". At 190 ABSL I measured 3.6 but on top of my roof at 205' ABSL I measured 4.2" ;)

 

I saw some rain with that storm out on northern Long Island...might have been a snowflake mixed in here & there...if I looked really hard...which I didn't.

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