IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Major differences with the backside energy, leading to a much more amped solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Holy crap at the differences over the Central CONUS with the trough by 78 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Hr 81, surface is way North, but 850 and 925 are still below freezing in most spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Excellent play by play guys.. Everyone seems to be on the same page here & no confusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's pulling a ton of cold air in to the mid and low levels. Northwest NJ might get 2 feet this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Costal hugger...even nw jersey goes to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Hour 84 just east of Ocean City, MD. Tucked right into the coast. Congrats interior. 925 and 850mb freezing lines go just west of KMMU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 992mb South of Islip at 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Costal hugger...even nw jersey goes to rain 925 and 850 hang right around MMU, at least through 87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Costal hugger...even nw jersey goes to rain Wrong. 32 F line never moves from about 15 miles west of MMU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 84 hrs further west than 0z just east of Ocean City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Hour 87 is the warmest panel, temps crash after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 at 84 those 850`s crash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 90 hrs 990 mb crossing Fire Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I think the Euro is a little over done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Have news for you those 850s crash all the way to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 1-2" water equivalent, most of that frozen (IP or SN) West of the GSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Does Westchester stay below 0C? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Wrong. 32 F line never moves from about 15 miles west of MMU Tons of mid level warmth with the storm hugging the coast. I find it hard to believe the surface will be that cold...that's a ugly track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Have news for you those 850s crash all the way to the coast By hour 90, but by then it's inland over SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 1-2" water equivalent, most of that frozen (IP or SN) West of the GSP. I am 10 min south of Morristown (MMU), and have to travel to Poughkeepsie Wednesday to the inlaws... this is going to be a nightmare drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Dream run. We thank our European overlords. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 This is still a warning level event for anyone West of EWR before taint. But it's definitely a warmer, amplified solution and no good for the city or coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Um. Wow. That was insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 No blocking to stop such an amplified solution from shifting west from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 That's about the best case scenario for folks well inland, worst case for Long Island and coastal NJ and a mixed bag for the western suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Tons of mid level warmth with the storm hugging the coast. I find it hard to believe the surface will be that cold...that's a ugly track Once you get to MMU the mid level warmth is very borderline and can be overcome by the very heavy precipitation rates. Closer to the coast, this run is not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 By hour 90, but by then it's inland over SNE. at 84 its minus 1 at KNYC minus 2 at EWR BL 34 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The snowfall maps from sources like weatherbell/etc have become useless in these situations. It's showing 12"+ west of Newark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 700 mb surge at 84 is back to the Poconos . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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