Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I bet they'd consider pushing the date back if the op catching on to the Euro solution before the para verifies. I'm pretty sure they aren't going to delay a release of a higher res global model based on its performance on a discrete east coast snowstorm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Canadian is wide right just like the NAM......doh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Canadian is wide right When isn't it. lol Looks better than 12Z though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I'm pretty sure they aren't going to delay a release of a higher res global model based on its performance on a discrete east coast snowstorm... One would think that that much improvement in resolution would substantially improve most modeled scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I dont see the 00z UKIE being out yet on my model links tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I dont see the 00z UKIE being out yet on my model links tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 While its OTS, Canadian looks better than 12z though. It's slower too, which I think help us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The NAM is still second string on my practice squad, but hey, if it can play with the big boys this winter it may just earn its way to third string on the real team. Wasn't the NAM updated thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The GFS did pretty well last year. The Euro has promised quite a few snowstorms the past couple of years that it didn't come close on. If my memory serves me correctly... The EURO would show massive storm early, only to come back to reality.... So remember it is still Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Hopefully the 00z GFS ensembles are more like the OP run... I dislike when the OP run is on its own Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Hopefully the 00z GFS ensembles are more like the OP run... I dislike when the OP run is on its own The mean is about 0.25" for DCA, but there are a couple members inside the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The mean is about 0.25" for DCA, but there are a couple members inside the OPSounds good... hope those members inside the OP are big snows instead of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Out to 72 on instant weather maps. Looks good at H5 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 We need to get through 00z Sunday unscathed by euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's west Versus 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 by 18z, 0.65" has fallen for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It is a HUGE hit, but warmer as it came west..could be dicey for cities...but below 0 at 850 for whole event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Looks like a 999mb just east of OC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 by 18z, 0.65" has fallen for DC Rain to start to snow? or is main QPF wet snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Herculean amounts of QPF...probably approaching 1.4-1.5"...will know soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 So it's the best run yet as now their is a bit of a cushion to come east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Still a fast mover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Herculean amounts of QPF...probably approaching 1.4-1.5"...will know soon LOL. Big words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 roughly 1.5" liquid for DCA.....don't have thermals, but 850 line comfortably east the whole run...essentially a complete shellacking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Still a fast mover? lol...it's a 20 hour event dude.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Versus 12z? yes...it is probably too far west, at least for DC metro...could be substantial rain, mix or nonaccumulating snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 lol...it's a 20 hour event dude.... First frame of heavy qpf over us has .75" in 6 hrs. lol. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Rain to start to snow? or is main QPF wet snow? it is probably pretty warm for us...hard to say...like most of us, I don't have access to soundings for the euro.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Raw surface is 33 @ 18z just about everywhere 95 and West. 850s around -2-3. .8+/ in the metros between 12-18z. It's a crushing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.