mitchnick Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 RGEM has about .65 in the form of snow it looks like for DCA. DCA .67" QPF snow per 00z RGEM meteogram (17mm used to calculate) which one is it, I need to know!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The RGEM is always good for showing the weenies what they want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The RGEM is always good for showing the weenies what they want. True, but it had its moments last winter of being correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 12Z Wed Precip Type RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The RGEM is always good for showing the weenies what they want. it did great in 09' as well as last year in most storms none are perfect, but my unprovable recollection is that it does better in NINO's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 True, but it had its moments last winter of being correct The RGEM is always good for showing the weenies what they want. The RGEM was the most accurate model last year. I don't know what your talking about.. perhaps wishcasting? This is going to be a dynamic system, there's no reason that this solution should be viewed as unrealistic. It's far from a lock, but it's very much on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 True, but it had its moments last winter of being correct I actually like the RGEM. It seems to be better than the NAM, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Looks like heavy snow by 14Z for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 CWG talking about how the NAM is noticeably colder vs. 12z, but Jason's mostly referring to MOS. I just wonder if this is more of the MOS taking climo into account less at nearer times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 00z GFS at 12z WED nearly snow sounding at IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS coming in snowy. Stickage is another matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 DCA snow sounding at 15z... prob switch over just before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 DCA snow sounding at 15z... prob switch over just before Instantweathermaps precip type looks ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS might be marginally better than 18Z, but it would be ugly in the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS looks a touch warmer to me in the low-levels below 850mb vs. earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I don't typically like to put models to the side, no matter what model it may be. I try to weigh each as their own of course putting certain value in certain models. The GFS, however, looks to be completely heading in the opposite direction on the 0z run. I guess the rest of the 0z suite will tell the late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 12Z Wed Precip Type RGEM RGEM also lines up with the NAM RA/SN line and evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 DCA snow sounding at 15z... prob switch over just before too bad it is still 35 at 15z and only 0.25" falls after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's still really dry. Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Good thing we have two GFS's now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's still really dry. Toss it. I hate to say toss it, and I probably wouldn't if it was closer to the other models, but it just seems way off with evolution and how it goes from amped early to completely deamplifying downstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 0zGFS has the piece of energy diving down behind the main storm affect the DC/Baltimore area with some decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I'll stick with my 99% Euro/1% Euro ensemble blend. At least until the 0z Euro comes in really warm, then I'm going RGEM/SREF blend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's still really dry. Toss it. its a mid range model...not short range. toss it. its best timeframe is 10-12 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Still think I get 4-6 on grass, and an inch of slop to squeegee off the driveway. DC and DCA get wet roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 para is running later and later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 0zGFS has the piece of energy diving down behind the main storm affect the DC/Baltimore area with some decent snow. Yeah, that definitely came north on this run. I've been interested in that trailing vort for several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Too bad we have to wait 2 hours for the euro.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Too bad we have to wait 2 hours for the euro.... Hey man theres always the GGEM and the UKMET...I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Someone go ahead and make a new thread. This one's long enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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