Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Here comes that insanely wet NAM run we all knew would eventually come. Always one of those NAM runs in the crowd! It does look a bit warmer at 850 through 27-h, but not sure how much that means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Here comes that insanely wet NAM run we all knew would eventually come. the only way the warmth can be overcome in this system is insane UVV's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 12z in DC - 925 down, at or above freezing based on maps on Instantweathermaps. By 15z - freezing line is right near DC (hard to tell on these maps) at 950 and 975 levels. 925 is below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Always one of those NAM runs in the crowd! It does look a bit warmer at 850 through 27-h, but not sure how much that means. Not very much... by 36 its down in SE VA (850 line that is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Always one of those NAM runs in the crowd! It does look a bit warmer at 850 through 27-h, but not sure how much that means. I am through 36. 850 line is way down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 HR 39 is lol. .5"+ everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Not very much... by 36 its down in SE VA (850 line that is) Yeah, I'm stuck on the MAG page, so it was still very early in the run when I looked (only 03Z Wednesday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 39 we are all ripping snow... DCA switchover is ~14z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 39 we are all ripping snow So...some kind of change over area-wide during the ~12-15Z period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 You could see it coming early in that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Changeover looks to be around 15z, maybe just before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Some sweet VVs at 700 going on too... ETA: Could this be our first legitimate NAM-ing of the season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Yeah. Surface temps really crash from 35-39. Basically 40 to 34 degrees in 4 hours. Was worried about a white rain storm. But with the rates being depicted on the NAM we all will see stickage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 42 I95 still ripping snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Still getting rocked at 21Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It really threw a bunch of precip west. The difference in central PA is huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 ~1.2"+ for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Looks like several hours of 35dbz+ rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's been obvious that there is no upside wrt cold. The only shot for decent accumulation in this air mass during daylight hours is rates, rates, rates. I hope the NAM is as wet as the play-by-play indicates and hope the other models follow suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 00z Hi-Res NAM should be very interesing to see if it follows the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It really threw a bunch of precip west. The difference in central PA is huge If only it could be trusted, traveling up to NEPA tomorrow night......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 NAM is uber-wet. But I'm still riding a blend of 99% Euro/1% Euro ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Nice to see some uplifting changes for the better here, if they're only true! Now, if the GFS and Euro can continue that we'll all feel a lot better I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 This is a good frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 If only it could be trusted, traveling up to NEPA tomorrow night......... Charleston WV went from basically nothing to 3/4" of precip...that's a big move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The NAM is wet. All is right with the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 NAM is uber-wet. But I'm still riding a blend of 99% Euro/1% Euro ensembles. EURO sure seems to have led the way....and P003! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The NAM is wet. All is right with the world. DCA switches over around 14z I think... 15z is already a snow sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Euro ripped .7 up and down 95 from 12-18z. I'm not sold on an I95 non-event like so many. Yes, it could easily happen. But there's more than a slim chance. You can't predict qpf maxes and rates with 20 mile accuracy until its happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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