PhineasC Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Mapgirl's gonna be like omg so much snow wow. Wait until they start complaining it's too much snow and disrupting their Thanksgiving plans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Nam in the 40s when the precip starts. High res has you @ 35 @ 4am. 38-39 in the close burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Wait until they start complaining it's too much snow and disrupting their Thanksgiving plans. lol... I'm really not expecting much. I'd count this storm as a win if I get an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Wait until they start complaining it's too much snow and disrupting their Thanksgiving plans. i want my plans disrupted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Mapgirl's gonna be like omg so much snow wow. an I'll be saying where's the snowline it still hasn't gotten here. I'm having trouble writing the article. So far I've got one graphic I like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 i want my plans disrupted. differently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This still has 3/6/13 written all over it, but it's getting so much play nobody's going to remember the warnings when its 35 and raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 this may be my biggest November storm here. Only need more than 4" to beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 yee-haaa! Precip Type map of RGEM at 48 hours.....it's snowing already in the cities (central and north sides) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 12z GFS....DCA is 39 at onset at 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This still has 3/6/13 written all over it, but it's getting so much play nobody's going to remember the warnings when its 35 and raining Is that your forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 48 -- 1007mb L just south of Cape Hatteras 51 -- 1006mb L right near Cape Hatteras 54 -- 1001mb L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 gfs seems a bit drier, but I've seen no totals maps. Splitting hairs at this point.........Euro will be the forecast leader on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This still has 3/6/13 written all over it, but it's getting so much play nobody's going to remember the warnings when its 35 and raining Well at least it's not March sun angle we are fighting. Plus the dynamics will be better with this one hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 lol GFS....terrible... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This still has 3/6/13 written all over it, but it's getting so much play nobody's going to remember the warnings when its 35 and rainingIt's an advisory event below 800ft. I hope they don't put out warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This still has 3/6/13 written all over it, but it's getting so much play nobody's going to remember the warnings when its 35 and raining The (currently) progged dewpoints are what worry me most. I think 3/6/13 was plagued by a poor vort track, leading more trowel-esque convective banding in our area, letting in more insolation..etc. My VP2 was reading in at like 145W/m^2..pretty much impossible to accumulate in a borderline airmass with that kind of flux, or so I suspect..? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 an I'll be saying where's the snowline it still hasn't gotten here. I'm having trouble writing the article. So far I've got one graphic I like. Just stay away from deck pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This still has 3/6/13 written all over it, but it's getting so much play nobody's going to remember the warnings when its 35 and raining we're a snow town. who needs cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Is that your forecast? Throw in a few periods of non-accumulating flakes in the city and pretty much so far. I just don't know where the magical sub-freezing temperatures are coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS a bit weaker with the high pressure, wee bit strong with the low pressure....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 12Z GFS may give more snow in D.C. from the clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Throw in a few periods of non-accumulating flakes in the city and pretty much so far. I just don't know where the magical sub-freezing temperatures are coming from. they're not....I share your skepticism big time, but I don't think the idea is we get to 32 or below...We get snow at 33-35 and hope it is heavy enough, and that the sun angle is more helpful.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Throw in a few periods of non-accumulating flakes in the city and pretty much so far. I just don't know where the magical sub-freezing temperatures are coming from. GFS agrees, 2 m freezing line never comes near the metro area during the precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS agrees, 2 m freezing line never comes near the metro area during the precipitation. if we don't have good dynamics we're screwed, but 33-35 and accumulating snow isn't rare.....and the fact that the sun is helping us, makes it even more possible.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The GFS seems to have slowly sped up the s/w from 00z run, fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 As bad as this run was, I wouldn't change any ideas still being about 48 hours away from first precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS track looks great, but QPF is lackluster..brings back memories from last February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 this is the run where the euro takes. .47 qpf away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS is really light on precip this run from 95 and west. Reminds me of the feb storm last year. h5 and 850 track argued for much more precip further west but the gfs kept holding drier until the bitter end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.