Ian Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 euro looks pretty good - so far....around 0.30" through 10am Or 5.8" of wxbell snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 0.7" for DC through 1pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 1008mb off hatteras at 21z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 0.7" for DC through 1pm I think the earlier Wed morning this can start we can avoid a lot of RASN... but just a guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 1008mb off hatteras at 21z.. wow, a ways to go before it's by us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Wet and Warm-ish again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Wet and Warm-ish again.... Warmish like the 00z EURO? I wouldn't mind that... take a UKIE/GFS/EURO combo and we do okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 1027hp n of lake ontario @ 72. Wasn't there last night. It was near Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 around 1.3" for DC...column below freezing, but perhaps further west than we want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Warmish like the 00z EURO? I wouldn't mind that... take a UKIE/GFS/EURO combo and we do okay warmer a bit. def not a blizzard imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Wet and Warm-ish again.... It tracks the surface low west of HAT and then really tucks it into the coast. be a good rain for I95 north of us. Not real y fond of it for us except towards the end. Probably good for JI and points west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 17 hour event...roughly 6am - 11pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Euro amps it up but to a degree that we could have cold air infiltrating the column. Not a ton of SFC cold but the mid levels should be good to go. Liquid a plenty WRT to QPF. A blend would be good but there were UA differences that were notable. That hp did get better too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Let's a blend the the euro and gfs with weight toward the euro and call it it a day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 12/5/09 was a horrible storm in the frederick valley. No thanks. BL temps screwed you guys. No CAD or CAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It tracks the surface low west of HAT and then really tucks it into the coast. be a good rain for I95 north of us. Not real y fond of it for us except towards the end. Probably good for JI and points west. yeah...precip type and surface temps are difficult to discern for me and you....mostly snow is my guess, but perhaps only grass for much of the event...34 is a pretty critical temp.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 36-37 raw surface @ 7am dropping to 33-34 1pm and stays there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Still a ways out so this is basically a hold. Too early to think you'll be 34 versus 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Based on WxBell maps, 850s are -2 to -1 for DC/inner core. When the AccuWx Pro Euro text output is updated, I'll post it. I'd expect 925s to be even more borderline than previously based on 850s ticking warmer this run (vs 0z). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Based on WxBell maps, 850s are -2 to -1 for DC/inner core. When the AccuWx Pro Euro text output is updated, I'll post it. I'd expect 925s to be even more borderline than previously based on 850s ticking warmer this run (vs 0z). Track is tucked further west. I would expect the same. A track a bit east is on the table of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 700 temps look close to 0C after 18z for DC. Beware the sneaky warm layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Looks like my grass is getting smoked on Wednesday. Will be able to watch through the haze of the falling snow/rain. Probably no shoveling required, which is ideal as I'd rather sit on the couch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I'd love to speculate the Euro is a bit warm but it's led the way respectively in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Based on WxBell maps, 850s are -2 to -1 for DC/inner core. When the AccuWx Pro Euro text output is updated, I'll post it. I'd expect 925s to be even more borderline than previously based on 850s ticking warmer this run (vs 0z). 925mb temps are below 0 for all of DC metro once we hit 8am or so...there is a 925mb low that passes safely to our south and east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 700 temps look close to 0C after 18z for DC. Beware the sneaky warm layer.Yea, looks like it straddles over or just east of 95 for a time.ETA: i meant just west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 700 temps look close to 0C after 18z for DC. Beware the sneaky warm layer. what do you think of the euro track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 what do you think of the euro track? Well it did an unexpected jog west, but it's not impossible. Better ridge out west leads to amplification out east. Given the origins and the ridge out west, it's certainly on the table. Sometimes we get these 72 hr amped solutions only to slowly tickle east. That could be the case here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Well it did an unexpected jog west, but it's not impossible. Better ridge out west leads to amplification out east. Given the origins and the ridge out west, it's certainly on the table. Sometimes we get these 72 hr amped solutions only to slowly tickle east. That could be the case here. thx...I'm looking forward to my 1-2" on cartops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 7" here on 12/5/09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 thx...I'm looking forward to my 1-2" on cartops 1-2" would be awesome. Really my "goal" would be just to measure something. Be it .1" or 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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